Stayers Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) – Wincanton

Wincanton

15:00

Stayers Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2024-01-12

Distance 3m150y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,221

Winning Time 6m 33.03s (slow by 41.03s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Oak Creek (IRE) Mr Ben Sutton · Tom George	4/1	Won
2nd	Illico De Cotte (FR) Fergus Gillard · Dan Skelton	7/2	1
3rd	Galloping Pride (IRE) Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	14/1	6.5
4th	Howaya Now (IRE) Harry Bannister · Richard J Bandey	11/4F	1
5th	Jalisco Star (IRE) Niall Houlihan · Laura Horsfall	150/1	19
6th	Hey Brother (FR) Jonathan Burke · Alan King	12/1	18
7th	Paddy De Pole (IRE) Lorcan Williams · Paul Nicholls	14/1	10
8th	Monbari (FR) Ben Jones · Rebecca Curtis	10/1	20

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Ballywalter (IRE) Brendan Powell · Henrietta C Knight	28/1
P.U.	Ellies Sister (IRE) Will Featherstone · Jamie Snowden	125/1
P.U.	Robinsville (GB) Freddie Gingell · Joe Tizzard	22/1
P.U.	Spot Of Bother (IRE) Nick Scholfield · Archie Watson	15/2

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Howaya Now Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Richard J Bandey	J:Harry Bannister T:Richard J Bandey	160	—	2532-F	116	125	106	65d	—	—	+1	23.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
2nd at Newbury (3m, soft) on handicap debut is the best form in this; fell on chase debut
5	Illico De Cotte Chestnut J:Fergus Gillard T:Dan Skelton	J:Fergus Gillard T:Dan Skelton	160	—	1-2P	-	122	94	27d	—	—	-9	13.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Disappointing at 5-1 in 3m Grade 2 novice at Cheltenham but is surely worth another chance
7	Oak Creek Bay J:Mr Ben Sutton(7) T:Tom George	J:Mr Ben Sutton(7) T:Tom George	160	—	3/42-3	116	119	99	51d	—	—	+9	26	1.13/1	9/2 18%
This step back up in trip is likely to suit and he's a strong each-way contender
6	Monbari Bay J:Ben Jones T:Rebecca Curtis	J:Ben Jones T:Rebecca Curtis	160	—	2-49	-	107	96	27d	—	—	-4	6.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Some ability before tailed off at 125-1 in Grade 2 novice event at Cheltenham (3m, soft)
8	Paddy De Pole Bay J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	160	—	541-35	-	107	68	6d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Third run over hurdles; it's too early to dismiss him but others have accomplished more
10	Spot Of Bother Grey J:Nick Scholfield T:Archie Watson	J:Nick Scholfield T:Archie Watson	160	—	43/	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	5.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Minor honours in two Irish maiden points early in 2022
1	Ballywalter Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Henrietta C Knight	J:Brendan Powell T:Henrietta C Knight	160	—	P/5P-1	-	-	-	—	—	—	+3	11.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won in October (3m, heavy) at the sixth attempt in Irish maiden points and did so by 15l
3	Hey Brother Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Alan King	J:Jonathan Burke T:Alan King	160	—	243-03	-	103	85	48d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
20l third of seven in maiden at Huntingdon (3m1f, good) on second run over hurdles
2	Galloping Pride Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	160	—	2/6	-	95	77	59d	—	—	+1	4.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Hurdle debut was modest form but he shaped as if this longer trip could help
9	Robinsville Bay J:Freddie Gingell(5) T:Joe Tizzard	J:Freddie Gingell(5) T:Joe Tizzard	160	—	97-284	86	99	69	43d	—	—	+6	10.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Probably stays 3m but none of his form poses a threat on these terms
11	Ellies Sister Bay J:Will Featherstone(10) T:Jamie Snowden	J:Will Featherstone(10) T:Jamie Snowden	153	—	52-5	-	85	34	235d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
12l second in a bumper; lots to learn judged by her hurdle debut (2m7f, good) last May
12	Jalisco Star Bay J:Niall Houlihan T:Laura Horsfall	J:Niall Houlihan T:Laura Horsfall	153	t	326-85	-	82	52	31d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Placed in 2 Irish points; has not shown enough in three runs under rules; now tongue tied

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Howaya Now	3/1	3/1	11/4
Illico De Cotte	7/2	7/2	7/2
Oak Creek	9/2	9/2	9/2
Monbari	15/2	8/1	8/1
Paddy De Pole	9/1	10/1	9/1
Spot Of Bother	10/1	8/1	15/2
Ballywalter	10/1	10/1	10/1
Hey Brother	14/1	14/1	14/1
Galloping Pride	20/1	25/1	25/1
Robinsville	25/1	25/1	25/1
Ellies Sister	100/1	80/1	80/1
Jalisco Star	150/1	100/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Oak Creek

OR: 16.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Howaya Now

23.2

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Illico De Cotte

13.7

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 6.7

7/2

Ballywalter

11.5

OR: 0 Form: 9.3 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Robinsville

10.1

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Monbari

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Spot Of Bother

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Galloping Pride

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Paddy De Pole

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Hey Brother

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Ellies Sister

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Jalisco Star

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Howaya Now	116	125	106
Oak Creek	116	119	99
Robinsville	86	99	69
Illico De Cotte	—	122	94
Monbari	—	107	96
Paddy De Pole	—	107	68
Spot Of Bother	—	—	—
Ballywalter	—	—	—
Hey Brother	—	103	85
Galloping Pride	—	95	77
Ellies Sister	—	85	34
Jalisco Star	—	82	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Paddy De Pole	6d ago	Quick return
Illico De Cotte	27d ago	Fit
Monbari	27d ago	Fit
Jalisco Star	31d ago	Fit
Robinsville	43d ago	Fit
Hey Brother	48d ago	Fresh
Oak Creek	51d ago	Fresh
Galloping Pride	59d ago	Fresh
Howaya Now	65d ago	Fresh
Ellies Sister	235d ago	Long break
Spot Of Bother	—	—
Ballywalter	—	—