European Breeders' Fund Betfair 'National Hunt' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Final (Premier H'cap) (GBB)

Sandown

13:50

Date 2024-03-09

Distance 2m3f173y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-7yo

Prize £45,016

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Hasthing Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	160	—	23-117	119	128	103	28d	—	—	+3	23.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Well found in the market but probably for good reason now returning to a better distance
1	Fire Flyer Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	168	—	7-2211	127	127	82	32d	—	—	+10	22.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Has earned himself top weight and the potential is there to rate higher
3	Champagne Twist Bay J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	165	—	F1-421	124	128	110	41d	—	—	+11	21.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Scopey 6yo going the right way and a thorough test on this ground shouldn't faze him
4	Asta La Pasta Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	165	t	-13311	124	127	118	44d	—	—	+34	42.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
3-5 over hurdles but beaten in his previous handicap and is now 9lb higher
5	Pic Roc Chestnut J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	164	—	32-521	123	130	120	21d	—	—	+13	20.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Recent Ascot winner improving all the time and has to rate a strong contender
6	Dartmoor Pirate Bay J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Anthony Honeyball	162	—	7-7122	121	124	106	37d	—	—	+14	19.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Compiling a solid profile and there's scope for improvement now raised in distance
9	Roger Pol Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	160	—	1-2122	119	130	120	38d	—	—	+21	25.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Closely matched with Awaythelad on latest run but there are others to worry about
11	Taras Halls Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Sue Smith	J:Henry Brooke T:Sue Smith	158	—	0-F722	117	125	111	41d	—	—	+14	18	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has a 7lb pull with Champagne Twist on their latest clash and this ground may suit better
10	Westerninthepark Bay J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Anthony Charlton	J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Anthony Charlton	159	—	10-311	118	126	99	22d	—	—	+14	18.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has won weak races at minor tracks but he's a big horse with plenty more to offer
7	Awaythelad Bay J:David Bass T:Ben Pauling	J:David Bass T:Ben Pauling	161	tp	2-7211	120	127	109	38d	—	—	+19	21.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
2-8 hurdling; likeable type who should run well but ultimately come up short
2	Emailandy Bay J:Bryony Frost T:Paul Nicholls	J:Bryony Frost T:Paul Nicholls	168	tp	3-1322	127	129	113	32d	—	—	+19	22.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Cheekpieces join force with his regular tongue-tie and they need to make a difference
15	Saladins Son Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	156	—	13-452	115	129	109	41d	—	—	+14	17	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Lightly raced but this mark wouldn't be a gift on what he's achieved thus far
12	High Treason Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	158	t	23-341	117	120	79	24d	—	—	+15	17.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Opening mark looks challenging but he could be open to progress in a race of this nature
16	Thank You Ma'am Chestnut J:Miss Olive Nicholls(7) T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Miss Olive Nicholls(7) T:Georgina Nicholls	154	—	-03222	113	127	102	24d	—	—	+26	28.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Second on h'cap debut at Hereford and now 4lb higher in a much stronger race
14	Walks Like The Man Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Anthony Charlton	J:Jonathan Burke T:Anthony Charlton	157	—	-17314	116	125	103	41d	—	—	+25	27.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
His Plumpton win is his standout hurdle form and he's not wildly appealing even on that
13	Tedley Bay J:Jordan Nailor T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Jordan Nailor T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	157	—	362421	116	125	116	10d	—	—	+30	32	10.00/1	40/1 2%
It was a weak maiden he won at Wincanton and others have more compelling credentials
17	Diplomatic Ash Bay J:David Noonan T:Gary Moore	J:David Noonan T:Gary Moore	154	t	8320	113	127	101	35d	—	—	+20	21	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Went off 28-1 for handicap debut here last month and trailed home last

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Hasthing	11/4	11/4	11/4
Fire Flyer	5/1	5/1	5/1
Champagne Twist	13/2	13/2	13/2
Asta La Pasta	8/1	8/1	8/1
Pic Roc	10/1	10/1	10/1
Dartmoor Pirate	12/1	12/1	12/1
Roger Pol	16/1	16/1	16/1
Taras Halls	16/1	16/1	16/1
Westerninthepark	16/1	16/1	16/1
Awaythelad	25/1	25/1	25/1
Emailandy	22/1	22/1	22/1
Saladins Son	25/1	25/1	25/1
High Treason	33/1	33/1	33/1
Thank You Ma'am	33/1	33/1	33/1
Walks Like The Man	33/1	33/1	33/1
Tedley	40/1	40/1	40/1
Diplomatic Ash	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Asta La Pasta

42.3

OR: 18.5 Form: 21.4 Odds: 2.4

8/1

2nd

Tedley

OR: 16.5 Form: 15 Odds: 0.5

40/1

3rd

Thank You Ma'am

28.2

OR: 15.8 Form: 11.9 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Walks Like The Man

27.6

OR: 16.5 Form: 10.5 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Roger Pol

25.5

OR: 17.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Hasthing

23.4

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Fire Flyer

22.9

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Emailandy

22.2

OR: 19.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Awaythelad

21.8

OR: 17.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Champagne Twist

21.4

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Diplomatic Ash

OR: 15.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Pic Roc

20.2

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Dartmoor Pirate

19.4

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Westerninthepark

18.2

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Taras Halls

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

High Treason

17.3

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Saladins Son

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fire Flyer	127	127	82
Emailandy	127	129	113
Champagne Twist	124	128	110
Asta La Pasta	124	127	118
Pic Roc	123	130	120
Dartmoor Pirate	121	124	106
Awaythelad	120	127	109
Hasthing	119	128	103
Roger Pol	119	130	120
Westerninthepark	118	126	99
Taras Halls	117	125	111
High Treason	117	120	79
Walks Like The Man	116	125	103
Tedley	116	125	116
Saladins Son	115	129	109
Thank You Ma'am	113	127	102
Diplomatic Ash	113	127	101

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tedley	10d ago	Quick return
Pic Roc	21d ago	Fit
Westerninthepark	22d ago	Fit
High Treason	24d ago	Fit
Thank You Ma'am	24d ago	Fit
Hasthing	28d ago	Fit
Fire Flyer	32d ago	Fit
Emailandy	32d ago	Fit
Diplomatic Ash	35d ago	Fit
Dartmoor Pirate	37d ago	Fit
Roger Pol	38d ago	Fit
Awaythelad	38d ago	Fit
Champagne Twist	41d ago	Fit
Taras Halls	41d ago	Fit
Saladins Son	41d ago	Fit
Walks Like The Man	41d ago	Fit
Asta La Pasta	44d ago	Fit