At The Races App Expert Tips Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap Hurdle

Southwell

16:00

Date 2024-02-02

Distance 3m60y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Hermes Le Gris Grey J:Caoilin Quinn T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Caoilin Quinn T:Robbie Llewellyn	152	t	67P-35	78	97	-	244d	—	—	-11	15	0.63/1	5/2 29%
0-12; left Warren Greatrex for £2,500 in October; back over hurdles, without the hood
1	Getaway Glory Bay J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	168	t	1-964	94	94	66	38d	—	—	+5	23.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
No great shock were he to come into his own in tongue-tie over new trip on handicap debut
3	Hobb's Delight Bay J:Harry Kimber T:Neil Mulholland	J:Harry Kimber T:Neil Mulholland	164	—	5-3012	90	94	78	16d	—	—	-3	15.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Dead-heated for first at Fontwell (2m3f) and good second of 12 over C&D; firmly in the mix
7	Fantomas Bay J:James Turner(8) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:James Turner(8) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	155	p	4-6642	81	98	84	122d	—	—	-2	11.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Bits of 2023 hurdles form give him a chance, including his C&D second in October latest
9	Hammer Dan Bay J:Ellis Collier(3) T:David Pipe	J:Ellis Collier(3) T:David Pipe	149	t	0776-0	75	92	50	117d	—	—	-2	9.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Beaten at least 30l in a bumper and four attempts over hurdles; much longer trip this time
5	Inchester D'Amsyl Bay J:James Smith(3) T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:James Smith(3) T:Jonjo O'Neill	162	t	2F9-85	88	97	74	43d	—	—	+4	11.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Three handicaps; fifth of 15 at Exeter (2m5f) latest was a bit more encouraging; new trip
2	Ballynaheer Bay J:Fergus Gillard T:David Dennis	J:Fergus Gillard T:David Dennis	168	—	U2-705	94	87	62	24d	—	—	+8	12.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has not shown much over hurdles but tries a new trip on this handicap debut
6	Release The Kraken Bay J:Harry Atkins(10) T:Martin Keighley	J:Harry Atkins(10) T:Martin Keighley	161	v	4UPP-P	87	-	-	67d	—	—	+7	10.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Thrown in on old form; failed to complete in three runs for L Morgan and one for new yard
4	Matoury Bay J:Conor Rabbitt T:Mike Sowersby	J:Conor Rabbitt T:Mike Sowersby	163	t	058-33	89	81	30	224d	—	—	+8	10.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Better over hurdles than in bumpers; off since June and improvement is still needed

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Hermes Le Gris	5/2	5/2	5/2
Getaway Glory	7/2	7/2	7/2
Hobb's Delight	9/2	4/1	4/1
Fantomas	6/1	11/2	11/2
Hammer Dan	7/1	8/1	15/2
Inchester D'Amsyl	10/1	10/1	10/1
Ballynaheer	16/1	16/1	16/1
Release The Kraken	20/1	25/1	25/1
Matoury	125/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Getaway Glory

23.2

OR: 11 Form: 7 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Hobb's Delight

15.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Hermes Le Gris

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Ballynaheer

12.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Fantomas

11.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Inchester D'Amsyl

11.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Release The Kraken

10.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Matoury

10.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

125/1

Hammer Dan

9.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Getaway Glory	94	94	66
Ballynaheer	94	87	62
Hobb's Delight	90	94	78
Matoury	89	81	30
Inchester D'Amsyl	88	97	74
Release The Kraken	87	—	—
Fantomas	81	98	84
Hermes Le Gris	78	97	—
Hammer Dan	75	92	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hobb's Delight	16d ago	Fit
Ballynaheer	24d ago	Fit
Getaway Glory	38d ago	Fit
Inchester D'Amsyl	43d ago	Fit
Release The Kraken	67d ago	Fresh
Hammer Dan	117d ago	Long break
Fantomas	122d ago	Long break
Matoury	224d ago	Long break
Hermes Le Gris	244d ago	Long break