Lee Thomas Christy Memorial Handicap – Haydock

Haydock

14:00

Lee Thomas Christy Memorial Handicap

Date 2024-09-06

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,281

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (3)	Secret Mistral Chestnut J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	131	—	7-1322	73	90	71	41d	—	—	-8	11.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Won over C&D in June and placed on next three starts; can make another bold bid
3 (12)	Skallywag Bay Grey J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	138	—	-36341	80	92	78	4d	—	—	+9	24	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won in good style at Brighton on Monday but had just the three rivals to beat
14 (7)	Bayraat Bay J:David Egan T:Tom Tate	J:David Egan T:Tom Tate	122	—	39-073	64	93	83	41d	—	—	-4	6.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Close third of 18 off this mark at York last time and could play another leading role
8 (1)	The Coffee Pod Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Richard Hannon	J:Tom Marquand T:Richard Hannon	135	p	414380	78	90	76	15d	—	—	+4	13.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
3yo who won at York in July; not at very best the last twice but can't be written off
5 (5)	Arecibo Bay J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	136	—	845334	78	90	82	19d	—	—	+4	13	2.50/1	10/1 9%
9yo who is on long losing streak but has run some good races this year; on career-low mark
10 (2)	Kuwait City Bay J:Oisin Orr T:John Butler	J:Oisin Orr T:John Butler	131	p	180806	73	89	84	20d	—	—	0	8.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
4lb lower than for reappearance Yarmouth win but subsequent form has been patchy
7 (11)	Thunder Star Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Jessica Macey	J:Harrison Shaw T:Jessica Macey	135	—	9-3426	77	89	66	76d	—	—	+1	9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Disappointing over C&D latest but runner-up over C&D previously and could bounce back
12 (6)	Our Absent Friends Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	130	p	002922	72	89	80	11d	—	—	+11	17.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Runner-up on three of his last four starts; each-way contender off same mark as last time
2 (13)	Never Dark Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Iain Jardine	J:Billy Garritty T:Iain Jardine	138	—	189260	80	90	73	16d	—	—	+5	11.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Drops back down in grade but others have more compelling claims judged on recent evidence
1 (9)	Grace Angel Bay J:Jason Watson T:Darryll Holland	J:Jason Watson T:Darryll Holland	139	tb	820415	81	91	80	22d	—	—	+12	17.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won at Brighton last month but inconsistent and only fifth at Windsor most recently
9 (10)	Love Wars Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	133	—	1-5276	76	90	67	34d	—	—	+10	14.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Went close over C&D in June on handicap debut; the return here could be a positive
4 (4)	Copper Knight Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	137	t	310407	79	91	82	8d	—	—	+5	10.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
10yo who tends to ply his trade in a higher grade than this and he's not ruled out
13 (8)	Zaphea Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	128	—	317891	71	89	79	14d	—	—	+13	18.9	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Three wins this year, most recently at Hamilton; up in the weights and in grade today
NR (14)	The Thames Boatman Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hughes	J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hughes	136	h	044167	78	91	-	28d	—	—	—	12	—	—
Won at Chelmsford (AW) in July but unplaced on turf the last twice and now 0-10 on grass

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Secret Mistral	10/3	10/3	3/1
Skallywag Bay	6/1	9/2	13/2
Bayraat	15/2	13/2	7/1
The Coffee Pod	8/1	7/1	8/1
Arecibo	9/1	10/1	9/1
Kuwait City	11/1	11/1	10/1
Thunder Star	12/1	14/1	11/1
Our Absent Friends	14/1	14/1	14/1
Never Dark	14/1	14/1	14/1
Grace Angel	14/1	16/1	16/1
Love Wars	20/1	20/1	20/1
Copper Knight	18/1	18/1	18/1
Zaphea	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Skallywag Bay

OR: 7.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 4.4

13/2

2nd

Zaphea

18.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 12 Odds: 1.6

50/1

3rd

Our Absent Friends

17.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Grace Angel

17.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Love Wars

14.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

20/1

The Coffee Pod

13.2

OR: 7 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Arecibo

OR: 7 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.4

10/1

The Thames Boatman

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Never Dark

11.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Secret Mistral

11.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Copper Knight

10.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Thunder Star

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

14/1

Kuwait City

8.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Bayraat

6.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Grace Angel	81	91	80
Skallywag Bay	80	92	78
Never Dark	80	90	73
Copper Knight	79	91	82
The Coffee Pod	78	90	76
Arecibo	78	90	82
The Thames Boatman	78	91	—
Thunder Star	77	89	66
Love Wars	76	90	67
Secret Mistral	73	90	71
Kuwait City	73	89	84
Our Absent Friends	72	89	80
Zaphea	71	89	79
Bayraat	64	93	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Skallywag Bay	4d ago	Quick return
Copper Knight	8d ago	Quick return
Our Absent Friends	11d ago	Quick return
Zaphea	14d ago	Fit
The Coffee Pod	15d ago	Fit
Never Dark	16d ago	Fit
Arecibo	19d ago	Fit
Kuwait City	20d ago	Fit
Grace Angel	22d ago	Fit
The Thames Boatman	28d ago	Fit
Love Wars	34d ago	Fit
Secret Mistral	41d ago	Fit
Bayraat	41d ago	Fit
Thunder Star	76d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Secret Mistral	Front Runner
Copper Knight	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.