Happy Valley

13:05

North Point Handicap (Div I) (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course C) (Turf)

Date 2024-09-25
Distance 6f
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £65,915

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R13 (13)
Winning Heart
Bay
J:TBC
T:A S Cruz
J:
T:A S Cruz
119 tv 147898
44
71
-
86d
0
C&D winner in March but unplaced in all 17 other HK runs; first reserve.
R14 (14)
Victorythirtythree
Chestnut
J:TBC
T:P F Yiu
J:
T:P F Yiu
122 088
47
70
-
83d
0
Not disgraced on his three starts last season but improvement is required
1 (4)
Multisuper
Bay
J:Lyle Hewitson
T:P F Yiu
J:Lyle Hewitson
T:P F Yiu
135 et 041260
60
74
-
10d
8
Booking of Hewitson a plus but best form is over 5f; well backed when slow away last time.
2 (12)
Aeroinvincible
Brown
J:Zac Purton
T:P C Ng
J:Zac Purton
T:P C Ng
134 t 107306
59
74
-
10d 1W/1P 1 run
3.8
Pulled hard when odds-on last time (7f); Purton keeps the ride and this trip could suit.
3 (10)
Denfield
Chestnut
J:Hugh Bowman
T:C S Shum
J:Hugh Bowman
T:C S Shum
133 t 044755
58
78
-
91d
2
Likes this C&D and 2lb lower than for latest victory; back from three-month absence.
4 (9)
Joy Coming
b/br
J:C Y Ho
T:K W Lui
J:C Y Ho
T:K W Lui
133 tb 837746
58
76
-
14d
2.6
Remains 1lb above highest winning mark; best over this C&D but most recent run was modest.
5 (6)
Nebraskan
Bay
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:J Size
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:J Size
133 e/s 776854
58
76
-
77d
2
Back from a lay-off and has been edging closer to a first HK victory so merits respect.
6 (2)
Embraces
Bay
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:Jamie Richards
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:Jamie Richards
128 t 205
53
75
-
86d
3.3
Fine debut off 1lb lower over this C&D in May; could be refreshed on return from lay-off.
7 (1)
Sight Happy
Chestnut
J:Alexis Badel
T:David A Hayes
J:Alexis Badel
T:David A Hayes
126 8374
51
73
-
14d
1.8
Showed some promise last term but recent comeback was uninspiring; often well backed.
8 (8)
Double Bingo
Bay
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:Y S Tsui
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:Y S Tsui
121 ht 28088
46
70
-
91d 0W/0P 1 run
1
Poor last four runs but ran well over C&D on debut and could be the type to go well fresh.
9 (7)
Ever Smart
Bay
J:Harry Bentley
T:F C Lor
J:Harry Bentley
T:F C Lor
119 t 6890
44
69
-
94d
0
Four starts to date have been underwhelming; returning from three-month holiday here.
10 (3)
Talents Supremo
Bay
J:Karis Teetan
T:W K Mo
J:Karis Teetan
T:W K Mo
119 tv 573435
44
75
-
91d
3
Visor replacing cheekpieces; reasonably weighted but has poor win strike rate.
11 (11)
Fairy Horse
Bay
J:M L Yeung
T:C Fownes
J:M L Yeung
T:C Fownes
116 t 085492
41
79
-
14d
5
First placing in seven career tries over C&D two weeks ago; needs to back that up here.
12 (5)
Colonel
Bay
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:Mark Newnham
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:Mark Newnham
116 b 544206
40
75
-
14d
2.5
Veteran with four C&D wins to his name; modest reappearance and appears on the downgrade.

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Multisuper
8
OR: 2.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0
2nd Fairy Horse
5
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0
3rd Aeroinvincible
3.8
OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0
4 Embraces
3.3
OR: 0.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0
5 Talents Supremo
3
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0
6 Joy Coming
2.6
OR: 2 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0
7 Colonel
2.5
OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0
8 Denfield
2
OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Nebraskan
2
OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Sight Happy
1.8
OR: 0.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0
11 Double Bingo
1
OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 0
12 Winning Heart
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Victorythirtythree
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Ever Smart
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Multisuper
60
74
Aeroinvincible
59
74
Denfield
58
78
Joy Coming
58
76
Nebraskan
58
76
Embraces
53
75
Sight Happy
51
73
Victorythirtythree
47
70
Double Bingo
46
70
Winning Heart
44
71
Ever Smart
44
69
Talents Supremo
44
75
Fairy Horse
41
79
Colonel
40
75

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Multisuper 10d ago Quick return
Aeroinvincible 10d ago Quick return
Joy Coming 14d ago Fit
Sight Happy 14d ago Fit
Fairy Horse 14d ago Fit
Colonel 14d ago Fit
Nebraskan 77d ago Fresh
Victorythirtythree 83d ago Fresh
Winning Heart 86d ago Fresh
Embraces 86d ago Fresh
Denfield 91d ago Long break
Double Bingo 91d ago Long break
Talents Supremo 91d ago Long break
Ever Smart 94d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.