Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30

Date 2024-02-10

Distance 1m4f51y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,400

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	King's Reign Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Charlie Appleby	J:Tom Marquand T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-21	9.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Beautifully bred and cost 1.5 million gns; one of two fascinating newcomers for the yard
8 (7)	Forest Fairy Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-18	8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Only filly in the line-up; classy middle-distance pedigree; top yard; worth a market check
4 (8)	Los Toldos Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Charlie Appleby	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-18	8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Like King's Reign he's bred to be useful; interesting to see which one the market favours
6 (4)	Torrent Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	133	—	63-	-	80	-	136d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Similar form in two outings in the autumn; open to progress and must be respected
1 (3)	Carnival Day Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	133	—	78-	-	71	49	63d	—	—	-4	1.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Signs of ability without posing threat in two runs; probably of more interest in long term
7 (5)	What A Night Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:David Evans	J:Cam Hardie T:David Evans	133	—	5	-	56	29	11d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Very green when fifth on debut at Southwell; improvement is possible but necessary
5 (1)	Succeed Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	133	—	0-	-	24	-	84d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
200-1 when a tailed-off last of 11 finishers on Lingfield debut (1m2f) in November
NR (6)	Flickering Halo Brown J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	—	43-3	76	82	48	32d	—	—	—	9.5	—	—
In frame all three starts, keeping-on third at Southwell last month; in the mix again

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
King's Reign	9/4	7/4	15/8
Forest Fairy	2/1	11/4	11/4
Los Toldos	3/1	5/2	5/2
Torrent	4/1	9/2	4/1
Carnival Day	28/1	18/1	22/1
What A Night	80/1	80/1	80/1
Succeed	250/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Flickering Halo

9.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

2nd

King's Reign

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

9/4

3rd

Forest Fairy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

11/4

Los Toldos

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

3/1

Torrent

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Carnival Day

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

28/1

What A Night

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Succeed

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Flickering Halo	76	82	48
King's Reign	—	—	—
Forest Fairy	—	—	—
Los Toldos	—	—	—
Torrent	—	80	—
Carnival Day	—	71	49
What A Night	—	56	29
Succeed	—	24	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
What A Night	11d ago	Quick return
Flickering Halo	32d ago	Fit
Carnival Day	63d ago	Fresh
Succeed	84d ago	Fresh
Torrent	136d ago	Long break
King's Reign	—	—
Forest Fairy	—	—
Los Toldos	—	—