Pravha Handicap – Down Royal

Down Royal

17:00

Pravha Handicap

Date 2024-09-30

Distance 1m2f138y

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (10)	Little Lady Lucy Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	138	—	5-853	63	60	57	29d	—	—	-11	9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Similar form all starts but likeable how she stayed at it upped to 1m1f on handicap debut
13 (16)	Boomerang Bill Bay J:Shane Foley T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Shane Foley T:Ross O'Sullivan	127	—	0-8958	47	64	56	44d	—	—	-12	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Yard had fine year; looked to be getting there with Navan fifth only to flop at Tramore
8 (8)	Tatum Bay J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	133	—	85323-	58	66	42	350d	—	—	+1	13.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Been boxing hard without winning but continues to knock on the door; ground-versatile
7 (12)	Cannes Do Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Philip M Byrne	J:Chris Hayes T:Philip M Byrne	134	—	80-521	54	61	53	28d	—	—	-6	3.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Possibly telling she finally came good over extended 7f latest (soft), trip a concern
6 (7)	Barretstown Bay J:W J Lee T:Conor O'Dwyer	J:W J Lee T:Conor O'Dwyer	134	—	-37015	54	68	58	65d	—	—	+1	11.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Often gives his running and followed gutsy Cork work win (yielding) with Gowran fifth
2 (1)	Dancing Steve Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	138	v	378417	63	62	61	7d	—	—	+3	12.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Went close here 66s earlier in year and not winning out of turn at Tipperary (1m1f, good)
11 (14)	So Messi Chestnut J:James Ryan(3) T:Patrick Martin	J:James Ryan(3) T:Patrick Martin	129	t	-38300	49	70	61	81d	—	—	-3	4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Modest and exposed but chance at his best; yard had really quiet campaign
10 (4)	Lady Delila Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:C P Donoghue	J:Wayne Lordan T:C P Donoghue	129	p	9-0405	49	67	44	46d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Took the eye in fourth to Barretstown at Cork and weighted to get much closer now
4 (9)	Thefullbackline Chestnut J:Tom Manley-Pender(10) T:Mark Fahey	J:Tom Manley-Pender(10) T:Mark Fahey	138	—	-33469	58	66	56	9d	—	—	-15	11.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Never a factor latest but stayed on and definite chance back up in yardage.
12 (13)	Honrado Bay J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Cian Hughes	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Cian Hughes	128	b	640209	53	65	63	10d	—	—	0	4.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Thereabouts on his British form but quiet since joining rookie trainer
14 (6)	Pro Bono Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Patrick Joseph Hayes	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Patrick Joseph Hayes	127	tp	615-80	47	68	21	—	—	—	-3	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Good chance at his best but will hardly show that here and rising 10
5 (17)	Darkened Bay J:Sorcha Woods(7) T:Noel C Kelly	J:Sorcha Woods(7) T:Noel C Kelly	136	tb	315680	56	64	54	—	—	—	+2	4	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Yard landed gamble last week, hard to see it here (long odds and not at his best of late)
9 (11)	Chica Linda Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:James Andrew Fahey	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:James Andrew Fahey	131	p	40-900	51	64	64	44d	—	—	-1	0.8	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Frustrating filly struggling for form, 40s last twice
NR (2)	Redemptive Power Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	140	—	76072	65	67	54	10d	—	—	—	8.8	—	—
Maiden getting closer and seemingly better for similar trip when 6s second on AW lately
NR (15)	Simpson's Paradox Bay J:TBC T:John Andrew Kinsella	J: T:John Andrew Kinsella	140	p	075655	60	67	36	38d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
First reserve; safely held on this year's form; cheekpieces replace visor
NR (3)	Naisiun Bay J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	129	—	-10300	54	69	46	36d	—	—	—	4.5	—	—
Second reserve; at least has won a race but well-held last twice, 20s latest
NR (5)	Galician Girl Grey J:TBC T:Adrian McGuinness	J: T:Adrian McGuinness	134	—	685U09	59	68	68	29d	—	—	—	2.3	—	—
Third reserve; 6s 2l fifth here in June much better than subsequent form

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Little Lady Lucy	7/2	10/3	7/2
Boomerang Bill	4/1	9/2	9/2
Tatum	13/2	11/2	13/2
Cannes Do	15/2	15/2	8/1
Barretstown	7/1	15/2	7/1
Dancing Steve	9/1	15/2	8/1
So Messi	11/1	10/1	12/1
Lady Delila	14/1	12/1	14/1
Thefullbackline	14/1	9/1	9/1
Honrado	20/1	25/1	22/1
Pro Bono	22/1	28/1	25/1
Darkened	40/1	40/1	40/1
Chica Linda	100/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tatum

13.6

OR: 2 Form: 8 Odds: 3.6

13/2

2nd

Dancing Steve

12.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

9/1

3rd

Barretstown

11.7

OR: 1 Form: 7.6 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Thefullbackline

11.5

OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 8

14/1

Little Lady Lucy

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Redemptive Power

8.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Boomerang Bill

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Naisiun

4.5

OR: 1 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Honrado

4.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

So Messi

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Darkened

OR: 1.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Cannes Do

3.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Simpson's Paradox

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Galician Girl

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lady Delila

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Pro Bono

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Chica Linda

0.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Redemptive Power	65	67	54
Little Lady Lucy	63	60	57
Dancing Steve	63	62	61
Simpson's Paradox	60	67	36
Galician Girl	59	68	68
Tatum	58	66	42
Thefullbackline	58	66	56
Darkened	56	64	54
Cannes Do	54	61	53
Barretstown	54	68	58
Naisiun	54	69	46
Honrado	53	65	63
Chica Linda	51	64	64
So Messi	49	70	61
Lady Delila	49	67	44
Boomerang Bill	47	64	56
Pro Bono	47	68	21

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dancing Steve	7d ago	Quick return
Thefullbackline	9d ago	Quick return
Honrado	10d ago	Quick return
Redemptive Power	10d ago	Quick return
Cannes Do	28d ago	Fit
Little Lady Lucy	29d ago	Fit
Galician Girl	29d ago	Fit
Naisiun	36d ago	Fit
Simpson's Paradox	38d ago	Fit
Boomerang Bill	44d ago	Fit
Chica Linda	44d ago	Fit
Lady Delila	46d ago	Fresh
Barretstown	65d ago	Fresh
So Messi	81d ago	Fresh
Tatum	350d ago	Long break
Pro Bono	—	—
Darkened	—	—