Virgin Bet Fives Handicap Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier)

Ayr

16:30

Date 2024-02-13

Distance 3m20y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £3,697

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Baron Briggs Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Sandy Thomson	J:Sean Quinlan T:Sandy Thomson	145	—	033-33	82	111	97	43d	—	—	-7	14.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Kept on well for third over 2m4f at Musselburgh last month; might do better over this trip
10	Cowboy Cooper Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	142	—	46-333	79	110	53	33d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-5	12.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
0-10 overall but made pretty good start to chasing when third at Catterick last month
3	Deep Charm Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	167	—	F-P112	104	111	97	30d	—	—	+3	17.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Well clear of third when going close on recent hat-trick bid; respected in current mood
7	Heritier De Sivola Chestnut J:Joe Williamson(5) T:Philip Kirby	J:Joe Williamson(5) T:Philip Kirby	145	p	7-8P05	82	100	64	47d	—	—	-2	12	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Yet to convince over fences but now dangerously well handicapped on hurdling form
6	Artic Breeze Bay J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Lucinda Russell	148	tp	6P2P-2	85	103	110	49d	—	—	+6	16.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Runner-up on seasonal/stable/chase debut at Market Rasen; can build on that performance
2	Camp Belan Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	167	b	5-4433	104	109	44	46d	—	—	+9	15.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Just 1-16 over fences but ended 2023 with some good efforts on slow ground; in the mix
11	Goodoldbill Bay J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Jane Walton	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Jane Walton	142	—	P6-P14	79	111	74	38d	—	—	+2	9.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Held on well for surprise Newcastle win in November but weakened tamely there last month
5	Gipsy Lee Rose Grey J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	150	tp	8-5315	87	110	50	46d	—	—	+6	10.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Not as good as she was but kept on stoutly for narrow win at Kelso in November; a possible
4	Skyhill Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Alison Hamilton	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Alison Hamilton	164	t	51-315	101	108	48	18d	—	—	+10	13.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Has very good strike-rate over fences but disappointed last time and remains on tough mark
NR	Post Chaise Grey J:TBC T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J: T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	168	p	5P-413	105	109	85	33d	—	—	—	13.8	—	—
3-7 over fences; confirmed wellbeing with good hurdle run last month; respected
NR	Sigurd Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Joanne Foster	J:NON-RUNNER T:Joanne Foster	143	tb	6P-6P4	80	114	-	20d	—	—	—	7.5	—	—
Unreliable veteran who was soundly beaten on last two outings; not the percentage call

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Baron Briggs	11/4	3/1	3/1
Cowboy Cooper	9/2	4/1	4/1
Deep Charm	11/2	5/1	5/1
Heritier De Sivola	5/1	5/1	5/1
Artic Breeze	6/1	7/1	7/1
Camp Belan	11/1	11/1	11/1
Goodoldbill	10/1	10/1	11/1
Gipsy Lee Rose	20/1	20/1	20/1
Skyhill	25/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Deep Charm

17.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

2nd

Artic Breeze

16.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

3rd

Camp Belan

15.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Baron Briggs

14.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Skyhill

13.8

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Post Chaise

13.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Cowboy Cooper

12.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Heritier De Sivola

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Gipsy Lee Rose

10.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Goodoldbill

9.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Sigurd

7.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Post Chaise	105	109	85
Deep Charm	104	111	97
Camp Belan	104	109	44
Skyhill	101	108	48
Gipsy Lee Rose	87	110	50
Artic Breeze	85	103	110
Baron Briggs	82	111	97
Heritier De Sivola	82	100	64
Sigurd	80	114	—
Cowboy Cooper	79	110	53
Goodoldbill	79	111	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Skyhill	18d ago	Fit
Sigurd	20d ago	Fit
Deep Charm	30d ago	Fit
Cowboy Cooper	33d ago	Fit
Post Chaise	33d ago	Fit
Goodoldbill	38d ago	Fit
Baron Briggs	43d ago	Fit
Camp Belan	46d ago	Fresh
Gipsy Lee Rose	46d ago	Fresh
Heritier De Sivola	47d ago	Fresh
Artic Breeze	49d ago	Fresh