New Forest Estate & Golf Club Maiden Hurdle – Kilbeggan

Kilbeggan

18:25

New Forest Estate & Golf Club Maiden Hurdle

Date 2024-08-23

Distance 3m1f

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €6,490

Winning Time 6m 9.50s (slow by 21.50s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Native Speaker (IRE) Rachael Blackmore · Henry De Bromhead	6/4F	Won
2nd	Magellan Strait (IRE) J J Slevin · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	11/4	1.25
3rd	Uncle Pat (IRE) Paul Townend · W P Mullins	100/30	.5
4th	Western Ability (IRE) Alex Harvey · D M Christie	28/1	15
5th	Ashdale Flyer (IRE) Conor Smithers · Mrs John Harrington	14/1	3
6th	Coole Cottage (IRE) Shane Fitzgerald · David Kenneth Budds	80/1	16
7th	Practice Run (IRE) Darragh O'Keeffe · M F Morris	28/1	5.5
8th	Milanaway (IRE) Daniel King · Denis Gerard Hogan	18/1	15

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Deise Bhoy (IRE) Donagh Meyler · Kieran Purcell	25/1
P.U.	Eabha Rose (IRE) Shane Fenelon · Thomas P O'Connor	250/1
P.U.	Flaxfield (IRE) Cian Walsh · Paul Mulligan	150/1
P.U.	Irina's Path (FR) Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott	11/1
P.U.	Manlikemike (IRE) Richard Deegan · Denis Paul Murphy	40/1
P.U.	Pure Design (IRE) James O'Sullivan · Anthony McCann	200/1
P.U.	Spricklestown (IRE) Patrick M O'Brien · Paul Stafford	125/1

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Native Speaker Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	158	—	2228-3	117	126	94	28d	—	—	-3	30.4	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Only just behind Magellan Strait here last month and has an 8lb pull; could be enough
2	Uncle Pat Bay J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	166	—	1-45	-	117	96	23d	—	—	-10	14.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Longer trip and the forecast rain should suit; decent claims despite the weight concession
1	Magellan Strait Chestnut J:J J Slevin T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:J J Slevin T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	166	b	32	-	119	71	28d	—	—	-7	12.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Jumping cost him in a C&D maiden hurdle last month; reproduction might be good enough
6	Irina's Path Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	158	—	98-272	-	117	105	17d	—	—	-6	2.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ran well over 2m4f at Roscommon; up to 3m here and certainly respected if he stays
12	Ashdale Flyer Bay J:Conor Smithers(7) T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Conor Smithers(7) T:Mrs John Harrington	151	p	26P-70	104	118	104	49d	—	—	+8	15.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has not matched her best of late; up to 3m with cheekpieces tried but others preferred
14	Milanaway Bay J:Daniel King T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Daniel King T:Denis Gerard Hogan	151	—	424-4P	100	119	93	75d	—	—	+9	13.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Below par effort switched to a handicap at Punchestown in June but capable of a bold show
10	Western Ability Bay J:Alex Harvey(5) T:D M Christie	J:Alex Harvey(5) T:D M Christie	158	p	7O-835	-	114	56	12d	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Improved up to 2m6f at Downpatrick last twice but not enough to land this
9	Practice Run Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:M F Morris	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:M F Morris	158	t	1/5-P	-	106	-	41d	—	—	+1	4.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won his only point-to-point but his two efforts on the track have been quite underwhelming
4	Deise Bhoy Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:Kieran Purcell	J:Donagh Meyler T:Kieran Purcell	158	b	07-304	89	100	86	29d	—	—	+8	10.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Close fourth in a 3m handicap hurdle at Wexford last month; more needed here
7	Manlikemike Bay J:Richard Deegan T:Denis Paul Murphy	J:Richard Deegan T:Denis Paul Murphy	158	—	21-25	-	-	-	29d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Straight over hurdles and up in trip; others make more appeal but worth watching
3	Coole Cottage Bay J:Shane Fitzgerald T:David Kenneth Budds	J:Shane Fitzgerald T:David Kenneth Budds	158	—	P6-2	-	-	-	—	—	—	+4	5.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Runner-up on the third of his three point-to-points in May; best watched on track debut
16	Spricklestown Bay J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Paul Stafford	J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Paul Stafford	151	—	70	-	-	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Beaten out of sight over hurdles at Downpatrick latest; others much more appealing
5	Flaxfield Bay J:Cian Walsh(7) T:Paul Mulligan	J:Cian Walsh(7) T:Paul Mulligan	158	t	/304/9	-	62	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Off for two years, no show on his stable debut at Downpatrick two weeks ago; no appeal
15	Pure Design Bay J:James O'Sullivan T:Anthony McCann	J:James O'Sullivan T:Anthony McCann	151	—	P-P508	-	-	-	15d	—	—	-1	0.4	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Beaten a long way in a bumper and a maiden hurdle; hard to give a chance to
13	Eabha Rose Chestnut J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:Thomas P O'Connor	J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:Thomas P O'Connor	151	p	060-P0	82	-	-	17d	—	—	+8	8.1	125.00/1	500/1 0%
Very modest mare on all known form; cheekpieces will need to have a transformative effect
NR	Whatsitabout Grey J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:M F Morris	J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:M F Morris	158	—	59/0-P	95	107	61	42d	—	—	—	11.3	—	—
Pulled up in a 2m3f maiden hurdle here last month; up to 3m but hard to have confidence in

