Sinclair Discovery Handicap Hurdle (Div II) – Ludlow

Ludlow

16:38

Sinclair Discovery Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Date 2024-05-12

Distance 2m5f55y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,961

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	Karakoram Bay J:Ben Jones T:Grace Harris	J:Ben Jones T:Grace Harris	146	tp	5689-4	78	100	78	5d	—	—	-5	12	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Tuesday's run at Ffos Las off this career-low mark needs improving on markedly
7	Flashy Boy Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	155	t	/5664-	87	99	74	189d	—	—	-1	13.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
1-5 in Irish points and 0-5 (modest form) for T Lacey over hurdles; wind op and tongue-tie
4	Mactavish Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	163	—	31132-	95	101	84	129d	—	—	+18	30.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
129-day absence asks a question but he'll be a contender if resuming on song
3	Bethpage Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	164	—	/6341-	96	97	80	23d	—	—	+15	26.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won eight-runner race at Fontwell (2m1f, good) by 4l last time on handicap debut; up 5lb
6	Deadlock Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Alastair Ralph	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Alastair Ralph	155	—	40664-	87	99	72	48d	—	—	+2	12.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
0-8; stayed on for fourth of 11 at Huntingdon (2m4f, good) last time; could have a say
11	No Worries Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	142	tp	3689P-	74	95	74	168d	—	—	0	8.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Out of form in the autumn; had good record after a break, prior to last season
9	Methusalar Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	148	tp	6U6PP-	80	-	64	64d	—	—	+2	9.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Essentially disappointing since winning over hurdles in May 2022; now tries cheekpieces
5	Pawpaw Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:D J Jeffreys	J:Gavin Sheehan T:D J Jeffreys	161	tv	44PPP-	93	-	-	100d	—	—	+7	12.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Two chase wins at 2m5f (good to soft) for David Bridgwater last spring; form has nosedived
8	Chinook Bay J:Joe Anderson(3) T:Sheila Lewis	J:Joe Anderson(3) T:Sheila Lewis	153	—	5/FP6-	85	101	76	18d	—	—	+7	9.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Has a reduced mark but needs a revival on this second run since her winter break
NR	Kingston Kid Grey J:NON-RUNNER(3) T:Georgie Howell	J:NON-RUNNER(3) T:Georgie Howell	168	t	4F669-	100	101	98	173d	—	—	—	12.5	—	—
Out of form last autumn in his last two runs for Eugene O'Sullivan; usually wears headgear
NR	Kapamazov Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:James Evans	J:NON-RUNNER T:James Evans	164	—	/0647-	96	100	78	22d	—	—	—	11.5	—	—
Respectable runs for new yard in his three handicaps but he needs to find something extra

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Karakoram	7/2	7/2	7/2
Flashy Boy	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mactavish	11/2	11/2	11/2
Bethpage	11/2	11/2	11/2
Deadlock	13/2	13/2	13/2
No Worries	15/2	15/2	15/2
Methusalar	9/1	9/1	9/1
Pawpaw	18/1	18/1	18/1
Chinook	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mactavish

30.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 15.7 Odds: 3.3

11/2

2nd

Bethpage

26.3

OR: 11.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

3rd

Flashy Boy

13.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Kingston Kid

12.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Pawpaw

12.2

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Deadlock

12.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Karakoram

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Kapamazov

11.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Methusalar

9.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Chinook

9.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

No Worries

8.5

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kingston Kid	100	101	98
Bethpage	96	97	80
Kapamazov	96	100	78
Mactavish	95	101	84
Pawpaw	93	—	—
Flashy Boy	87	99	74
Deadlock	87	99	72
Chinook	85	101	76
Methusalar	80	—	64
Karakoram	78	100	78
No Worries	74	95	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Karakoram	5d ago	Quick return
Chinook	18d ago	Fit
Kapamazov	22d ago	Fit
Bethpage	23d ago	Fit
Deadlock	48d ago	Fresh
Methusalar	64d ago	Fresh
Pawpaw	100d ago	Long break
Mactavish	129d ago	Long break
No Worries	168d ago	Long break
Kingston Kid	173d ago	Long break
Flashy Boy	189d ago	Long break