Aspire Cleaning Company Almada Mile Handicap (For The Watson Memorial Cup)

Hamilton

15:15

Date 2024-07-02

Distance 1m68y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £15,462

Winning Time 1m 46.91s (slow by 3.71s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Aragon Castle (IRE) William Buick · Andrew Balding	13/8F	Won
2nd	James McHenry (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell	9/1	2.25
3rd	Pisanello (IRE) Mark Winn · David O'Meara	12/1	1.5
4th	Bubbles Wonky (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	13/2	1.5
5th	Dutch Decoy (GB) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	5/1	1.75
6th	Expert Choice (GB) Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	11/1	0.05
7th	Londoner (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Jim Goldie	10/1	0.05
8th	Chuzzlewit (GB) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	14/1	5
9th	Hiromichi (FR) Clifford Lee · Jack Channon	12/1	5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (4)	Aragon Castle Chestnut J:William Buick T:Andrew Balding	J:William Buick T:Andrew Balding	127	t	84-522	86	97	79	39d	—	—	-9	17	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Runner-up in 1m handicaps at Haydock and Goodwood the last twice; should make a bold bid
2 (9)	Dutch Decoy Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	140	—	022080	90	100	84	13d	—	—	+2	16.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Runner-up in competitive Newmarket handicaps this spring; struggled since; down in class
8 (8)	Bubbles Wonky Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	128	—	41-20	87	94	68	31d	—	—	+2	12.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Failed to fire at Epsom on handicap debut (1m2f); still low mileage; can bounce back
10 (6)	Expert Choice Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	122	b	210-35	81	96	72	17d	—	—	+2	9.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Two fair runs last month, hanging sharply left at Chester latest; still has low mileage
1 (7)	James McHenry Grey J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	142	—	368-15	92	96	72	11d	—	—	+6	12.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Better than ever at Carlisle on return; solid fifth at Redcar latest; should go well again
3 (10)	Pisanello Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David O'Meara	137	—	9-0991	87	98	76	17d	—	—	+4	11.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Two C&D wins last year; back to form with York win (1m1f) latest; contender back up 4lb
4 (3)	Londoner Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Jim Goldie	J:Andrew Mullen T:Jim Goldie	137	—	2-0000	87	93	73	17d	—	—	+7	15.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Yet to shine for current stable and risky, for all he's dropping down the weights
5 (5)	Hiromichi Grey J:Clifford Lee T:Jack Channon	J:Clifford Lee T:Jack Channon	136	p	9-1417	86	96	68	40d	—	—	+4	10.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Progressive handicapper with a good strike-rate; below par latest but type to bounce back
6 (2)	Chuzzlewit Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	135	b	419978	85	93	65	11d	—	—	+7	12.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Struggled on turf after a hard-fought AW success in March; opposable
NR (1)	Repertoire Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:David Simcock	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:David Simcock	131	—	0-4453	81	97	84	18d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Second in this race last year; solid series of efforts this year; strong pace would suit

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Aragon Castle	2/1	2/1	2/1
Dutch Decoy	9/2	4/1	9/2
Bubbles Wonky	15/2	15/2	15/2
Expert Choice	10/1	9/1	9/1
James McHenry	11/1	11/1	11/1
Pisanello	10/1	10/1	10/1
Londoner	10/1	9/1	9/1
Hiromichi	12/1	12/1	12/1
Chuzzlewit	14/1	12/1	12/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aragon Castle

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 8

2/1

2nd

Dutch Decoy

16.9

OR: 10 Form: 2.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Londoner

15.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

James McHenry

12.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Chuzzlewit

12.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Bubbles Wonky

12.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Pisanello

11.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Hiromichi

10.9

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Expert Choice

9.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Repertoire

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
James McHenry	92	96	72
Dutch Decoy	90	100	84
Bubbles Wonky	87	94	68
Pisanello	87	98	76
Londoner	87	93	73
Aragon Castle	86	97	79
Hiromichi	86	96	68
Chuzzlewit	85	93	65
Expert Choice	81	96	72
Repertoire	81	97	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
James McHenry	11d ago	Quick return
Chuzzlewit	11d ago	Quick return
Dutch Decoy	13d ago	Quick return
Expert Choice	17d ago	Fit
Pisanello	17d ago	Fit
Londoner	17d ago	Fit
Repertoire	18d ago	Fit
Bubbles Wonky	31d ago	Fit
Aragon Castle	39d ago	Fit
Hiromichi	40d ago	Fit