Happy Valley

14:45

Ciron Handicap (Div II) (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course C) (Turf)

Date 2024-05-15
Distance 1m55y
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £65,915

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (11)
Affordable
Bay
J:L Hewitson
T:David A Hayes
J:L Hewitson
T:David A Hayes
135 tp -90998
59
68
-
10d
2.3
Three-time winner when trained in Australia but yet to make a splash after five local runs
2 (10)
Gallant Hero
Bay
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:D J Hall
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:D J Hall
134 5-8456
58
76
-
63d
2
Just a respectable sixth over 1m1f here last time but can't be ruled out off current mark
3 (2)
Turin Warrior
Bay
J:Karis Teetan
T:K L Man
J:Karis Teetan
T:K L Man
130 b 32-031
54
72
-
28d 0W/0P 1 run 0W/0P 1 run
1
Very belatedly opened HK account with C&D win last month; ought to run well again
4 (9)
Dragon Star
Chestnut
J:Zac Purton
T:P C Ng
J:Zac Purton
T:P C Ng
128 b 244455
52
77
-
28d
0.5
Ended 2023 with two C&D wins and has remained in good form; likely contender again
5 (1)
Holy Power
Bay
J:Alexis Badel
T:Jamie Richards
J:Alexis Badel
T:Jamie Richards
128 tb 8-0004
52
81
-
10d
0.5
Got back in the groove with close fourth at Sha Tin recently and is well drawn here
6 (5)
Gallant Crown
Bay
J:Ellis Wong(7)
T:David A Hayes
J:Ellis Wong(7)
T:David A Hayes
125 tb 678200
49
76
-
14d
2.5
Went close over C&D in March but two lesser efforts have followed; too risky
7 (8)
Setanta
Bay
J:L J Ferraris
T:Mark Newnham
J:L J Ferraris
T:Mark Newnham
125 tb 007635
49
77
-
14d
2.1
Placed over C&D last month but not the force of old; others preferred
8 (3)
Family Fortune
Bay
J:K H Alfred Chan(5)
T:C Fownes
J:K H Alfred Chan(5)
T:C Fownes
124 t 008
48
67
-
17d
0
Unexposed after only three starts (5f-7f) but needs to improve to pose a threat
9 (7)
Mr Aladdin
Bay
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:P C Ng
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:P C Ng
122 b 265344
46
78
-
7d 0W/0P 1 run
1.5
In the frame on last three appearances; would appeal more over further, though
10 (6)
Running Ahead
Bay
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:T P Yung
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:T P Yung
119 -77493
43
82
-
28d
3
0-17 in Hong Kong but was placed off today's mark over 1m1f here last month
11 (4)
Nice Birdie
Bay
J:Angus Chung(3)
T:C S Shum
J:Angus Chung(3)
T:C S Shum
117 t 785521
41
73
-
35d
13.5
Two Class 5 wins this season, the latter over 1m3f last month; vulnerable in this grade

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Nice Birdie
13.5
OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0
2nd Running Ahead
3
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0
3rd Gallant Crown
2.5
OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0
4 Affordable
2.3
OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
5 Setanta
2.1
OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0
6 Gallant Hero
2
OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0
7 Mr Aladdin
1.5
OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0
8 Turin Warrior
1
OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Dragon Star
0.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Holy Power
0.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Family Fortune
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Affordable
59
68
Gallant Hero
58
76
Turin Warrior
54
72
Dragon Star
52
77
Holy Power
52
81
Gallant Crown
49
76
Setanta
49
77
Family Fortune
48
67
Mr Aladdin
46
78
Running Ahead
43
82
Nice Birdie
41
73

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Mr Aladdin 7d ago Quick return
Affordable 10d ago Quick return
Holy Power 10d ago Quick return
Gallant Crown 14d ago Fit
Setanta 14d ago Fit
Family Fortune 17d ago Fit
Turin Warrior 28d ago Fit
Dragon Star 28d ago Fit
Running Ahead 28d ago Fit
Nice Birdie 35d ago Fit
Gallant Hero 63d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m55y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.