Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 "Confined" Handicap (Horses Who Haven't Won During 2024 Flat Turf Season)

Lingfield (AW)

17:50

Date 2024-09-11

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (5)	The Colorist Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Karen Jewell	J:Robert Havlin T:Karen Jewell	127	p	493285	57	79	72	28d	—	—	-16	14.5	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Lightly raced; good late work over 1m/1m2f here in June; stamina not yet proven at 1m4f
9 (3)	The Pug Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Rob Hornby T:Sylvester Kirk	129	p	387502	59	79	74	7d	—	—	-4	11.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Slipped in weights and better latest (1m3f); needs to equal the run over 1m4f back here
3 (2)	Snapius Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	134	p	-90079	64	72	-	—	—	—	-6	7.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Two Flat wins (6f/1m2f) in Ireland; lost his way but down in weights; up-and-coming yard
5 (4)	Bluenose Belle Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Richard Phillips	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Richard Phillips	133	p	68-002	63	75	58	14d	—	—	-7	7.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Taken time to recapture form since back from absence but better latest; can be involved
8 (10)	Luna Effect Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	130	—	-22358	60	78	69	28d	—	—	0	8.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Maiden; has a race in him on best AW form but not yet on song for new connections
2 (12)	Arenas Del Tiempo b/br J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Jim & Suzi Best	135	—	52630-	65	76	-	—	—	—	+2	9.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Three turf wins at 1m2f in 2021; often a weak finisher over 1m4f; back from break
6 (8)	Raven's Applause Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed Dunlop	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed Dunlop	132	—	0-0P07	62	71	61	12d	—	—	-2	4.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Well held when upped to 1m latest and has lots to prove over 1m4f
4 (7)	Militry Decoration Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Camilla Poulton	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Camilla Poulton	133	t	516096	63	73	63	26d	—	—	+3	6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Latest win over 1m4f at Southwell in March; slow starter since and way back on latest
7 (9)	Beat The Heat Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Jim Boyle	J:Charlie Bennett T:Jim Boyle	130	p	8261-0	60	79	-	—	—	—	+1	3.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Hurdle winner in June but pulled up next time; well beaten all 3 C&D attempts
NR (11)	Upepo Grey Roan J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	136	—	233005	66	80	65	1d	—	—	—	5.5	—	—
Three wins at 1m4f/1m5f here; below par of late but of more interest back on this track
NR (6)	Star Of Epsom Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Pat Phelan	J:NON-RUNNER T:Pat Phelan	123	—	-58037	53	78	-	26d	—	—	—	2.9	—	—
All four wins over 1m2f here; kept on well over C&D in July
NR (1)	Pablo Prince Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Karen Jewell	J:NON-RUNNER T:Karen Jewell	121	p	547067	51	-	-	9d	—	—	—	0.3	—	—

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
The Colorist	7/4	13/8	7/4
The Pug	5/1	9/2	9/2
Snapius	5/1	6/1	11/2
Bluenose Belle	5/1	5/1	11/2
Luna Effect	9/1	10/1	10/1
Arenas Del Tiempo	11/1	12/1	12/1
Raven's Applause	12/1	12/1	12/1
Militry Decoration	33/1	33/1	33/1
Beat The Heat	40/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Colorist

14.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 3.4 Odds: 9.4

7/4

2nd

The Pug

11.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Arenas Del Tiempo

9.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Luna Effect

8.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 4 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Bluenose Belle

7.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Snapius

7.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Militry Decoration

OR: 3.3 Form: 2 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Upepo

5.5

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Raven's Applause

4.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Beat The Heat

3.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Star Of Epsom

2.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Pablo Prince

0.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Upepo	66	80	65
Arenas Del Tiempo	65	76	—
Snapius	64	72	—
Bluenose Belle	63	75	58
Militry Decoration	63	73	63
Raven's Applause	62	71	61
Luna Effect	60	78	69
Beat The Heat	60	79	—
The Pug	59	79	74
The Colorist	57	79	72
Star Of Epsom	53	78	—
Pablo Prince	51	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Upepo	1d ago	Quick return
The Pug	7d ago	Quick return
Pablo Prince	9d ago	Quick return
Raven's Applause	12d ago	Quick return
Bluenose Belle	14d ago	Fit
Militry Decoration	26d ago	Fit
Star Of Epsom	26d ago	Fit
The Colorist	28d ago	Fit
Luna Effect	28d ago	Fit
Snapius	—	—
Arenas Del Tiempo	—	—
Beat The Heat	—	—