Sha Tin

12:00

Big Profit Handicap (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf)

Date 2024-07-14
Distance 7f
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £65,915

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R15 (15)
Champion Method
Bay
J:TBC
T:C S Shum
J:
T:C S Shum
129 t 385756
53
80
-
13d
0.8
Recent sprint form is no better than respectable; first 7f attempt today
R16 (16)
Beauty Alliance
Bay
J:TBC
T:J Size
J:
T:J Size
126 663
50
74
-
21d
3
Unexposed 3yo who ran on well for third over C&D last month; one to consider
1 (12)
Top Peak
Bay
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:T P Yung
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:T P Yung
135 t 802411
59
71
-
21d
20.8
Improving 4yo who bids to complete a C&D hat-trick; commands respect
2 (6)
Steps Ahead
Bay
J:Zac Purton
T:K W Lui
J:Zac Purton
T:K W Lui
133 223
57
73
-
21d 0W/0P 1 run 0W/0P 1 run
10.8
Placed on all three starts (latest over C&D) and probably still has potential
3 (11)
Beautiful Win
Bay
J:K De Melo
T:W Y So
J:K De Melo
T:W Y So
128 t
52
-
-
0.5
Makes official debut after some underwhelming recent trials and is not drawn well
4 (8)
Family Jewel
Bay
J:C Y Ho
T:C Fownes
J:C Y Ho
T:C Fownes
128 t 4
52
72
-
29d
0.5
Recovered from slow start to finish fourth over 6f here on debut; can build on that effort
5 (4)
Foolish Heart
Brown
J:K C Leung
T:C W Chang
J:K C Leung
T:C W Chang
128 v 359089
52
78
-
21d
0.5
Placed twice over C&D in February/March but has suffered a worrying dip oin form since
6 (7)
Circuit Mighty
Bay
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:K L Man
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:K L Man
127 t 700872
51
77
-
13d
5.3
Seemed to have turned a corner when very close second over C&D a fortnight ago
7 (13)
Smiling Collector
Bay
J:Harry Bentley
T:Jimmy Ting
J:Harry Bentley
T:Jimmy Ting
127 p 527891
51
77
-
13d
11.3
Just held on to win off reduced mark over C&D two weeks ago but has tough draw today
8 (9)
Miu Fa Fa
Bay
J:L J Ferraris
T:F C Lor
J:L J Ferraris
T:F C Lor
126 ht 70
50
69
-
42d
0
Made quite encouraging debut but her second run was a backward step
9 (10)
Windicator Family
Bay
J:Alexis Badel
T:D J Hall
J:Alexis Badel
T:D J Hall
126 b 078600
50
79
-
21d
0
Unplaced all 11 Hong Kong starts and difficult to enthuse over
10 (3)
Holy Power
Bay
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:Jamie Richards
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:Jamie Richards
124 tb 000479
48
77
-
32d
0
Fourth here in May (1m) but two lesser runs followed; has basically become disappointing
11 (1)
Great Spirit
Bay
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:C H Yip
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:C H Yip
123 28606
47
81
-
21d 0W/0P 1 run 0W/0P 1 run
1
Close second over 6f on debut in February but subsequent form has been underwhelming
12 (2)
Winning Turn
Chestnut
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:P F Yiu
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:P F Yiu
123 tp 006
47
59
-
29d
0
Displayed improvement when midfield here on third start; needs more again today, though
13 (14)
Link
Bay
J:Angus Chung(3)
T:Douglas Whyte
J:Angus Chung(3)
T:Douglas Whyte
120 p 06900
44
78
-
29d
0
Yet to be placed after five starts and has the outside draw to contend with today
14 (5)
Young Horizon
Chestnut
J:Karis Teetan
T:David A Hayes
J:Karis Teetan
T:David A Hayes
118 p 213359
42
77
-
42d
4.4
Didn't really fire in first-time cheekpieces (retained) last month; others look stronger

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Top Peak
20.8
OR: 2.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 0
2nd Smiling Collector
11.3
OR: 0.3 Form: 11 Odds: 0
3rd Steps Ahead
10.8
OR: 1.8 Form: 9 Odds: 0
4 Circuit Mighty
5.3
OR: 0.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0
5 Young Horizon
4.4
OR: 0 Form: 4.4 Odds: 0
6 Beauty Alliance
3
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0
7 Great Spirit
1
OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 0
8 Champion Method
0.8
OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Beautiful Win
0.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Family Jewel
0.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Foolish Heart
0.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Miu Fa Fa
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Windicator Family
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Holy Power
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
15 Winning Turn
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
16 Link
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Top Peak
59
71
Steps Ahead
57
73
Champion Method
53
80
Beautiful Win
52
Family Jewel
52
72
Foolish Heart
52
78
Circuit Mighty
51
77
Smiling Collector
51
77
Beauty Alliance
50
74
Miu Fa Fa
50
69
Windicator Family
50
79
Holy Power
48
77
Great Spirit
47
81
Winning Turn
47
59
Link
44
78
Young Horizon
42
77

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Champion Method 13d ago Quick return
Circuit Mighty 13d ago Quick return
Smiling Collector 13d ago Quick return
Beauty Alliance 21d ago Fit
Top Peak 21d ago Fit
Steps Ahead 21d ago Fit
Foolish Heart 21d ago Fit
Windicator Family 21d ago Fit
Great Spirit 21d ago Fit
Family Jewel 29d ago Fit
Winning Turn 29d ago Fit
Link 29d ago Fit
Holy Power 32d ago Fit
Miu Fa Fa 42d ago Fit
Young Horizon 42d ago Fit
Beautiful Win

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Sha Tin over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Based on 14 draws with historical results at this course and distance.