Miles Commercial Handicap – Epsom

Epsom

20:05

Miles Commercial Handicap

Date 2024-08-01

Distance 1m4f6y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,449

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (8)	Rogue Tornado Bay J:Robert Havlin T:James Owen	J:Robert Havlin T:James Owen	134	—	23-132	74	87	47	15d	—	—	-6	11	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Bang there in all three runs since joining James Owen and off same mark as last time
1 (5)	Taritino Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	136	h	821116	76	86	76	27d	—	—	+12	26.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Winning run came to an end when taken on for the lead and weakening out of it at Sandown
4 (4)	Gozo Bay J:Jack Gilligan T:B F Brookhouse	J:Jack Gilligan T:B F Brookhouse	133	tp	3567-7	73	83	80	29d	—	—	-4	9.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won over hurdles in September and may have needed the race when a weakener over C&D
7 (6)	Haliphon Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Ian Williams	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Ian Williams	130	—	789028	70	92	62	19d	—	—	-4	13.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
His standout run this year did at least come here when a 3l second over C&D last month
5 (9)	Outgun Grey J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Alan King	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Alan King	130	—	42-346	70	85	68	28d	—	—	-3	8.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Consistent prior to last time and this longer trip is worth exploring
2 (7)	Croeso Cymraeg Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:James Evans	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:James Evans	135	—	7-5553	75	90	62	19d	—	—	-1	8.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Ran well at Salisbury last time in a handicap he'd won twice before
11 (11)	Luna Effect Bay J:Jason Watson T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Jason Watson T:Gary & Josh Moore	123	—	3-2235	63	88	80	23d	—	—	+2	6.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Joined this yard for 29,000gns and soft ground was no excuse when well beaten at Brighton
9 (3)	Niarbyl Bay Bay J:Nicola Currie T:Henry Candy	J:Nicola Currie T:Henry Candy	128	—	2515-7	68	89	79	21d	—	—	+1	5.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Off his winning mark but will have to run better than on his Newbury return
8 (2)	Galileo's Compass Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Tom Ward	J:Callum Shepherd T:Tom Ward	129	tp	035-05	69	91	56	88d	—	—	+1	6.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Well handicapped on his peak form in Ireland; back on quicker ground and had a wind op
6 (1)	Solution Bay J:Jason Hart T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Jason Hart T:Jim & Suzi Best	130	tv	2119-8	70	84	76	22d	—	—	+3	5.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Form has dropped off a cliff under both codes since winning a 2m AW handicap last Sept
10 (10)	Onesteptwosteps b/br J:Paddy Bradley T:Nick Gifford	J:Paddy Bradley T:Nick Gifford	124	—	600	64	81	64	23d	—	—	+1	4.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Handicaps provide him with a more realistic chance but plenty to prove

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Rogue Tornado	4/1	7/2	4/1
Taritino	9/2	4/1	9/2
Gozo	11/2	5/1	11/2
Haliphon	9/2	9/2	5/1
Outgun	11/2	6/1	6/1
Croeso Cymraeg	8/1	15/2	8/1
Luna Effect	16/1	16/1	16/1
Niarbyl Bay	14/1	16/1	16/1
Galileo's Compass	18/1	20/1	20/1
Solution	66/1	50/1	66/1
Onesteptwosteps	25/1	66/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Taritino

26.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 16 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Haliphon

13.7

OR: 5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.2

5/1

3rd

Rogue Tornado

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Gozo

9.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Croeso Cymraeg

8.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Outgun

8.3

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Luna Effect

6.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Galileo's Compass

6.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Niarbyl Bay

5.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Solution

5.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Onesteptwosteps

4.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Taritino	76	86	76
Croeso Cymraeg	75	90	62
Rogue Tornado	74	87	47
Gozo	73	83	80
Haliphon	70	92	62
Outgun	70	85	68
Solution	70	84	76
Galileo's Compass	69	91	56
Niarbyl Bay	68	89	79
Onesteptwosteps	64	81	64
Luna Effect	63	88	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rogue Tornado	15d ago	Fit
Haliphon	19d ago	Fit
Croeso Cymraeg	19d ago	Fit
Niarbyl Bay	21d ago	Fit
Solution	22d ago	Fit
Luna Effect	23d ago	Fit
Onesteptwosteps	23d ago	Fit
Taritino	27d ago	Fit
Outgun	28d ago	Fit
Gozo	29d ago	Fit
Galileo's Compass	88d ago	Fresh