At The Races 1M Social Followers EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Band D) (GBB Race) (Div II)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:55

Date 2024-09-21

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (5)	Metro Dubai Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	b	2953	74	79	52	19d	—	—	-8	18.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Not built on a promising debut but still brings leading form claims; new headgear today
9 (12)	Uppercase Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Harry Eustace	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Harry Eustace	133	—	3	-	73	41	40d	—	—	-11	8.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Draw could have been kinder; shaped with plenty of promise on Kempton debut (form franked)
8 (1)	Tuco Salamanca Bay J:Nicola Currie T:Ollie Sangster	J:Nicola Currie T:Ollie Sangster	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Minor appeal on pedigree; stable's 2yos having a good year on turf, less so on AW
2 (10)	Herb Fennel Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Harrison Shaw T:Adrian Paul Keatley	133	—	52	-	79	-	8d	—	—	-6	9.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Second run represented an improvement and he could do better yet over this extra furlong
6 (2)	Sapphire Valley Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Half-brother to a winner in Spain out of a Group 3 winner; betting to guide on debut
7 (3)	Smithy Bay J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	133	—	4	-	64	42	86d	—	—	-6	2.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Fair fourth at Newcastle on debut (7f); can do better but such progress is a must
10 (11)	We're Done Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	133	—	7	-	68	-	33d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Shaped with promise when an 80-1 outsider on Yarmouth debut; one for the longer term
3 (8)	Invincible Storm Bay J:George Rooke T:Ed de Giles	J:George Rooke T:Ed de Giles	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
17,000gns yearling; dam an unraced sister to a middle-distance winner; likely best watched
4 (7)	Makes Me Wonder Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:David Simcock	J:Josephine Gordon T:David Simcock	133	—	9	-	40	22	40d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Needs to leave last month's Kempton debut well behind him if he's to feature
11 (6)	Helston Dance Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Stuart Kittow	128	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Half-sister to 3 winners; should have a future but looks one for the longer term; hooded
12 (4)	Shadow River Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Edward Greatrex T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	128	—	99	-	43	20	16d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Big prices and well held in two fillies' maidens so far; major progress required
NR (9)	Bust A Moon Chestnut J:TBC T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J: T:Eve Johnson Houghton	133	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Dam a 5f 2yo winner; hooded for debut; one to note for market confidence

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Metro Dubai	9/4	9/4	9/4
Uppercase	10/3	3/1	10/3
Tuco Salamanca	7/2	10/3	7/2
Herb Fennel	9/2	4/1	9/2
Sapphire Valley	14/1	12/1	12/1
Smithy	14/1	12/1	14/1
We're Done	25/1	25/1	25/1
Invincible Storm	80/1	50/1	66/1
Makes Me Wonder	66/1	40/1	66/1
Helston Dance	100/1	66/1	80/1
Shadow River	150/1	100/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Metro Dubai

18.5

OR: 6 Form: 4.5 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Herb Fennel

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Uppercase

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Tuco Salamanca

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Smithy

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Sapphire Valley

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

We're Done

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Invincible Storm

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Makes Me Wonder

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Helston Dance

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Shadow River

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Bust A Moon

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Metro Dubai	74	79	52
Uppercase	—	73	41
Tuco Salamanca	—	—	—
Herb Fennel	—	79	—
Sapphire Valley	—	—	—
Smithy	—	64	42
We're Done	—	68	—
Invincible Storm	—	—	—
Makes Me Wonder	—	40	22
Helston Dance	—	—	—
Shadow River	—	43	20
Bust A Moon	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Herb Fennel	8d ago	Quick return
Shadow River	16d ago	Fit
Metro Dubai	19d ago	Fit
We're Done	33d ago	Fit
Uppercase	40d ago	Fit
Makes Me Wonder	40d ago	Fit
Smithy	86d ago	Fresh
Tuco Salamanca	—	—
Sapphire Valley	—	—
Invincible Storm	—	—
Helston Dance	—	—
Bust A Moon	—	—