Alex Scott Maiden Stakes (Colts & Geldings) – Newmarket

Newmarket

16:05

Alex Scott Maiden Stakes (Colts & Geldings)

Date 2024-04-16

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,154

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Kikkuli Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Harry Charlton	J:Ryan Moore T:Harry Charlton	128	—	2-	-	101	44	165d	—	—	-13	12.6	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Half-brother to Frankel and his promising debut effort here last year has worked out well
1 (12)	Creative Story Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	2	-	98	-	48d	—	—	-14	13.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Defied market weakness with his Kempton 2nd; likely there's a lot more to come from him
6 (1)	Manhattan Mirage Bay J:David Egan T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:David Egan T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	32-2	85	99	81	23d	—	—	+5	17.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Strong form claims and he has an edge in experience over all of today's rivals
3 (5)	Gracious Leader Bay J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	128	—	6-	-	80	68	183d	—	—	-8	3.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Only midfield at Yarmouth last Oct but was favourite and perhaps soft ground didn't suit
10 (8)	Skukuza Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ed Dunlop	128	—	23-	-	96	83	244d	—	—	0	9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Lots of promise in both runs at two and perhaps beaten by good horses the last time
11 (10)	The Amazon Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
150,000gns 2yo; stable won this with a subsequent Group-race winner in 2019
7 (4)	Mount Teide Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
170,000gns yearling; fourth foal; half-brother to winners Stela Star (7f Group 3; RPR 102)
9 (9)	Primo Lara Chestnut J:Laura Pearson T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Laura Pearson T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	42-	-	88	70	182d	—	—	+2	6.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Beaten twice last season but returns now gelded and there's still plenty of upside
8 (2)	Perry Mason Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Tom Marquand T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well-bred newcomer; watching brief seems best with his future likely to be over further
12 (7)	Usuario Amigo Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:James Owen	J:Callum Shepherd T:James Owen	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Seventh foal; brother to 6f 2yo winner Pretty Pollyanna (including Group 1 Prix Morny)
5 (11)	Leitrim Spirit Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Brian Meehan	J:Rob Hornby T:Brian Meehan	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Fetched 100,000gns as a yearling but only 8,000gns at three; gelded ahead of debut
2 (6)	Gowareagle Bay J:Liam Wright(7) T:George Scott	J:Liam Wright(7) T:George Scott	128	—	35	-	82	-	45d	—	—	+2	2.3	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Close third over 6f on the Lingfield AW in February but then only fifth at Wolverhampton

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Kikkuli	5/2	9/4	9/4
Creative Story	2/1	2/1	2/1
Manhattan Mirage	7/1	13/2	13/2
Gracious Leader	8/1	15/2	15/2
Skukuza	8/1	9/1	9/1
The Amazon	9/1	9/1	17/2
Mount Teide	25/1	25/1	25/1
Primo Lara	25/1	28/1	28/1
Perry Mason	33/1	33/1	28/1
Usuario Amigo	80/1	80/1	80/1
Leitrim Spirit	150/1	100/1	100/1
Gowareagle	250/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Manhattan Mirage

17.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

7/1

2nd

Creative Story

13.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8.4

2/1

3rd

Kikkuli

12.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 7.6

5/2

Skukuza

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Primo Lara

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Gracious Leader

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

The Amazon

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Gowareagle

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Mount Teide

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Perry Mason

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Usuario Amigo

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Leitrim Spirit

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Manhattan Mirage	85	99	81
Kikkuli	—	101	44
Creative Story	—	98	—
Gracious Leader	—	80	68
Skukuza	—	96	83
The Amazon	—	—	—
Mount Teide	—	—	—
Primo Lara	—	88	70
Perry Mason	—	—	—
Usuario Amigo	—	—	—
Leitrim Spirit	—	—	—
Gowareagle	—	82	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Manhattan Mirage	23d ago	Fit
Gowareagle	45d ago	Fit
Creative Story	48d ago	Fresh
Kikkuli	165d ago	Long break
Primo Lara	182d ago	Long break
Gracious Leader	183d ago	Long break
Skukuza	244d ago	Long break
The Amazon	—	—
Mount Teide	—	—
Perry Mason	—	—
Usuario Amigo	—	—
Leitrim Spirit	—	—