Happy Valley

12:10

Lok Fu Handicap (Div I) (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf)

Date 2024-03-27
Distance 6f
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £65,915

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R13 (13)
Cervin
Grey
J:TBC
T:W Y So
J:
T:W Y So
123 t 6-0
48
61
-
17d
0
Only the two races but they were almost a year apart; obviously had his problems
R14 (14)
Flying Phantom
Chestnut
J:TBC
T:J Size
J:
T:J Size
125 h 5-7258
50
76
-
21d
0
Unexposed 3yo who ran a big race over C&D in January but not in quite the same form since
1 (9)
Run Run Cool
Brown
J:Hugh Bowman
T:F C Lor
J:Hugh Bowman
T:F C Lor
135 e/s -85006
60
79
-
14d
2.5
Recent efforts underwhelming; will need this drop in grade to spark an upturn in fortunes
2 (10)
Golden Luck
Bay
J:L Hewitson
T:K L Man
J:L Hewitson
T:K L Man
130 t 36-671
55
72
-
35d
1.3
Back to his best with comfortable C&D win last month; up 7lb but has more in the locker
3 (3)
Ragnarr
Chestnut
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:T P Yung
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:T P Yung
129 t 0-8048
54
77
-
21d
1
Australia winner; quiet in Hong Kong but eases further in the weights and better to come
4 (12)
Superb Witness
Bay
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:David A Hayes
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:David A Hayes
127 t
52
-
-
0.5
AUD$160,000 yearling; only moderate promise in trials and likely to need further in time
5 (8)
Yee Cheong Raider
Bay
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:Jamie Richards
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:Jamie Richards
127 tb 9
52
59
-
31d
0.5
Never threatened when finishing ninth on last month's debut; can only be watched
6 (4)
Yoda's Choice
Grey
J:Karis Teetan
T:P C Ng
J:Karis Teetan
T:P C Ng
126 p 74
51
72
-
21d
0.3
Out of a three-time winner (5f-7f) and showed plenty of promise in two C&D starts
7 (5)
Glory B
Bay
J:K De Melo
T:Douglas Whyte
J:K De Melo
T:Douglas Whyte
123 hp 90-0
48
67
-
66d
0
Unable to land a significant blow in three starts; need to find plenty of improvement
8 (7)
Lucky Quality
Brown
J:K H Alfred Chan(5)
T:C Fownes
J:K H Alfred Chan(5)
T:C Fownes
122 tv 26-082
47
78
-
28d
0
Veteran showed he retains plenty of ability when hitting the bar here four weeks ago
9 (6)
Hercules
Brown
J:Alexis Badel
T:C H Yip
J:Alexis Badel
T:C H Yip
121 tb 23-125
46
75
-
14d
0
C&D Class 5 winner in January; solid efforts since and still feasibly treated on old form
10 (2)
Colonel
Bay
J:H T Mo(2)
T:P F Yiu
J:H T Mo(2)
T:P F Yiu
117 v -30613
42
80
-
14d
10.6
Scored over C&D then made the frame off revised mark next time; drawn to go well again
11 (1)
Winning Heart
Bay
J:Harry Bentley
T:A S Cruz
J:Harry Bentley
T:A S Cruz
117 tv -04974
42
77
-
14d
0
Began current campaign with a couple of pleasing efforts but mainly disappointing since
12 (11)
Alloy King
Bay
J:M L Yeung
T:Jimmy Ting
J:M L Yeung
T:Jimmy Ting
116 v 08-280
41
74
-
14d
0
5-41; not the easiest to predict and may need to return to Class 5 to resume winning ways

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Colonel
10.6
OR: 0 Form: 10.6 Odds: 0
2nd Run Run Cool
2.5
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
3rd Golden Luck
1.3
OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
4 Ragnarr
1
OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0
5 Superb Witness
0.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
6 Yee Cheong Raider
0.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
7 Yoda's Choice
0.3
OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
8 Cervin
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Flying Phantom
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Glory B
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Lucky Quality
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Hercules
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Winning Heart
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Alloy King
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Run Run Cool
60
79
Golden Luck
55
72
Ragnarr
54
77
Superb Witness
52
Yee Cheong Raider
52
59
Yoda's Choice
51
72
Flying Phantom
50
76
Cervin
48
61
Glory B
48
67
Lucky Quality
47
78
Hercules
46
75
Colonel
42
80
Winning Heart
42
77
Alloy King
41
74

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Run Run Cool 14d ago Fit
Hercules 14d ago Fit
Colonel 14d ago Fit
Winning Heart 14d ago Fit
Alloy King 14d ago Fit
Cervin 17d ago Fit
Flying Phantom 21d ago Fit
Ragnarr 21d ago Fit
Yoda's Choice 21d ago Fit
Lucky Quality 28d ago Fit
Yee Cheong Raider 31d ago Fit
Golden Luck 35d ago Fit
Glory B 66d ago Fresh
Superb Witness

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.