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Carlisle

16:00

Date 2024-06-17

Distance 7f173y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 43.98s (slow by 7.18s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Golden Melody (IRE) Oisin Orr · Tim Easterby	13/2	Won
2nd	Helter Skelter (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Rebecca Menzies	15/2	1.5
3rd	Arkenstaar (GB) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	11/2	0.3
4th	Fools Rush In (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	10/1	0.3
5th	Alpine Sierra (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	4/1J	0.2
6th	Bushfire (GB) Rowan Scott · Gemma Tutty	6/1	0.3
7th	Jkr Cobbler (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	4/1J	4.25
8th	Dumfries (GB) Joanna Mason · Ruth Carr	10/1	2.25
9th	Too Much (GB) Rhys Elliott · David Thompson	125/1	4

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (8)	Jkr Cobbler Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	129	—	3234-1	64	86	72	17d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+1	18.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Returned from 224-day layoff to win here last month; no surprise were he to go in again.
5 (1)	Alpine Sierra Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	133	—	510-93	68	83	57	14d	—	—	-7	8.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Third at Ayr two weeks ago; running into form and should run well.
7 (9)	Golden Melody Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Tim Easterby	J:Oisin Orr T:Tim Easterby	132	b	-26282	67	82	57	20d	—	—	+4	16.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Hasn't won since September 2022 but did little wrong when second at Redcar last month.
3 (10)	Arkenstaar Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	136	—	51-311	71	82	48	19d	—	—	-4	8.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Completed back-to-back wins at Hamilton last month (all five wins have been there).
8 (7)	Bushfire Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	130	—	0-3784	65	82	51	14d	—	—	-5	7.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Slow-ground specialist; good third on reappearance at Pontefract (heavy) in April.
6 (2)	Helter Skelter Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Rebecca Menzies	133	p	465487	68	83	64	14d	—	—	-4	7.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Spoiled his chance by being slowly away last time but chance if breaking on level terms.
4 (6)	Dumfries Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	135	—	4-5906	70	82	53	15d	—	—	-1	7.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Hasn't kicked on for current yard this year; best left alone at present.
2 (3)	Fools Rush In Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	137	t	5-0949	72	85	45	9d	—	—	0	7.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Encouraging fourth here last month, but never on terms at Beverley nine days ago.
1 (4)	Too Much Brown J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:David Thompson	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:David Thompson	137	—	/317-6	72	77	-	20d	—	—	+4	5.9	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Last of six on turf/stable debut at Redcar last month; has plenty to prove.
NR (5)	Arranmore Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Micky Hammond	J:Billy Garritty T:Micky Hammond	128	—	-28087	63	82	84	9d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Hasn't won since August 2021; others preferred.

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Jkr Cobbler	7/2	7/2	7/2
Alpine Sierra	9/2	9/2	5/1
Golden Melody	7/1	13/2	13/2
Arkenstaar	5/1	11/2	11/2
Bushfire	7/1	13/2	13/2
Helter Skelter	13/2	6/1	13/2
Dumfries	9/1	10/1	9/1
Fools Rush In	10/1	9/1	10/1
Too Much	100/1	66/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jkr Cobbler

18.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Golden Melody

16.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.3

7/1

3rd

Alpine Sierra

8.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Arkenstaar

8.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Helter Skelter

7.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Fools Rush In

7.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Dumfries

7.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Bushfire

7.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Too Much

5.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Arranmore

4.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 1 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fools Rush In	72	85	45
Too Much	72	77	—
Arkenstaar	71	82	48
Dumfries	70	82	53
Alpine Sierra	68	83	57
Helter Skelter	68	83	64
Golden Melody	67	82	57
Bushfire	65	82	51
Jkr Cobbler	64	86	72
Arranmore	63	82	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fools Rush In	9d ago	Quick return
Arranmore	9d ago	Quick return
Alpine Sierra	14d ago	Fit
Bushfire	14d ago	Fit
Helter Skelter	14d ago	Fit
Dumfries	15d ago	Fit
Jkr Cobbler	17d ago	Fit
Arkenstaar	19d ago	Fit
Golden Melody	20d ago	Fit
Too Much	20d ago	Fit