Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:30

Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap

Date 2024-03-05

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (10)	Daafy Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	131	v	72-123	58	77	67	7d	—	—	-13	8.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Placed twice since last month's 7f course win and 1m also suits; probably in the mix again
5 (5)	King Of Speed Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	131	t	34-531	58	76	63	22d	—	—	-11	7.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Suited by step up to 8.6f when scoring at Wolverhampton last month; major player
4 (6)	The Follower Grey J:Adam Farragher T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Adam Farragher T:David & Nicola Barron	132	—	0/8-7	59	68	-	32d	—	—	-4	4.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Soundly beaten in three novices but might get more competitive in this low-grade handicap
12 (12)	Spring Romance Grey J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	126	tv	996336	53	75	66	7d	—	—	0	6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Placed twice over 7f last month but 1m is not ideal, and his last win was in March 2021
8 (7)	Amaysmont Bay J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Kevin Frost	J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Kevin Frost	130	—	457-47	57	73	48	24d	—	—	-1	3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Ran quite well over 7f here two starts ago but overall profile not persuasive
2 (11)	Candy Warhol Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	133	t	700-42	60	75	68	28d	—	—	-8	6.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Went very close over 7f at Wolverhampton last month and should be fine back at 1m
3 (8)	Perfect Swiss Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	b	698-61	60	78	68	19d	—	—	-14	9.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
7f course winner in first-time blinkers last month and probably better suited by 1m
1 (4)	Kessaar Power Bay J:J F Egan T:Phil McEntee	J:J F Egan T:Phil McEntee	135	h	6-8697	62	71	68	11d	—	—	0	4.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Out of form in recent weeks and did not convince stamina-wise when upped to 1m 11 days ago
11 (9)	Mintnthat Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	127	tv	6-7117	54	73	43	7d	—	—	-1	1.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Dual 1m winner for Iain Jardine in January; well beaten over 1m3f here on stable debut
10 (3)	Ciara Storm Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Scott Dixon	J:Rossa Ryan T:Scott Dixon	128	b	0750-8	55	74	57	15d	—	—	-2	2.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Nine-race maiden; close fifth at 200-1 in December but but well beaten twice since
7 (1)	Art Collection Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Sarah Hollinshead	J:Rob Hornby T:Sarah Hollinshead	130	—	8910-9	57	75	53	16d	—	—	+1	2.1	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Soundly beaten on both starts since returning to Britain, and not yet proven over 1m
9 (2)	Mickey Mongoose Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Olly Williams	J:Duran Fentiman T:Olly Williams	129	—	0090-7	56	76	24	19d	—	—	0	2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Turf winner last June but has become disappointing since

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Daafy	11/4	11/4	11/4
King Of Speed	4/1	9/2	9/2
The Follower	12/1	11/1	10/1
Spring Romance	14/1	12/1	12/1
Amaysmont	22/1	20/1	20/1
Candy Warhol	11/2	11/2	11/2
Perfect Swiss	9/4	5/2	5/2
Kessaar Power	33/1	20/1	20/1
Mintnthat	33/1	28/1	28/1
Ciara Storm	40/1	33/1	33/1
Art Collection	100/1	66/1	66/1
Mickey Mongoose	100/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Perfect Swiss

9.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Daafy

8.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

King Of Speed

7.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Candy Warhol

6.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Spring Romance

OR: 0.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.6

14/1

The Follower

4.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Kessaar Power

4.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Amaysmont

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Ciara Storm

2.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

40/1

Art Collection

2.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Mickey Mongoose

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Mintnthat

1.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kessaar Power	62	71	68
Candy Warhol	60	75	68
Perfect Swiss	60	78	68
The Follower	59	68	—
Daafy	58	77	67
King Of Speed	58	76	63
Amaysmont	57	73	48
Art Collection	57	75	53
Mickey Mongoose	56	76	24
Ciara Storm	55	74	57
Mintnthat	54	73	43
Spring Romance	53	75	66

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Daafy	7d ago	Quick return
Spring Romance	7d ago	Quick return
Mintnthat	7d ago	Quick return
Kessaar Power	11d ago	Quick return
Ciara Storm	15d ago	Fit
Art Collection	16d ago	Fit
Perfect Swiss	19d ago	Fit
Mickey Mongoose	19d ago	Fit
King Of Speed	22d ago	Fit
Amaysmont	24d ago	Fit
Candy Warhol	28d ago	Fit
The Follower	32d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.