BetUK Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:47

BetUK Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap

Date 2024-02-15

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,784

Winning Time 1m 13.30s (slow by 1.10s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Billyjoh (GB) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	11/10F	Won
2nd	Grenham Bay (IRE) Hayley Turner · Andrew Balding	14/1	1.5
3rd	Starshiba (GB) Luke Morris · Michael Appleby	14/1	.75
4th	Gulliver (GB) Hollie Doyle · David O'Meara	5/1	1
5th	Seven Brothers (IRE) David Allan · Scott Dixon	22/1	0.2
6th	Evocative Spark (IRE) Liam Wright · Darryll Holland	10/1	0.1
7th	Hiatus (IRE) Jack Gilligan · Conrad Allen	10/1	1.5
8th	Northern Spirit (GB) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	15/2	2.5
9th	She's Centimental (USA) Clifford Lee · Alice Haynes	16/1	.5
10th	Sluzewiec (FR) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	100/1	1

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (6)	Billyjoh Grey J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	135	—	5741-4	78	94	77	30d	—	—	-19	19.5	0.31/1	5/4 44%
C&D winner in December and stiffer track at Newcastle may have found him out last time
5 (5)	Northern Spirit Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	135	—	12233-	78	90	58	142d	—	—	+10	21.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Most consistent in 2023; considered if market is positive on return from five months off
10 (3)	Hiatus Bay J:Jack Gilligan T:Conrad Allen	J:Jack Gilligan T:Conrad Allen	126	—	838-41	69	93	77	21d	—	—	-2	7.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
4lb higher than when winning over C&D three weeks ago; contender for stable going well
4 (2)	Evocative Spark Bay J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	135	—	89-385	78	91	67	11d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-4	11.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
All four wins have come over 7f on turf and he is 0-7 on the AW; opposed over this trip
2 (9)	Gulliver Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David O'Meara	J:Hollie Doyle T:David O'Meara	136	p	63-840	79	92	73	11d	—	—	+1	9.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Sole win in last 37 starts came over C&D last September; capable but hard to predict
6 (8)	She's Centimental Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Alice Haynes	J:Clifford Lee T:Alice Haynes	131	p	65-819	74	93	70	5d	—	—	+1	8.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Latest Wolverhampton effort can be ignored but had previously won at Kempton; shortlisted
8 (7)	Grenham Bay Grey J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	127	p	223-59	70	93	80	26d	—	—	0	6.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Losing run up to 12 and below form the last twice; others look stronger
1 (10)	Starshiba Bay J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	137	v	14-679	80	93	73	11d	—	—	+3	9.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
2lb lower than when winning at Wolverhampton in December, but below form the last twice
9 (4)	Seven Brothers Bay J:David Allan T:Scott Dixon	J:David Allan T:Scott Dixon	126	—	/7006-	69	74	-	231d	—	—	+2	5.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has gone the wrong way and not seen in eight months; he does have a good record fresh
7 (1)	Sluzewiec Grey J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	129	—	960-59	72	86	47	30d	—	—	+4	6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Has beaten a total of two rivals in five starts since joining this yard; hard to fancy

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Billyjoh	5/4	6/5	6/5
Northern Spirit	7/1	13/2	13/2
Hiatus	8/1	15/2	15/2
Evocative Spark	15/2	8/1	15/2
Gulliver	9/1	10/1	10/1
She's Centimental	12/1	12/1	12/1
Grenham Bay	12/1	12/1	12/1
Starshiba	14/1	14/1	12/1
Seven Brothers	20/1	22/1	22/1
Sluzewiec	100/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Northern Spirit

21.2

OR: 7 Form: 11.1 Odds: 3.1

7/1

2nd

Billyjoh

19.5

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

5/4

3rd

Evocative Spark

11.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

8/1

Gulliver

9.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Starshiba

9.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

She's Centimental

8.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Hiatus

7.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Grenham Bay

6.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Sluzewiec

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Seven Brothers

5.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Starshiba	80	93	73
Gulliver	79	92	73
Billyjoh	78	94	77
Northern Spirit	78	90	58
Evocative Spark	78	91	67
She's Centimental	74	93	70
Sluzewiec	72	86	47
Grenham Bay	70	93	80
Hiatus	69	93	77
Seven Brothers	69	74	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
She's Centimental	5d ago	Quick return
Evocative Spark	11d ago	Quick return
Gulliver	11d ago	Quick return
Starshiba	11d ago	Quick return
Hiatus	21d ago	Fit
Grenham Bay	26d ago	Fit
Billyjoh	30d ago	Fit
Sluzewiec	30d ago	Fit
Northern Spirit	142d ago	Long break
Seven Brothers	231d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.