BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:25

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-01-29

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Seas Of Elzaam Bay J:Liam Keniry T:John Butler	J:Liam Keniry T:John Butler	135	—	72680-	55	69	35	121d	—	—	-17	11.6	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Inconsistent since last win but market support should be heeded; back from break
6 (3)	Blue Collar Lad Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Robyn Brisland	J:Rossa Ryan T:Robyn Brisland	133	p	7532-8	53	71	58	15d	—	—	-16	8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Consistent RPRs since returned to AW; respected with Rossa Ryan up for first time
10 (10)	Sea The Buckthorn Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Usher	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Usher	128	h	644-31	48	73	62	10d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Opened his account in similar event over C&D ten days ago, beating Fieldsman
8 (7)	Fieldsman Bay J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	132	—	751-22	52	71	61	10d	—	—	-7	3.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
In-form veteran; ties in closely with Sea The Buckthorn on C&D form ten days ago
4 (2)	Kodebreaker Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	133	p	033-35	53	70	61	10d	—	—	-6	3.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Form dipped last time but is generally consistent; attractively weighted
9 (1)	Dreamcasing Brown J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	130	—	97-415	50	67	47	12d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
In decent form at classified level this year, notably winning over C&D
2 (12)	Evasive Power Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Alice Haynes	134	p	00-543	54	66	58	5d	—	—	-3	2.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Encouraging form for new yard this year; return to 7f looks ideal; possibilities
5 (6)	Desert Boots Bay J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	133	v	6788-9	53	62	43	7d	—	—	-10	5.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Well below best in two runs for new stable this winter
7 (8)	Jumira Bridge Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	132	—	154-25	52	69	57	14d	—	—	-2	1.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Raced mostly at sprint trips; sole 7f attempt came in 2016; something to prove
3 (11)	Northbound Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Peter Niven	J:Ryan Sexton T:Peter Niven	134	—	42767-	54	67	46	125d	—	—	+1	3.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Absent since September and now makes debut for new yard; check the betting
12 (9)	Monitola Bay J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	127	h	070-28	47	64	53	14d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Did too much up front in the C&D event won by Dreamcasing
11 (5)	Isabelle Chestnut J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Adrian Wintle	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Adrian Wintle	128	—	07-9	48	56	-	17d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Needs plenty of improvement for the switch to handicaps

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Seas Of Elzaam	9/4	5/2	9/4
Blue Collar Lad	5/2	9/4	9/4
Sea The Buckthorn	7/1	13/2	13/2
Fieldsman	8/1	8/1	8/1
Kodebreaker	8/1	17/2	17/2
Dreamcasing	10/1	11/1	11/1
Evasive Power	16/1	16/1	16/1
Desert Boots	12/1	16/1	14/1
Jumira Bridge	28/1	28/1	25/1
Northbound	50/1	40/1	40/1
Monitola	100/1	80/1	80/1
Isabelle	200/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Seas Of Elzaam

11.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 8.9

5/2

2nd

Blue Collar Lad

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Desert Boots

5.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

16/1

Fieldsman

3.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Kodebreaker

3.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Sea The Buckthorn

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Northbound

3.2

OR: 1 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Evasive Power

2.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Dreamcasing

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Jumira Bridge

1.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Monitola

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Isabelle

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Seas Of Elzaam	55	69	35
Evasive Power	54	66	58
Northbound	54	67	46
Blue Collar Lad	53	71	58
Kodebreaker	53	70	61
Desert Boots	53	62	43
Fieldsman	52	71	61
Jumira Bridge	52	69	57
Dreamcasing	50	67	47
Sea The Buckthorn	48	73	62
Isabelle	48	56	—
Monitola	47	64	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Evasive Power	5d ago	Quick return
Desert Boots	7d ago	Quick return
Sea The Buckthorn	10d ago	Quick return
Fieldsman	10d ago	Quick return
Kodebreaker	10d ago	Quick return
Dreamcasing	12d ago	Quick return
Jumira Bridge	14d ago	Fit
Monitola	14d ago	Fit
Blue Collar Lad	15d ago	Fit
Isabelle	17d ago	Fit
Seas Of Elzaam	121d ago	Long break
Northbound	125d ago	Long break