Western House Hotel EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Ayr

14:12

Date 2024-09-19

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,123

Winning Time 1m 40.90s (slow by 3.80s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Hornsea Bay (GB) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	5/1	Won
2nd	Bambalam (FR) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	10/11F	3
3rd	Methgal (IRE) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	4/1	3.5
4th	West Tyrone (GB) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	40/1	1.5
5th	Off Spin (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby	8/1	2.75
6th	Homeland (GB) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	150/1	1
7th	Elsass (IRE) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	28/1	3
8th	Sherlock (IRE) Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	16/1	1.75
9th	Hill O Rue (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Kevin Ryan	25/1	.5
10th	Uncle Liam (IRE) Mohammed Tabti · Iain Jardine	100/1	6
11th	Black Sky (IRE) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby	100/1	4.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (11)	Bambalam Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	133	—	7	-	77	70	27d	—	—	-33	17.1	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Seventh of 17 in the Convivial Maiden at York last month; that was a promising start
8 (2)	Methgal Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	133	—	46	-	80	72	47d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-12	4.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Showed signs of promise alongside inexperience in two starts over 7f; can do better
7 (8)	Hornsea Bay Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Stable does having winning 2yo newcomers and market support would be interesting
9 (7)	Off Spin Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	—	35	-	79	72	11d	—	—	-7	5.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Promising third on debut but didn't build on it last time; nurseries beckon
5 (5)	Hill O Rue Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Kevin Ryan	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Kevin Ryan	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Already gelded but yard gets its fair share of winning 2yo newcomers; watch market
10 (3)	Sherlock Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	133	—	50	-	72	57	27d	—	—	-3	1.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Behind a couple of today's rivals in his first two starts; gets a mark after this
3 (6)	Elsass Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Nicely bred; stable had a couple of 2yos go in first time in recent weeks; watch market
12 (9)	West Tyrone Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	133	—	4	-	57	30	51d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Green when fourth of six on Beverley debut in July; may need more time
4 (12)	Gaelic Gladiator Bay J:Jason Hart T:Lucinda Russell	J:Jason Hart T:Lucinda Russell	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Already gelded and stable wouldn't be a noted source of winning 2yo newcomers
2 (1)	Black Sky Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	133	v	95	-	63	43	44d	—	—	-2	0.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Beaten upwards of 10l in his first two starts; nurseries may be the way forward; visor on
11 (10)	Uncle Liam Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Apprentice ridden on debut and winning 2yo newcomers from the yard are rare
6 (4)	Homeland Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	133	—	69	-	49	54	34d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well held in two starts over 6f during the summer; looks one for nurseries after this

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Bambalam	4/6	4/5	5/6
Methgal	4/1	4/1	4/1
Hornsea Bay	6/1	5/1	5/1
Off Spin	7/1	7/1	6/1
Hill O Rue	25/1	22/1	25/1
Sherlock	25/1	33/1	25/1
Elsass	25/1	33/1	33/1
West Tyrone	40/1	50/1	50/1
Gaelic Gladiator	150/1	66/1	100/1
Black Sky	100/1	50/1	80/1
Uncle Liam	150/1	80/1	100/1
Homeland	200/1	80/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bambalam

17.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 17.1

5/6

2nd

Off Spin

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

Methgal

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

4/1

Hornsea Bay

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Sherlock

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Hill O Rue

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Elsass

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

West Tyrone

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Black Sky

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

100/1

Gaelic Gladiator

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Uncle Liam

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Homeland

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bambalam	—	77	70
Methgal	—	80	72
Hornsea Bay	—	—	—
Off Spin	—	79	72
Hill O Rue	—	—	—
Sherlock	—	72	57
Elsass	—	—	—
West Tyrone	—	57	30
Gaelic Gladiator	—	—	—
Black Sky	—	63	43
Uncle Liam	—	—	—
Homeland	—	49	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Off Spin	11d ago	Quick return
Bambalam	27d ago	Fit
Sherlock	27d ago	Fit
Homeland	34d ago	Fit
Black Sky	44d ago	Fit
Methgal	47d ago	Fresh
West Tyrone	51d ago	Fresh
Hornsea Bay	—	—
Hill O Rue	—	—
Elsass	—	—
Gaelic Gladiator	—	—
Uncle Liam	—	—