Pottinger Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf) – Happy Valley

Happy Valley

15:50

Pottinger Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf)

Date 2024-10-09

Distance 6f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £104,789

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Galvanic Chestnut J:TBC T:C Fownes	J: T:C Fownes	118	t	216896	62	88	-	11d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Dual 1m winner last season; seemed to find 6f too sharp at Sha Tin last week
R14 (14)	Lucky Archangel Bay J:TBC T:F C Lor	J: T:F C Lor	123	b	890103	67	98	-	28d	—	—	—	12.3	—	—
Placed at big odds over C&D on seasonal debut but has become a hard horse to predict
1 (10)	Reward Smile Bay J:Hugh Bowman T:J Size	J:Hugh Bowman T:J Size	135	t	-55462	79	97	-	28d	—	—	—	12.3	—	—
Lost out only by a neck over C&D on seasonal debut and remains on a good mark
2 (7)	Wings Of War Grey J:Harry Bentley T:Douglas Whyte	J:Harry Bentley T:Douglas Whyte	131	b	232215	75	90	-	126d	—	—	—	17.9	—	—
Did well for this stable in second half of last season; contender if tuned up after break
3 (8)	Equatorial Chestnut J:Alexis Badel T:P C Ng	J:Alexis Badel T:P C Ng	129	ht	2211-9	73	64	-	11d	—	—	—	5.8	—	—
Dual 7f winner in Britain in 2023 but came last on recent Hong Kong debut
4 (9)	Happy Fat Cat Bay J:Ellis Wong(7) T:W K Mo	J:Ellis Wong(7) T:W K Mo	128	tp	197170	72	88	-	28d	—	—	—	10.5	—	—
Won four times over C&D last season but is seemingly too high in the weights now
5 (12)	Super Joy N Fun Brown J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	128	t	124531	72	90	-	28d	—	—	—	18.6	—	—
Has 3-7 strike-rate after ready C&D win last month but wide draw makes things awkward
6 (4)	Golden Empire Bay J:C Y Ho T:K W Lui	J:C Y Ho T:K W Lui	123	b	926067	67	99	-	17d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	—	5.3	—	—
Began season with two respectable runs but his overall record is very mixed
7 (6)	Sovereign Fund Chestnut J:K De Melo T:C W Chang	J:K De Melo T:C W Chang	123	v	4-2704	67	100	-	21d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Shaped well over C&D on seasonal debut and remains unexposed in Hong Kong
8 (2)	Parterre Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:W Y So	J:Andrea Atzeni T:W Y So	122	b	446318	66	92	-	21d	—	—	—	12.5	—	—
Won twice in Class 4 last season but his record in this grade is not compelling
9 (11)	Righteous Arion Chestnut J:Brenton Avdulla T:A S Cruz	J:Brenton Avdulla T:A S Cruz	121	t	521544	65	91	-	28d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Consistent 5yo; ought to run his race but faces tough task off this mark from stall 11
10 (3)	Scotch Tycoon Bay J:Lyle Hewitson T:Mark Newnham	J:Lyle Hewitson T:Mark Newnham	120	tb	502331	64	91	-	28d	—	—	—	18.6	—	—
Made all over C&D on seasonal debut; 8lb higher in higher-grade race today, though
11 (1)	Chateauneuf Bay J:Karis Teetan T:David A Hayes	J:Karis Teetan T:David A Hayes	117	tb	184352	61	93	-	21d	—	—	—	9.3	—	—
Went close over C&D last month but 2lb nudge enforces today's rise in grade
12 (5)	Sergeant Pepper Bay J:Angus Chung(3) T:Y S Tsui	J:Angus Chung(3) T:Y S Tsui	117	—	815510	61	92	-	14d	—	—	—	11.8	—	—
5f course winner on seasonal debut but found things tougher in this grade last time

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Super Joy N Fun

18.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 13.1 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Scotch Tycoon

18.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 15.1 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Wings Of War

17.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 11.6 Odds: 0

—

Parterre

12.5

OR: 4 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

Lucky Archangel

12.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 8 Odds: 0

—

Reward Smile

12.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Sergeant Pepper

11.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 9 Odds: 0

—

Happy Fat Cat

10.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Chateauneuf

9.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0

—

Righteous Arion

7.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 4 Odds: 0

—

Equatorial

5.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Golden Empire

5.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 1 Odds: 0

—

Galvanic

OR: 3 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Sovereign Fund

4.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Reward Smile	79	97	—
Wings Of War	75	90	—
Equatorial	73	64	—
Happy Fat Cat	72	88	—
Super Joy N Fun	72	90	—
Lucky Archangel	67	98	—
Golden Empire	67	99	—
Sovereign Fund	67	100	—
Parterre	66	92	—
Righteous Arion	65	91	—
Scotch Tycoon	64	91	—
Galvanic	62	88	—
Chateauneuf	61	93	—
Sergeant Pepper	61	92	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Galvanic	11d ago	Quick return
Equatorial	11d ago	Quick return
Sergeant Pepper	14d ago	Fit
Golden Empire	17d ago	Fit
Sovereign Fund	21d ago	Fit
Parterre	21d ago	Fit
Chateauneuf	21d ago	Fit
Lucky Archangel	28d ago	Fit
Reward Smile	28d ago	Fit
Happy Fat Cat	28d ago	Fit
Super Joy N Fun	28d ago	Fit
Righteous Arion	28d ago	Fit
Scotch Tycoon	28d ago	Fit
Wings Of War	126d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.