Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

18:30

Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Handicap

Date 2024-10-11

Distance 7f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,785

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (15)	Mehman Chestnut J:Shane Foley T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Shane Foley T:Gerard O'Leary	140	b	513746	75	81	-	13d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-1	13.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
All wins over 5f incl' three here but good first run over 7f last month; blinkers on
1 (2)	Not Forgotten Grey J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	141	—	640002	76	84	55	25d	—	—	+2	15.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Sole win came here (1m); back to form with good Laytown 2nd; will relish extra furlong
7 (14)	Punk Poet Bay J:Colin Keane T:Edward Lynam	J:Colin Keane T:Edward Lynam	138	—	6-4039	73	85	64	13d	—	—	-3	9.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Gave a good account at Laytown and went too hard back on turf since; 4-time course winner
14 (4)	Rockbury Lad Grey J:Jamie Powell(3) T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:M D O'Callaghan	131	p	069071	66	84	-	24d	—	—	+6	17.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
First win since course success when successful at Punchestown; may need further than 7f
8 (7)	Eddie G Bay J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	137	—	285526	74	79	-	17d	—	—	+2	12.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
6f course winner; placed in 2 Galway h'caps this term; bit below form 6th latest
13 (11)	Zabeir Grey J:Declan McDonogh T:Donal Kinsella	J:Declan McDonogh T:Donal Kinsella	133	t	0-0770	68	83	-	64d	—	—	-3	7.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Sole win came over C&D in Sept' 2022; struggling for form on turf of late; hard to fancy
12 (8)	Sweetest Bay J:Jack Cleary(7) T:A P O'Brien	J:Jack Cleary(7) T:A P O'Brien	133	—	-05760	70	82	-	120d	—	—	-1	7.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D winner; highly tried early this term but struggled in h'caps since; 7f on AW may help
3 (5)	Goal Exceeded Bay J:James Ryan(3) T:John S O'Donoghue	J:James Ryan(3) T:John S O'Donoghue	140	p	638774	77	84	-	12d	—	—	+2	9.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Landed Naas maiden last season but hasn't kicked on this term; cheekpieces on for AW debut
6 (1)	Prisoner's Dilemma Chestnut J:Donagh O'Connor T:J F Levins	J:Donagh O'Connor T:J F Levins	138	p	448001	73	84	56	21d	—	—	+11	17.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
4th C&D win last month; still on workable mark despite 5lb rise and better drawn now
9 (16)	Little Empire Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Anthony McCann	J:Gavin Ryan T:Anthony McCann	135	—	3152U0	70	81	64	35d	—	—	+6	9.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
AW winner; won at Ayr in June but unseated at Navan and only beat one home at Ascot since
5 (9)	Never Cry Never Chestnut J:W J Lee T:Gerard O'Leary	J:W J Lee T:Gerard O'Leary	140	b	551-07	75	84	-	9d	—	—	+3	7.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Off the mark at 4th attempt over 6f here last term; hasn't beaten many home for new yard
2 (13)	Free Solo Chestnut J:Chris Hayes T:P J F Murphy	J:Chris Hayes T:P J F Murphy	140	tp	-18860	75	83	74	17d	—	—	+6	9.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
3 of his 4 wins on Polytrack inc' C&D; hasn't shown enough recently; on last winning mark
10 (12)	Nikki Swango Chestnut J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Miss Natalia Lupini	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Miss Natalia Lupini	134	—	-56000	71	84	-	18d	—	—	+3	6.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
6f maiden winner here; form has dipped on turf of late; needs AW revival
11 (3)	Beauty Bella Bay J:Gary Carroll T:John C McConnell	J:Gary Carroll T:John C McConnell	133	—	104063	68	80	63	25d	—	—	+6	8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
1-20; sole win came here but lost her way and struggled in claimers recently
NR (10)	Distillate Chestnut J:TBC T:Adrian McGuinness	J: T:Adrian McGuinness	131	t	000146	66	84	57	9d	—	—	—	9	—	—
C&D winner; Cork winner before promising C&D 4th; not as good latest; reserve
NR (17)	Inflection Point Brown J:TBC T:G A Kingston	J: T:G A Kingston	130	—	420-69	65	84	-	11d	—	—	—	3.8	—	—
3-time course winner; missed more than a year; hasn't shown enough this term; reserve
NR (6)	Marble Angel Bay J:TBC T:A Oliver	J: T:A Oliver	128	—	000110	63	78	66	14d	—	—	—	15.3	—	—
Turned over at short odds in C&D hat-trick bid but met some trouble in running; reserve

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Mehman	11/2	11/2	11/2
Not Forgotten	11/2	5/1	11/2
Punk Poet	6/1	11/2	11/2
Rockbury Lad	15/2	7/1	15/2
Eddie G	7/1	13/2	13/2
Zabeir	8/1	15/2	8/1
Sweetest	11/1	12/1	11/1
Goal Exceeded	9/1	10/1	11/1
Prisoner's Dilemma	12/1	12/1	12/1
Little Empire	20/1	20/1	20/1
Never Cry Never	22/1	20/1	25/1
Free Solo	20/1	25/1	25/1
Nikki Swango	28/1	22/1	25/1
Beauty Bella	66/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Prisoner's Dilemma

17.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

12/1

2nd

Rockbury Lad

17.1

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Not Forgotten

15.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

Marble Angel

15.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 12 Odds: 0

—

Mehman

13.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.9 Odds: 4

11/2

Eddie G

12.6

OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Goal Exceeded

9.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Little Empire

9.5

OR: 5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Punk Poet

9.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Free Solo

9.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 2 Odds: 1

25/1

Distillate

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Beauty Bella

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Zabeir

7.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Never Cry Never

7.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Sweetest

7.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Nikki Swango

6.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Inflection Point

3.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Goal Exceeded	77	84	—
Not Forgotten	76	84	55
Mehman	75	81	—
Never Cry Never	75	84	—
Free Solo	75	83	74
Eddie G	74	79	—
Punk Poet	73	85	64
Prisoner's Dilemma	73	84	56
Nikki Swango	71	84	—
Sweetest	70	82	—
Little Empire	70	81	64
Zabeir	68	83	—
Beauty Bella	68	80	63
Rockbury Lad	66	84	—
Distillate	66	84	57
Inflection Point	65	84	—
Marble Angel	63	78	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Never Cry Never	9d ago	Quick return
Distillate	9d ago	Quick return
Inflection Point	11d ago	Quick return
Goal Exceeded	12d ago	Quick return
Mehman	13d ago	Quick return
Punk Poet	13d ago	Quick return
Marble Angel	14d ago	Fit
Eddie G	17d ago	Fit
Free Solo	17d ago	Fit
Nikki Swango	18d ago	Fit
Prisoner's Dilemma	21d ago	Fit
Rockbury Lad	24d ago	Fit
Not Forgotten	25d ago	Fit
Beauty Bella	25d ago	Fit
Little Empire	35d ago	Fit
Zabeir	64d ago	Fresh
Sweetest	120d ago	Long break