Remembering Margaret Roberts Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Ludlow

15:05

Date 2024-10-09

Distance 2m5f55y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Winning Time 5m 8.12s (slow by 15.12s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Highly Recommended (GB) Charlie Deutsch · Mel Rowley	22/1	Won
2nd	Mostly Sunny (IRE) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	7/4	17
3rd	Rickety Bridge (FR) Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	4/7F	5.5
4th	Billy Butcher (IRE) Lee Edwards · Dave Roberts	66/1	2.25
5th	Pethers Run (GB) Mr Tommie M O'Brien · Adrian Wintle	28/1	2.5
6th	Connolly (IRE) James Best · Sarah-Jayne Davies	150/1	38

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Rickety Bridge Chestnut J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	161	—	/2451-	-	120	88	219d	—	—	-24	30.2	0.15/1	8/13 62%
Kept on stoutly to make winning hurdle debut at Southwell in March; obvious contender
1	Mostly Sunny Chestnut J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	166	p	211249	117	121	112	12d	—	—	+1	34.9	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Disappointed on latest outing but his spring/summer form makes him a leading contender
5	Highly Recommended Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	154	—	0-F3	-	90	70	23d	—	—	-3	1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Kept on steadily for remote third at Worcester last month; much more needed here
6	Pethers Run Bay J:Mr Tommie M O'Brien(3) T:Adrian Wintle	J:Mr Tommie M O'Brien(3) T:Adrian Wintle	154	—	22	-	-	-	—	—	—	+6	9.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Close second in two maiden points in the spring but probably has a bit to find here
3	Billy Butcher Bay J:Lee Edwards T:Dave Roberts	J:Lee Edwards T:Dave Roberts	154	—	887-6	-	82	61	105d	—	—	-3	1.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Struggled to get competitive when 50-1 for hurdle debut in June; up from 2m today
4	Connolly Bay J:James Best T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	J:James Best T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	154	—	97-0P5	72	78	41	42d	—	—	+5	5.7	37.50/1	150/1 1%
A well-beaten outsider on all three hurdling starts for new stable this summer

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Rickety Bridge	4/7	4/7	8/13
Mostly Sunny	6/4	13/8	13/8
Highly Recommended	40/1	33/1	28/1
Pethers Run	40/1	33/1	28/1
Billy Butcher	50/1	50/1	50/1
Connolly	150/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mostly Sunny

34.9

OR: 16.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Rickety Bridge

30.2

OR: 0 Form: 11.5 Odds: 18.7

8/13

3rd

Pethers Run

9.6

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.1

40/1

Connolly

5.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Billy Butcher

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

50/1

Highly Recommended

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mostly Sunny	117	121	112
Connolly	72	78	41
Rickety Bridge	—	120	88
Highly Recommended	—	90	70
Pethers Run	—	—	—
Billy Butcher	—	82	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mostly Sunny	12d ago	Quick return
Highly Recommended	23d ago	Fit
Connolly	42d ago	Fit
Billy Butcher	105d ago	Long break
Rickety Bridge	219d ago	Long break
Pethers Run	—	—