MCG Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) – Listowel

Listowel

14:40

MCG Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race)

Date 2024-09-27

Distance 2m

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €59,000

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Tounsivator Chestnut J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	164	—	167-21	138	142	111	35d	—	—	+9	27.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Narrowly denied at Galway before novice hurdle success latest and clearly on the up
6	Man O Work Bay J:Cian Cullinan(7) T:P G Fahey	J:Cian Cullinan(7) T:P G Fahey	157	—	/71-07	131	139	112	—	—	—	+10	24.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won this last year; not at best in 2 h'cap hurdles this summer; slower ground may help
4	Risk Belle Bay J:Mark Walsh T:W P Mullins	J:Mark Walsh T:W P Mullins	159	—	5850-0	133	143	121	57d	—	—	+12	24.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Both wins for this yard at Fairyhouse (latest in Gr 3 class) but doesn't look well treated
18	Frankendael Bay J:Daniel King T:E McNamara	J:Daniel King T:E McNamara	142	h	631	116	143	127	46d	—	—	+18	33	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Getting better with each run for new yard; off the mark latest and big player on h'cap bow
11	Helvic Dream Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Noel Meade	J:Sam Ewing T:Noel Meade	150	—	55149-	124	143	108	—	—	—	+16	26.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Encouraging start to hurdles last term and arrives on the back of a big run at the Curragh
3	Anotherway Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	162	—	01F3-0	136	146	120	57d	—	—	+16	23.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
No wins since maiden hurdle win at Punchestown in January; did too much early latest
16	The Dasher Conway Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Mrs Gillian Callaghan	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Mrs Gillian Callaghan	147	—	123262	121	145	72	21d	—	—	+22	29.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Went close from reduced hurdle mark latest; up 4lb but big player with Stone-Walsh's claim
7	Icare Desbois Grey J:Sean O'Keeffe T:W P Mullins	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:W P Mullins	156	—	1-U276	130	149	124	36d	—	—	+22	29.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Maiden hurdle winner; would have won h'cap off 125 without unseat; not as good lately
14	Dark Note Chestnut J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Andrew Slattery	148	—	8-2P93	122	147	124	—	—	—	+13	19.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Maiden hurdle winner at Sligo last year; form this year suggests he's on a tough mark
9	Lord Erskine Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:H Rogers	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:H Rogers	153	b	617-33	127	145	117	18d	—	—	+15	21	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Roughly 2l behind Tounsivator in Galway festival h'cap hurdle but not as good there latest
5	Royal Eagle Bay J:Jordan Gainford T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jordan Gainford T:Gordon Elliott	158	—	060-43	132	143	83	—	—	—	+17	21.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won 2 h'cap hurdles last year; has been consistent both over timber and on the level since
17	Four Clean Aces Bay J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	145	—	40-214	119	137	115	30d	—	—	+15	18.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Off the mark over timber last month; not as good latest and may want return to further
8	Sherodan Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Peter Fahey	J:Sean Flanagan T:Peter Fahey	154	—	2/221-	128	138	121	—	—	—	+21	23.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Bumper/maiden hurdle winner; should be fit after recent Flat run; tough mark but unexposed
12	Drumgill Bay J:Danny Gilligan T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Danny Gilligan T:John Patrick Ryan	149	—	F11155	123	141	114	21d	—	—	+27	28.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Hat-trick earlier this summer but signs the handicapper has now caught up
10	Little Mixup Bay J:Mark McDonagh T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Mark McDonagh T:Denis Gerard Hogan	152	—	310P-6	126	142	101	21d	—	—	+18	19.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Gained 4th h'cap hurdle success in January; not as good since and others on better marks
NR	Mighty Tom Bay J:Jordan Gainford T:Cian Collins	J:Jordan Gainford T:Cian Collins	166	—	47-252	140	144	127	36d	—	—	—	22.5	—	—
No wins since Listed h'cap in May 2023 but back to form when 2nd latest; each-way claims
NR	Set Point Bay J:Kevin Sexton T:Gordon Elliott	J:Kevin Sexton T:Gordon Elliott	149	b	520-54	123	139	118	—	—	—	—	18.3	—	—
10lb higher than last winning hurdle mark; didn't show enough when distant 4th last month
NR	Nibiru Bay J:Mr B M Coonan(7) T:Mrs C O'Leary	J:Mr B M Coonan(7) T:Mrs C O'Leary	147	tb	/R0-08	121	140	71	—	—	—	—	17.8	—	—
No hurdle wins since 2022 and seems to have lost his way

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Tounsivator	4/1	4/1	4/1
Man O Work	5/1	11/2	5/1
Risk Belle	6/1	6/1	6/1
Frankendael	13/2	6/1	13/2
Helvic Dream	8/1	17/2	17/2
Anotherway	11/1	9/1	10/1
The Dasher Conway	12/1	11/1	12/1
Icare Desbois	12/1	10/1	12/1
Dark Note	14/1	12/1	14/1
Lord Erskine	18/1	16/1	18/1
Royal Eagle	22/1	20/1	20/1
Four Clean Aces	33/1	25/1	28/1
Sherodan	33/1	25/1	28/1
Drumgill	50/1	33/1	40/1
Little Mixup	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Frankendael

OR: 16.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 4.4

13/2

2nd

The Dasher Conway

29.3

OR: 17.8 Form: 9.4 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

Icare Desbois

29.1

OR: 20 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Drumgill

28.8

OR: 18.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Tounsivator

27.2

OR: 22 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Helvic Dream

26.4

OR: 18.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Man O Work

24.3

OR: 20.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Risk Belle

24.1

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Sherodan

23.9

OR: 19.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Anotherway

23.6

OR: 21.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Mighty Tom

22.5

OR: 22.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Royal Eagle

21.9

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Lord Erskine

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Dark Note

19.7

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Little Mixup

19.5

OR: 19 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Set Point

18.3

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Four Clean Aces

18.1

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Nibiru

17.8

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mighty Tom	140	144	127
Tounsivator	138	142	111
Anotherway	136	146	120
Risk Belle	133	143	121
Royal Eagle	132	143	83
Man O Work	131	139	112
Icare Desbois	130	149	124
Sherodan	128	138	121
Lord Erskine	127	145	117
Little Mixup	126	142	101
Helvic Dream	124	143	108
Drumgill	123	141	114
Set Point	123	139	118
Dark Note	122	147	124
The Dasher Conway	121	145	72
Nibiru	121	140	71
Four Clean Aces	119	137	115
Frankendael	116	143	127

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lord Erskine	18d ago	Fit
The Dasher Conway	21d ago	Fit
Drumgill	21d ago	Fit
Little Mixup	21d ago	Fit
Four Clean Aces	30d ago	Fit
Tounsivator	35d ago	Fit
Icare Desbois	36d ago	Fit
Mighty Tom	36d ago	Fit
Frankendael	46d ago	Fresh
Risk Belle	57d ago	Fresh
Anotherway	57d ago	Fresh
Man O Work	—	—
Helvic Dream	—	—
Dark Note	—	—
Royal Eagle	—	—
Sherodan	—	—
Set Point	—	—
Nibiru	—	—