Molson Coors Beverage Company Nursery Handicap – Down Royal

Down Royal

14:05

Molson Coors Beverage Company Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-09-30

Distance 5f

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €6,490

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (9)	Billie Be Quick Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	136	p	426754	70	75	69	11d	—	—	-13	14.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Naas handicap debut run a good one; 2lb higher but should go well
6 (10)	Weegeebear Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:C W J Farrell	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:C W J Farrell	129	b	658463	63	75	70	11d	—	—	-5	10.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Changed yards since recent Naas third; rider's claim could prove crucial here
8 (4)	Eric Lock Bay J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Noel Meade	J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Noel Meade	126	b	408005	60	75	62	11d	—	—	-9	6.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Behind three of these rivals at Naas; no obvious reason why he should reverse the form
2 (3)	Barton Key Chestnut J:Hugh Horgan(5) T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Hugh Horgan(5) T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	137	t	876908	71	68	48	58d	—	—	-3	8.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Didn't stay 7f on soft latest; drops in trip here off 3lb lower mark so don't rule out
1 (11)	Moonhall Lass Bay J:Luke McAteer T:Alan McIntyre	J:Luke McAteer T:Alan McIntyre	138	—	063	72	66	29	46d	—	—	+1	11.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Improvement at Dundalk; cheekpieces worn then now left off; drop in trip to suit
4 (8)	No Straight Swaps Chestnut J:Nathan Crosse T:John S O'Donoghue	J:Nathan Crosse T:John S O'Donoghue	132	b	56487	66	71	57	11d	—	—	-2	6.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Good bit to find with Billie Be Quick on recent Naas handicap run though; blinkers tried
11 (6)	Alcedo Atthis Chestnut J:Andrew Slattery T:Kieran P Cotter	J:Andrew Slattery T:Kieran P Cotter	119	b	0940	53	77	51	11d	—	—	-4	2.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Keen at Naas recently; blinkers now fitted and down 5lb so don't rule out
9 (12)	Sovereign Affair Bay J:Katelyn Bailey(10) T:Kieran P Cotter	J:Katelyn Bailey(10) T:Kieran P Cotter	126	—	980	60	70	54	45d	—	—	-1	3.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Relatively unexposed on handicap debut but opening mark looks on the high side
7 (1)	Rumba Bay Bay J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	127	p	00700	61	53	47	11d	—	—	0	3.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Lots to find on recent Naas running behind several of these; cheekpieces tried now
12 (5)	Ink Sketch Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	119	—	65000	53	57	50	11d	—	—	-1	1.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well held at Naas recently behind several of these; 4lb wrong and hard to make a case for
NR (2)	El Fontenaro Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Jarlath P Fahey	J:Ronan Whelan T:Jarlath P Fahey	130	—	008672	64	78	70	11d	—	—	—	8.5	—	—
Holds Billie Be Quick on recent Naas running; major player
NR (7)	Tino Pai Chestnut J:Wayne Lordan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Wayne Lordan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	126	—	084006	60	76	58	11d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
Didn't count behind several of these at Naas recently so plenty of improvement needed

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Billie Be Quick	9/4	15/8	9/4
Weegeebear	11/2	5/1	5/1
Eric Lock	5/1	11/2	5/1
Barton Key	13/2	6/1	13/2
Moonhall Lass	15/2	15/2	15/2
No Straight Swaps	11/1	10/1	10/1
Alcedo Atthis	12/1	10/1	11/1
Sovereign Affair	18/1	18/1	18/1
Rumba Bay	25/1	28/1	28/1
Ink Sketch	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Billie Be Quick

14.4

OR: 5 Form: 1 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Moonhall Lass

11.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Weegeebear

10.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Barton Key

8.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

El Fontenaro

8.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Eric Lock

6.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

No Straight Swaps

6.2

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Sovereign Affair

3.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Rumba Bay

3.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Alcedo Atthis

2.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Tino Pai

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ink Sketch

1.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Moonhall Lass	72	66	29
Barton Key	71	68	48
Billie Be Quick	70	75	69
No Straight Swaps	66	71	57
El Fontenaro	64	78	70
Weegeebear	63	75	70
Rumba Bay	61	53	47
Eric Lock	60	75	62
Sovereign Affair	60	70	54
Tino Pai	60	76	58
Alcedo Atthis	53	77	51
Ink Sketch	53	57	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Billie Be Quick	11d ago	Quick return
Weegeebear	11d ago	Quick return
Eric Lock	11d ago	Quick return
No Straight Swaps	11d ago	Quick return
Alcedo Atthis	11d ago	Quick return
Rumba Bay	11d ago	Quick return
Ink Sketch	11d ago	Quick return
El Fontenaro	11d ago	Quick return
Tino Pai	11d ago	Quick return
Sovereign Affair	45d ago	Fit
Moonhall Lass	46d ago	Fresh
Barton Key	58d ago	Fresh