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Native Speaker	6/4	6/4	13/8
Uncle Pat	5/2	5/2	5/2
Magellan Strait	4/1	4/1	7/2
Irina's Path	10/1	10/1	10/1
Ashdale Flyer	12/1	11/1	10/1
Milanaway	25/1	20/1	20/1
Western Ability	33/1	25/1	25/1
Practice Run	33/1	28/1	28/1
Deise Bhoy	40/1	33/1	33/1
Manlikemike	50/1	50/1	50/1
Coole Cottage	66/1	66/1	66/1
Spricklestown	100/1	80/1	80/1
Flaxfield	100/1	150/1	125/1
Pure Design	400/1	150/1	150/1
Eabha Rose	500/1	200/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Native Speaker

30.4

OR: 16.8 Form: 3 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Ashdale Flyer

15.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

Uncle Pat

14.3

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Milanaway

13.9

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Magellan Strait

12.8

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Whatsitabout

11.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Deise Bhoy

10.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Eabha Rose

8.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500/1

Coole Cottage

5.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Practice Run

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1

33/1

Irina's Path

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Western Ability

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Manlikemike

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Spricklestown

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Flaxfield

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Pure Design

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

400/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Native Speaker	117	126	94
Ashdale Flyer	104	118	104
Milanaway	100	119	93
Whatsitabout	95	107	61
Deise Bhoy	89	100	86
Eabha Rose	82	—	—
Uncle Pat	—	117	96
Magellan Strait	—	119	71
Irina's Path	—	117	105
Western Ability	—	114	56
Practice Run	—	106	—
Manlikemike	—	—	—
Coole Cottage	—	—	—
Spricklestown	—	—	—
Flaxfield	—	62	—
Pure Design	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Western Ability	12d ago	Quick return
Spricklestown	12d ago	Quick return
Flaxfield	12d ago	Quick return
Pure Design	15d ago	Fit
Irina's Path	17d ago	Fit
Eabha Rose	17d ago	Fit
Uncle Pat	23d ago	Fit
Native Speaker	28d ago	Fit
Magellan Strait	28d ago	Fit
Deise Bhoy	29d ago	Fit
Manlikemike	29d ago	Fit
Practice Run	41d ago	Fit
Whatsitabout	42d ago	Fit
Ashdale Flyer	49d ago	Fresh
Milanaway	75d ago	Fresh
Coole Cottage	—	—