Sha Tin

13:45

Kestrel Handicap (Div II) (Class 4) (3yo+) (Dirt)

Date 2024-01-24
Distance 6f
Class
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £65,915

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R13 (13)
Super Ten
Chestnut
J:TBC
T:C W Chang
J:
T:C W Chang
128 b 4000-0
53
81
-
23d
0.8
Badly out of form on turf for new stable this season; dirt debut today
R14 (14)
Running Boy
Bay
J:TBC
T:K W Lui
J:
T:K W Lui
127 t
52
-
-
0.5
Out of a 6f/7f winner; makes official debut after some underwhelming trials
1 (1)
Jolly Companion
Bay
J:Ellis Wong(10)
T:K L Man
J:Ellis Wong(10)
T:K L Man
135 /1696-
60
70
-
29d 0W/0P 1 run
5.5
Drops in grade for dirt debut; well drawn and capable 10lb claimer booked; interesting
2 (5)
Magic Supreme
Bay
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:K L Man
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:K L Man
134 tb 5102-9
59
74
-
17d
2.3
C&D winner this season but below form last time; younger rivals preferred
3 (7)
Top Top Tea
Bay
J:Hugh Bowman
T:C H Yip
J:Hugh Bowman
T:C H Yip
133 tv 05594-
58
76
-
35d
2
2-12 on turf; won C&D trial in November and makes official dirt debut from workable mark
4 (4)
Judy's Great
Bay
J:Zac Purton
T:C S Shum
J:Zac Purton
T:C S Shum
132 t 915-
57
73
-
29d
8.8
Unexposed 3yo who won over C&D last month; not in same form last time; still respected
5 (2)
Solid Shalaa
Bay
J:Karis Teetan
T:David A Hayes
J:Karis Teetan
T:David A Hayes
129 tb 4054-7
54
78
-
17d
1
Twice in frame on turf this season and won a C&D trial last month; well drawn; a possible
6 (8)
Diamond Flare
Grey
J:L J Ferraris
T:Mark Newnham
J:L J Ferraris
T:Mark Newnham
128 b 9151-2
53
82
-
17d
5.8
Made all over C&D in December and did quite well to finish second here last time; a player
7 (3)
Mayhem
Bay
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:F C Lor
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:F C Lor
124 h 69684-
49
71
-
38d
0
Stayed on for fourth over C&D on last month's dirt debut; well drawn again today
8 (6)
Speedy Smartie
Bay
J:L Hewitson
T:T P Yung
J:L Hewitson
T:T P Yung
124 t 98052-
49
74
-
29d
5
Began season in poor form on turf but twice ran well over C&D last month; in the mix
9 (11)
Joyful Life
Brown
J:K C Leung
T:P F Yiu
J:K C Leung
T:P F Yiu
123 tp 57-9
48
72
-
23d
0
Ran okay on debut in November but two lesser efforts followed; drawn wide for dirt debut
10 (9)
Nishikado
Chestnut
J:M L Yeung
T:Y S Tsui
J:M L Yeung
T:Y S Tsui
121 e/s 8946-6
46
81
-
3d
0
Recent turf runs have been respectable but others have more pressing claims
11 (12)
Valiant Elegance
Chestnut
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:Douglas Whyte
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:Douglas Whyte
121 tb 784-07
46
73
-
3d
0
Regressive 7yo who has not won since September 2022; drawn wide; others preferred
12 (10)
Strive For Glory
Bay
J:K De Melo
T:W Y So
J:K De Melo
T:W Y So
119 et 04176-
44
77
-
29d
5
Class 5 C&D winner last month but held twice in this higher grade since; drawn wide today

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Judy's Great
8.8
OR: 1.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0
2nd Diamond Flare
5.8
OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0
3rd Jolly Companion
5.5
OR: 2.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0
4 Speedy Smartie
5
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0
5 Strive For Glory
5
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0
6 Magic Supreme
2.3
OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
7 Top Top Tea
2
OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0
8 Solid Shalaa
1
OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Super Ten
0.8
OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Running Boy
0.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Mayhem
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Joyful Life
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Nishikado
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Valiant Elegance
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Jolly Companion
60
70
Magic Supreme
59
74
Top Top Tea
58
76
Judy's Great
57
73
Solid Shalaa
54
78
Super Ten
53
81
Diamond Flare
53
82
Running Boy
52
Mayhem
49
71
Speedy Smartie
49
74
Joyful Life
48
72
Nishikado
46
81
Valiant Elegance
46
73
Strive For Glory
44
77

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Nishikado 3d ago Quick return
Valiant Elegance 3d ago Quick return
Magic Supreme 17d ago Fit
Solid Shalaa 17d ago Fit
Diamond Flare 17d ago Fit
Super Ten 23d ago Fit
Joyful Life 23d ago Fit
Jolly Companion 29d ago Fit
Judy's Great 29d ago Fit
Speedy Smartie 29d ago Fit
Strive For Glory 29d ago Fit
Top Top Tea 35d ago Fit
Mayhem 38d ago Fit
Running Boy

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Sha Tin over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.