Jennings Meats INH Flat Race – Ballinrobe

Ballinrobe

20:23

Jennings Meats INH Flat Race

Date 2024-07-23

Distance 1m7f119y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Base Of Fire Bay J:Mr P W Mullins T:Richard John O'Brien	J:Mr P W Mullins T:Richard John O'Brien	168	h	4-2	-	111	90	45d	—	—	-25	20	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Solid in two runs; the champion amateur takes over and a hood is added; looks a big player
4	Eastbank Warrior Bay J:Mr Derek O'Connor T:Jonathan Sweeney	J:Mr Derek O'Connor T:Jonathan Sweeney	168	—	F42-	-	109	49	140d	—	—	-13	11.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Solid efforts both starts; should go well on return if handling this livelier ground
12	Steppingstone Bay J:Miss J Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Miss J Townend T:W P Mullins	168	—	P-	-	-	-	346d	—	—	-17	7.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Pulled-up on debut last year and the champion amateur rides Base Of Fire for another yard
11	Stand Back Bay J:Mr J L Gleeson(5) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mr J L Gleeson(5) T:Henry De Bromhead	168	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Decent pedigree; respected from this yard on debut and follow market moves; tongue-tie
8	Moylussa Bay J:Mr Finian Maguire T:T Hogan	J:Mr Finian Maguire T:T Hogan	168	—	2P-4	-	-	-	19d	—	—	-7	2.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Solid effort on debut in a Tipperary maiden hurdle; a player if as effective in a bumper
2	Black Heather Brown J:Mr P A King(5) T:David Harry Kelly	J:Mr P A King(5) T:David Harry Kelly	168	—	68-3	-	107	58	51d	—	—	-1	4.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Decent efforts at Navan and Kilbeggan, either side of a lesser effort at Clonmel
13	Jazzwing Bay J:Mr J H Williamson(7) T:Peter Fahey	J:Mr J H Williamson(7) T:Peter Fahey	161	—	3-	-	104	65	368d	—	—	-3	5.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Promising debut in a Kilbeggan bumper a year ago; can be involved if repeating that form
16	Spricklestown Bay J:Mr H C Swan(3) T:Paul Stafford	J:Mr H C Swan(3) T:Paul Stafford	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
A sister to a Grade 1 winner, so is of clear interest on debut, more so if market strength
14	Love Like This Bay J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:John Patrick Ryan	161	—	44	-	105	43	16d	—	—	-3	1.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Improved effort over 2m2f at Sligo; this drop in trip might not be ideal but can go well
5	Howsagoinlike Bay J:Mr L P Shanahan(7) T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Mr L P Shanahan(7) T:Ross O'Sullivan	168	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	12.50/1	50/1 2%
By the sire of top-class hurdler Marine Nationale; yard having a fine season; check market
15	Parga Diamond Bay J:Mr E Mahon(7) T:Miss Hilary McLoughlin	J:Mr E Mahon(7) T:Miss Hilary McLoughlin	161	ht	886	-	99	54	44d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Not a bad introduction over C&D but has gone backwards in two subsequent starts
10	Notevenatext Bay J:Mr D J Walsh(7) T:Brendan Maurice Walsh	J:Mr D J Walsh(7) T:Brendan Maurice Walsh	168	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Late-starter is by a decent sire but others appeal more
3	Brave Crogha Grey J:Miss A B O'Connor T:I Madden	J:Miss A B O'Connor T:I Madden	168	—	04760-	-	98	52	210d	—	—	-1	0.3	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Not beaten far at times in bumpers but others preferred making seasonal debut
9	Mr McWhinny Bay J:Mr O T Gilligan(7) T:Paul John Gilligan	J:Mr O T Gilligan(7) T:Paul John Gilligan	168	t	00	-	-	-	19d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Soundly beaten in maiden hurdles at Punchestown and Tipperary; lots of improvement to find
6	Kilroe Champ Bay J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:John Neilan	J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:John Neilan	168	—	8P	-	39	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well beaten on debut and pulled-up last time; can't be fancied
NR	Leave In Secret Bay J:Mr Finn Buckley(7) T:Thomas Gibney	J:Mr Finn Buckley(7) T:Thomas Gibney	168	—	FP-33	-	-	-	18d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Only beaten 12l in a maiden hurdle; can be involved if transferring that form to a bumper

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Base Of Fire	11/8	5/4	11/8
Eastbank Warrior	10/3	3/1	10/3
Steppingstone	9/2	9/2	9/2
Stand Back	9/1	10/1	17/2
Moylussa	12/1	11/1	12/1
Black Heather	18/1	18/1	18/1
Jazzwing	16/1	22/1	16/1
Spricklestown	25/1	25/1	25/1
Love Like This	33/1	33/1	33/1
Howsagoinlike	50/1	40/1	40/1
Parga Diamond	66/1	50/1	50/1
Notevenatext	150/1	80/1	150/1
Brave Crogha	200/1	66/1	150/1
Mr McWhinny	200/1	80/1	200/1
Kilroe Champ	200/1	80/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Base Of Fire

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 15

11/8

2nd

Eastbank Warrior

11.5

OR: 0 Form: 4.3 Odds: 7.3

10/3

3rd

Steppingstone

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

9/2

Jazzwing

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

22/1

Black Heather

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Stand Back

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

10/1

Moylussa

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

12/1

Spricklestown

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Love Like This

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

33/1

Howsagoinlike

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

50/1

Parga Diamond

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Brave Crogha

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Notevenatext

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Mr McWhinny

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Kilroe Champ

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Leave In Secret

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Base Of Fire	—	111	90
Eastbank Warrior	—	109	49
Steppingstone	—	—	—
Stand Back	—	—	—
Moylussa	—	—	—
Black Heather	—	107	58
Jazzwing	—	104	65
Spricklestown	—	—	—
Love Like This	—	105	43
Howsagoinlike	—	—	—
Parga Diamond	—	99	54
Notevenatext	—	—	—
Brave Crogha	—	98	52
Mr McWhinny	—	—	—
Kilroe Champ	—	39	—
Leave In Secret	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Love Like This	16d ago	Fit
Kilroe Champ	16d ago	Fit
Leave In Secret	18d ago	Fit
Moylussa	19d ago	Fit
Mr McWhinny	19d ago	Fit
Parga Diamond	44d ago	Fit
Base Of Fire	45d ago	Fit
Black Heather	51d ago	Fresh
Eastbank Warrior	140d ago	Long break
Brave Crogha	210d ago	Long break
Steppingstone	346d ago	Long break
Jazzwing	368d ago	Long break
Stand Back	—	—
Spricklestown	—	—
Howsagoinlike	—	—
Notevenatext	—	—