British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Newbury

16:05

Date 2024-08-17

Distance 7f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £20,616

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (8)	Aftermath b/br J:William Buick T:A P O'Brien	J:William Buick T:A P O'Brien	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Justify half-brother to 1m1f winner Wafei (RPR 92); dam unplaced sister to Group 1 winners
12 (3)	Into Combat Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
500,000gns yearling by Dubawi; yard has done very well with 2yo newcomers this month
11 (13)	Havana Whisper Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
140,000euros yearling; eighth foal; Havana Grey half-brother to six winners; yard runs two
10 (10)	Fitzmaurice Bay J:James Doyle T:William Haggas	J:James Doyle T:William Haggas	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
470,000gns yearling; brother to 7f/1m winner Chindit (including 2yo/Group 2; RPR 119)
14 (9)	Mukaber Grey J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Hannon	J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Hannon	133	—	025	77	86	79	18d	—	—	+4	12.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Not guaranteed to be suited by this extra 1f; the best form in this but may need better
9 (12)	Evangelic gr/b J:Richard Kingscote T:Charles Hills	J:Richard Kingscote T:Charles Hills	133	—	7	-	80	61	17d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
18-1 when seventh of 13 at Sandown (7f, good to firm) on debut, showing promise from rear
8 (7)	Duke Orsino Chestnut J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
75,000gns yearling; close relation to 6f/7f 2yo winner Seahenge (RPR 110); needs a check
2 (15)	Antelope Chestnut J:Joe Leavy T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy T:Richard Hannon	133	—	8	-	68	64	14d	—	—	-3	1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Weak 16-1, never-dangerous 8th of 11 at Glorious Goodwood (7f, good to firm) two weeks ago
3 (2)	Barry's Boy Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Denis Coakley	J:Ross Coakley T:Denis Coakley	133	—	04	-	72	42	37d	—	—	-3	1.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Fourth of 11 in novice here (6f, good to soft) and likely to stay 7f; better is needed
13 (6)	Miakoda Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	133	—	—	-	59	40	17d	—	—	-2	0.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
28-1 in novice at Sandown (7f, good to firm) 17 days ago and faded to be beaten 14l
15 (5)	Orchard Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Warren Greatrex	J:Clifford Lee T:Warren Greatrex	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
60,000euros breeze-up 2yo by Wooded; others are a bit more striking on paper
6 (16)	Cristo Chestnut J:Thomas Greatrex T:Richard Hannon	J:Thomas Greatrex T:Richard Hannon	133	—	96	-	60	38	10d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
3l sixth of 13 when 66-1 at Kempton (7f, AW) was a lot better; needs to build on that too
7 (1)	Dandy Arabian Grey J:Jim Crowley T:John Butler	J:Jim Crowley T:John Butler	133	—	63	-	73	-	21d	—	—	+1	3.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Improved when third of eight at Newcastle (7f) three weeks ago; needs much better
16 (11)	Respiro Solitario Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	133	—	90	-	60	37	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
66-1 and 200-1 when well beaten twice at Sandown (7f, good) last month
NR (14)	Boubyan Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Andrew Balding	J:Hollie Doyle T:Andrew Balding	133	—	7	-	75	24	11d	—	—	—	0	—	—
8-1 and green when a never-dangerous seventh of ten in maiden at Ffos Las (7.3f, soft)
NR (4)	Cosmic Year Brown J:Tom Marquand T:Harry Charlton	J:Tom Marquand T:Harry Charlton	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Group 1-winning dam has produced Tempus (RPR 118) and Time Test (124); needs a close look

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Aftermath	11/4	11/4	3/1
Into Combat	7/2	7/2	7/2
Havana Whisper	11/2	5/1	5/1
Fitzmaurice	5/1	9/2	9/2
Mukaber	9/1	9/1	9/1
Evangelic	16/1	16/1	16/1
Duke Orsino	22/1	22/1	20/1
Antelope	25/1	22/1	25/1
Barry's Boy	28/1	28/1	25/1
Miakoda	28/1	28/1	28/1
Orchard	33/1	22/1	28/1
Cristo	50/1	40/1	50/1
Dandy Arabian	40/1	40/1	40/1
Respiro Solitario	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mukaber

12.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.2

9/1

2nd

Aftermath

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Into Combat

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Havana Whisper

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Fitzmaurice

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Dandy Arabian

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Evangelic

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Duke Orsino

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Barry's Boy

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Antelope

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Orchard

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Miakoda

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Cristo

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Respiro Solitario

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Boubyan

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Cosmic Year

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mukaber	77	86	79
Aftermath	—	—	—
Into Combat	—	—	—
Havana Whisper	—	—	—
Fitzmaurice	—	—	—
Evangelic	—	80	61
Duke Orsino	—	—	—
Antelope	—	68	64
Barry's Boy	—	72	42
Miakoda	—	59	40
Orchard	—	—	—
Cristo	—	60	38
Dandy Arabian	—	73	—
Respiro Solitario	—	60	37
Boubyan	—	75	24
Cosmic Year	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cristo	10d ago	Quick return
Boubyan	11d ago	Quick return
Antelope	14d ago	Fit
Evangelic	17d ago	Fit
Miakoda	17d ago	Fit
Mukaber	18d ago	Fit
Dandy Arabian	21d ago	Fit
Respiro Solitario	23d ago	Fit
Barry's Boy	37d ago	Fit
Aftermath	—	—
Into Combat	—	—
Havana Whisper	—	—
Fitzmaurice	—	—
Duke Orsino	—	—
Orchard	—	—
Cosmic Year	—	—