Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap (Div II) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:50

Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-01-11

Distance 1m6f21y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (6)	Heatherdown Hero Bay J:John Fahy T:Rebecca Menzies	J:John Fahy T:Rebecca Menzies	129	p	9633-9	54	71	66	7d	—	—	-15	7.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Poor strike-rate but conditions suit and he ran well penultimate start; below par latest
3 (7)	Scarborough Castle Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	133	—	13526-	58	72	46	29d	—	—	-4	13.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Dual course winner; should leave last month's reappearance behind him; each-way claims
1 (8)	Smokey Malone Grey J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	135	b	26264-	60	74	-	120d	—	—	-6	11	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D win off this mark last April; off since quiet run in September; may come on for this
2 (1)	Cold Henry Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Sara Ender	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Sara Ender	134	p	5443-5	59	74	35	7d	—	—	-10	7.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Went close over C&D last June; below very best last week but type to bounce back quickly
6 (4)	Swaffham Bulbeck Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Cam Hardie T:Stuart Edmunds	129	—	9/2/2-	54	74	-	—	—	—	-1	13.5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Pretty useful hurdler; rarely seen on the Flat these days but he's handicapped to go well
4 (5)	Crazy Crackers Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	131	t	52806-	60	70	51	82d	—	—	-2	6.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Promise over shorter trips; absent since struggling on heavy over this trip in October
5 (3)	Molly Mischief Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jennie Candlish	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jennie Candlish	130	—	7/45-	59	64	-	286d	—	—	-1	3.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Big step up in trip for her handicap/stable debut; market useful after 286 days off
8 (2)	Kitten's Dream Bay J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	121	b	8658-7	46	72	58	6d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Slow starter with a patchy record in the last 12 months; others are much safer

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Heatherdown Hero	3/1	3/1	3/1
Scarborough Castle	7/2	4/1	4/1
Smokey Malone	9/2	9/2	7/2
Cold Henry	4/1	4/1	10/3
Swaffham Bulbeck	7/1	11/2	11/2
Crazy Crackers	10/1	9/1	9/1
Molly Mischief	25/1	20/1	20/1
Kitten's Dream	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Swaffham Bulbeck

13.5

OR: 1 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4

7/1

2nd

Scarborough Castle

13.4

OR: 2 Form: 6.4 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Smokey Malone

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Heatherdown Hero

7.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 6.9

3/1

Cold Henry

7.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Crazy Crackers

6.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Molly Mischief

3.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Kitten's Dream

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Smokey Malone	60	74	—
Crazy Crackers	60	70	51
Cold Henry	59	74	35
Molly Mischief	59	64	—
Scarborough Castle	58	72	46
Heatherdown Hero	54	71	66
Swaffham Bulbeck	54	74	—
Kitten's Dream	46	72	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kitten's Dream	6d ago	Quick return
Heatherdown Hero	7d ago	Quick return
Cold Henry	7d ago	Quick return
Scarborough Castle	29d ago	Fit
Crazy Crackers	82d ago	Fresh
Smokey Malone	120d ago	Long break
Molly Mischief	286d ago	Long break
Swaffham Bulbeck	—	—