Close Brothers Manifesto Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Aintree

13:45

Date 2024-04-11

Distance 2m3f200y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £67,524

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Grey Dawning Grey J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	161	—	-31211	158	172	155	28d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	+23	63.4	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Landed the Turners, beating Ginny's Destiny by 2l; top on ratings and still improving
5	Il Etait Temps Grey J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	161	ht	2-1213	155	164	144	30d	—	—	+13	37	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Arkle effort suggests this return to a longer trip is well worth exploring; possibilities
3	Ginny's Destiny Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	161	—	-71112	155	169	153	28d	—	—	+34	51.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Progressive front-runner; ties in closely with Grey Dawning on two pieces of chase form
1	Blow Your Wad Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	161	tp	-22161	145	158	142	47d	—	—	+36	43.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Fresher than his rivals, having bypassed Cheltenham, and may rate higher still
2	Colonel Harry Chestnut J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	161	t	-12136	147	157	137	28d	—	—	+32	36.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Turners effort confirms that he's below the top tier in this division

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Grey Dawning	11/10	11/10	11/10
Il Etait Temps	5/2	5/2	5/2
Ginny's Destiny	4/1	4/1	7/2
Blow Your Wad	12/1	11/1	10/1
Colonel Harry	22/1	22/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Grey Dawning

63.4

OR: 27 Form: 23.1 Odds: 13.3

11/10

2nd

Ginny's Destiny

51.5

OR: 26.3 Form: 20 Odds: 5.2

4/1

3rd

Blow Your Wad

43.2

OR: 23.8 Form: 17.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Il Etait Temps

OR: 26.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Colonel Harry

36.1

OR: 24.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Grey Dawning	158	172	155
Il Etait Temps	155	164	144
Ginny's Destiny	155	169	153
Colonel Harry	147	157	137
Blow Your Wad	145	158	142

Last Run