Welcombe Hills Vineyard Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div I)

Warwick

13:35

Date 2024-01-22

Distance 2m3f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,221

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Lightening Mahler Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	166	t	1-1	-	113	93	18d	—	—	-14	32.4	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Irish point winner and justified market confidence on her hurdling debut at Hereford
5	Either Or Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	159	—	8F41-2	-	-	-	61d	—	—	-20	16.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Fair to say others have achieved more but she's entitled to improve for her top yard
3	Victoria Milano Bay J:Jack Tudor T:Alastair Ralph	J:Jack Tudor T:Alastair Ralph	166	—	4-1	-	107	71	88d	—	—	0	14	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Did it fairly emphatically at Ludlow and she's bred to progress with her racing
10	Spring Gale Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Henry Daly	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Henry Daly	159	—	87-6	-	83	41	33d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
A wind operation could bring her on but she has no obvious form claims
6	Elusiveness Brown J:Lorcan Williams T:Jeremy Scott	J:Lorcan Williams T:Jeremy Scott	159	—	06	-	83	64	32d	—	—	-2	0.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Could only plod on at the one pace when beaten 25l on hurdling debut at Exeter
8	Quite The Getaway Grey J:Jordan Nailor T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Jordan Nailor T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	159	—	28-369	-	75	56	18d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Tailed off in two hurdles for this yard and handicaps will probably be more like it
7	Luna Run Bay J:Conor Ring(3) T:Evan Williams	J:Conor Ring(3) T:Evan Williams	159	—	4-7	-	73	41	18d	—	—	-1	0.2	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Hard to enthuse over after finishing tailed off behind Lightening Mahler at Hereford
9	Spirit Of Jacob Chestnut J:Paul O'Brien T:Henrietta C Knight	J:Paul O'Brien T:Henrietta C Knight	159	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Low-level Flat form from 1m3f to 2m and unlikely to be up to the job on hurdling debut
NR	Jeune Belle Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Lucy Wadham	J:NON-RUNNER T:Lucy Wadham	166	—	4-121P	-	111	52	1d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Something appeared to go amiss when pulled up at Lingfield yesterday
NR	Dromlac Jury Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Symonds	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Symonds	159	—	F-P	-	-	-	18d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Bought for £125,000 after point fall; surely capable of better than she showed at Hereford
NR	Time In The Sun Chestnut J:Richard Patrick T:Henry Daly	J:Richard Patrick T:Henry Daly	159	—	8-240	-	107	71	67d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Two good runs at Ludlow and something was probably amiss last time at Market Rasen

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Lightening Mahler	4/5	5/6	10/11
Either Or	11/8	11/8	11/8
Victoria Milano	13/2	11/2	11/2
Spring Gale	25/1	25/1	25/1
Elusiveness	50/1	28/1	25/1
Quite The Getaway	150/1	125/1	125/1
Luna Run	400/1	200/1	200/1
Spirit Of Jacob	300/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lightening Mahler

32.4

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 15.4

10/11

2nd

Either Or

16.8

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 11.8

11/8

3rd

Victoria Milano

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4

13/2

Spring Gale

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Elusiveness

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Quite The Getaway

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Luna Run

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400/1

Spirit Of Jacob

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Jeune Belle

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dromlac Jury

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Time In The Sun

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lightening Mahler	—	113	93
Either Or	—	—	—
Victoria Milano	—	107	71
Spring Gale	—	83	41
Elusiveness	—	83	64
Quite The Getaway	—	75	56
Luna Run	—	73	41
Spirit Of Jacob	—	—	—
Jeune Belle	—	111	52
Dromlac Jury	—	—	—
Time In The Sun	—	107	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jeune Belle	1d ago	Quick return
Lightening Mahler	18d ago	Fit
Quite The Getaway	18d ago	Fit
Luna Run	18d ago	Fit
Dromlac Jury	18d ago	Fit
Elusiveness	32d ago	Fit
Spring Gale	33d ago	Fit
Either Or	61d ago	Fresh
Time In The Sun	67d ago	Fresh
Victoria Milano	88d ago	Fresh
Spirit Of Jacob	—	—