Lake District Calvert Trust Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Carlisle

19:20

Date 2024-07-06

Distance 1m3f39y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,780

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Incensed Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Andrew Balding	J:Tom Eaves T:Andrew Balding	128	—	3-32	82	85	28	24d	—	—	-12	20.1	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Progressive form, going close at Kempton (1m3f) latest; leading clims.
5 (5)	Kitty Furnival Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	4-23	82	87	64	24d	—	—	-15	18.6	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Close second on 1m2f Leicester return but 3l behind Incensed at Kempton since
3 (3)	Cabrera Grey J:Harrison Shaw T:Edward Bethell	J:Harrison Shaw T:Edward Bethell	128	—	422	80	82	72	30d	—	—	+3	21.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Promise on all three starts, going down by only a neck at Haydock latest
6 (1)	Lady La Fay Bay J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	128	—	34	-	77	69	30d	—	—	-6	5.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Fair form but behind the reopposing Cabrera on both starts
2 (6)	River Danube Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:John Davies	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:John Davies	139	—	7	-	39	-	15d	—	—	0	0.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
300-1, beaten 23l on recent 1m2f Redcar debut
1 (4)	Crafty Dancer Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Katie Scott	J:Ryan Sexton T:Katie Scott	139	—	06	-	-	-	9d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Little sign of ability in bumpers/Flat maidens
7 (2)	Pennymuir b/br J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford	128	—	5	-	10	-	9d	—	—	0	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
300-1, beaten 23l on recent 1m2f Redcar debut

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Incensed	13/8	13/8	13/8
Kitty Furnival	6/4	11/8	6/4
Cabrera	4/1	4/1	4/1
Lady La Fay	8/1	7/1	15/2
River Danube	300/1	150/1	200/1
Crafty Dancer	300/1	150/1	200/1
Pennymuir	200/1	125/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cabrera

21.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.4

4/1

2nd

Incensed

20.1

OR: 8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 10

13/8

3rd

Kitty Furnival

18.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

6/4

Lady La Fay

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

8/1

River Danube

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Pennymuir

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Crafty Dancer

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Incensed	82	85	28
Kitty Furnival	82	87	64
Cabrera	80	82	72
Lady La Fay	—	77	69
River Danube	—	39	—
Crafty Dancer	—	—	—
Pennymuir	—	10	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Crafty Dancer	9d ago	Quick return
Pennymuir	9d ago	Quick return
River Danube	15d ago	Fit
Incensed	24d ago	Fit
Kitty Furnival	24d ago	Fit
Cabrera	30d ago	Fit
Lady La Fay	30d ago	Fit