At The Races App Market Movers "Confined" Fillies' Novice Stakes (No More Than 3 Runs) (GBB) (Div I)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00

Date 2024-10-07

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (7)	Blue Secret Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	128	—	4	-	82	-	39d	—	—	-30	15	0.25/1	Evens 50%
150,000gns yearling; quite promising 4th over 6f on Newbury debut; know more this time
11 (3)	Tequila Bay J:David Probert T:Raphael E Freire	J:David Probert T:Raphael E Freire	128	—	8	-	81	-	173d	—	—	-13	5.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
360,000euros yearling; clear ability on 5f debut in April; 7f should suit better; new yard
1 (9)	Bassadanza Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	1	-	81	-	37d	—	—	-2	15	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Tough display when making all on Beverley debut (7f); bred to act on AW; should go well
8 (1)	Kordylia Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
From very good family; dam 2-2 on AW; yard 4-51 with 2yos here; likely to improve for run
7 (11)	Kebili Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	128	—	75	-	78	-	24d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Well held over 7f latest but good late work over 6f previously; should have a big say
9 (4)	Olivia Jane Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Late foal; trip should suit on pedigree; yard's newcomers always worth a second look
10 (8)	Queen Of The Roses Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Michael Appleby	J:Hollie Doyle T:Michael Appleby	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Winning siblings include top sprinter Big Evs; yard has low strike-rate with 2yo beginners
2 (12)	Bella d'Oro Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Stoutly bred newcomer; yard 4-42 with 2yos here in the last 5 years
6 (10)	Goodnight Irene Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Michael Bell	J:Hayley Turner T:Michael Bell	128	—	9	-	58	34	54d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Finished last of nine on 7f debut at Kempton (25-1); likely to need time
5 (6)	Fiery Angel Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	128	—	6	-	55	34	14d	—	—	0	0.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Nice enough pedigree but 100-1 for her 6f debut here two weeks ago when never sighted
4 (2)	Champagnebreakfast Bay J:Georgia Dobie T:Edward Smyth-Osbourne	J:Georgia Dobie T:Edward Smyth-Osbourne	128	—	00	-	49	30	12d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Big prices, beaten 26l and 15l in two 1m novices at Kempton
NR (5)	Victoria Harbour Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Bred in the purple; needs market check for yard that's had a ton of 2yo winners this year

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Blue Secret	10/11	10/11	Evens
Tequila	4/1	4/1	4/1
Bassadanza	9/2	9/2	9/2
Kordylia	10/1	10/1	10/1
Kebili	16/1	12/1	14/1
Olivia Jane	16/1	16/1	16/1
Queen Of The Roses	20/1	20/1	20/1
Bella d'Oro	40/1	40/1	40/1
Goodnight Irene	150/1	100/1	125/1
Fiery Angel	200/1	150/1	200/1
Champagnebreakfast	250/1	200/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blue Secret

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 15

Evens

2nd

Bassadanza

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Tequila

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Kordylia

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Kebili

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Olivia Jane

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Queen Of The Roses

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Bella d'Oro

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Goodnight Irene

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Fiery Angel

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Champagnebreakfast

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Victoria Harbour

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blue Secret	—	82	—
Tequila	—	81	—
Bassadanza	—	81	—
Kordylia	—	—	—
Kebili	—	78	—
Olivia Jane	—	—	—
Queen Of The Roses	—	—	—
Bella d'Oro	—	—	—
Goodnight Irene	—	58	34
Fiery Angel	—	55	34
Champagnebreakfast	—	49	30
Victoria Harbour	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Champagnebreakfast	12d ago	Quick return
Fiery Angel	14d ago	Fit
Kebili	24d ago	Fit
Bassadanza	37d ago	Fit
Blue Secret	39d ago	Fit
Goodnight Irene	54d ago	Fresh
Tequila	173d ago	Long break
Kordylia	—	—
Olivia Jane	—	—
Queen Of The Roses	—	—
Bella d'Oro	—	—
Victoria Harbour	—	—