Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Windsor

14:37

Date 2024-09-16

Distance 1m31y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,832

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	Run Away b/br J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	132	—	16	83	88	62	107d	—	—	-3	23.3	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Second run not great but debut form has worked out okay and it's still early days
4 (2)	Noisy Jazz Bay J:Hector Crouch T:James Owen	J:Hector Crouch T:James Owen	132	—	16	-	93	80	25d	—	—	-12	15.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Impressed on 1m debut and was too free when held in a 1m4f Listed race at York
11 (3)	Tawajjah Chestnut J:Jim Crowley T:Roger Varian	J:Jim Crowley T:Roger Varian	130	—	7-	-	70	-	306d	—	—	-13	5.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Great pedigree and entitled to leave the form of his AW debut behind
10 (5)	Muhib Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Saffie Osborne T:John & Thady Gosden	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Too Darn Hot colt out of a Listed-placed 1m2f/1m4f winner (RPR 106); has been gelded
1 (12)	Thyer Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	135	—	31-	-	79	69	381d	—	—	+5	14.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
A winner for Andrew Balding but sold on for 7,000gns and has been gelded
9 (6)	Breathless Spirit Bay J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	130	—	62	-	82	-	32d	—	—	0	6.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Just denied at Chelmsford; likely that he'll need more again here but that's feasible
12 (8)	Tex Grey J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Trainer has modest strike-rate in maiden/novice contests; has been gelded
7 (13)	Blue Sky Boy Bay J:William Cox T:Paul Attwater	J:William Cox T:Paul Attwater	130	—	4	-	75	-	32d	—	—	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Ran a promising first race at Chelmsford when just over 3l behind Breathless Spirit
2 (1)	Desiderata Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Ryan Potter	J:Finley Marsh T:Ryan Potter	134	—	85	-	57	10	9d	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Tailed off in two bumpers and both his runs on the Flat
3 (11)	Uncle Lester Chestnut J:Callum Hutchinson T:Neil Mulholland	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Neil Mulholland	134	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Finished tailed off in a Worcester bumper two months ago and impossible to recommend
6 (14)	Balticus Bay J:Liam Wright(5) T:Darryll Holland	J:Liam Wright(5) T:Darryll Holland	130	—	9	-	-	-	28d	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
100-1 and was a tailed-off last over 1m2f here four weeks ago
8 (9)	Boleyn Forever Grey J:Lewis Edmunds T:J R Jenkins	J:Lewis Edmunds T:J R Jenkins	130	p	07	-	-	-	13d	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Tailed off in both his runs and headgear is soon turned to; very opposable
13 (10)	Ultimate Sapphire Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	130	—	70	-	59	36	19d	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Beaten about 10l in 7f novices at Salisbury and Kempton; one for handicaps
14 (7)	Saved Lizzie Chestnut J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Eddery	J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Eddery	129	—	6	-	67	-	34d	—	—	0	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Limited hurdler who ran to an ordinary level on Flat debut; outclassed

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Run Away	9/4	9/4	9/4
Noisy Jazz	2/1	2/1	9/4
Tawajjah	4/1	7/2	7/2
Muhib	13/2	6/1	6/1
Thyer	10/1	17/2	17/2
Breathless Spirit	12/1	10/1	12/1
Tex	100/1	100/1	100/1
Blue Sky Boy	100/1	40/1	80/1
Desiderata	250/1	125/1	200/1
Uncle Lester	250/1	125/1	200/1
Balticus	250/1	125/1	200/1
Boleyn Forever	250/1	125/1	200/1
Ultimate Sapphire	250/1	125/1	200/1
Saved Lizzie	250/1	125/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Run Away

23.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 7 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Noisy Jazz

15.4

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Thyer

14.8

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Breathless Spirit

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Tawajjah

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Muhib

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Blue Sky Boy

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Tex

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Desiderata

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Uncle Lester

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Balticus

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Boleyn Forever

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ultimate Sapphire

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Saved Lizzie

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Run Away	83	88	62
Noisy Jazz	—	93	80
Tawajjah	—	70	—
Muhib	—	—	—
Thyer	—	79	69
Breathless Spirit	—	82	—
Tex	—	—	—
Blue Sky Boy	—	75	—
Desiderata	—	57	10
Uncle Lester	—	—	—
Balticus	—	—	—
Boleyn Forever	—	—	—
Ultimate Sapphire	—	59	36
Saved Lizzie	—	67	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Desiderata	9d ago	Quick return
Boleyn Forever	13d ago	Quick return
Ultimate Sapphire	19d ago	Fit
Noisy Jazz	25d ago	Fit
Balticus	28d ago	Fit
Breathless Spirit	32d ago	Fit
Blue Sky Boy	32d ago	Fit
Saved Lizzie	34d ago	Fit
Run Away	107d ago	Long break
Tawajjah	306d ago	Long break
Thyer	381d ago	Long break
Muhib	—	—
Tex	—	—
Uncle Lester	—	—