Fairwood Brasserie Dining Experience Classified Stakes – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:30

Fairwood Brasserie Dining Experience Classified Stakes

Date 2024-01-11

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,051

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (8)	Calcutta Dream Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	135	h	27805-	50	64	36	16d	—	—	-22	11.6	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Won this race last year; promising return on Boxing Day; one to take seriously
7 (9)	Sunset In Paris Bay J:Shane Kelly T:J R Jenkins	J:Shane Kelly T:J R Jenkins	135	—	42441-	50	62	54	22d	—	—	-2	17.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Off the mark at Lingfield three weeks ago; effective over C&D; one to take seriously
9 (1)	Uther Pendragon Bay J:David Probert T:J S Moore	J:David Probert T:J S Moore	135	p	2024-2	50	62	39	5d	—	—	-6	9.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Three good runs on AW in recent weeks; should give his running once again
6 (3)	Silver Bubble Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Gay Kelleway	J:Rob Hornby T:Gay Kelleway	135	b	6424-4	49	63	42	5d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
0-14 since 2022; running well & conditions no problem but others look more appealing
4 (10)	Moon Over The Sea Bay J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	135	—	46309-	50	61	51	16d	—	—	-4	3.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Three wins last year; work to do with Calcutta Dream on latest Wolverhampton run
5 (2)	Private Bryan Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed de Giles	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed de Giles	135	—	67209-	45	58	33	26d	—	—	-2	4.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Exposed maiden; best run came over C&D but he hasn't matched it in two runs since
3 (6)	Laurentia Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Laura Mongan	J:Kevin Stott T:Laura Mongan	135	—	8674-6	44	51	43	7d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
The drop in trip may help but she needs to raise her game to come out on top
8 (7)	The Lion Strikes Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:John O'Shea	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:John O'Shea	135	p	/890-2	42	54	18	9d	—	—	+2	6.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Second, albeit beaten 4l, in a similar race at Wolverhampton latest; cheekpieces now added
1 (5)	Brazen Arrow Brown J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Christine Dunnett	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Christine Dunnett	135	v	3509-8	43	53	32	2d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Poor strike-rate; better known for exploits over shorter; opposable at this trip
10 (4)	Royal Design Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	134	ht	9488-8	44	50	28	3d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Unplaced in all ten starts, the latest on Monday (1m); others look more convincing

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Calcutta Dream	11/8	7/4	7/4
Sunset In Paris	10/3	10/3	10/3
Uther Pendragon	11/2	9/2	9/2
Silver Bubble	7/1	6/1	6/1
Moon Over The Sea	14/1	12/1	12/1
Private Bryan	16/1	12/1	14/1
Laurentia	25/1	20/1	20/1
The Lion Strikes	20/1	20/1	20/1
Brazen Arrow	80/1	66/1	66/1
Royal Design	100/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sunset In Paris

17.2

OR: 0 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Calcutta Dream

11.6

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 10.6

7/4

3rd

Uther Pendragon

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

The Lion Strikes

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Private Bryan

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Moon Over The Sea

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Silver Bubble

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Laurentia

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Brazen Arrow

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Royal Design

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Calcutta Dream	50	64	36
Sunset In Paris	50	62	54
Uther Pendragon	50	62	39
Moon Over The Sea	50	61	51
Silver Bubble	49	63	42
Private Bryan	45	58	33
Laurentia	44	51	43
Royal Design	44	50	28
Brazen Arrow	43	53	32
The Lion Strikes	42	54	18

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Brazen Arrow	2d ago	Quick return
Royal Design	3d ago	Quick return
Uther Pendragon	5d ago	Quick return
Silver Bubble	5d ago	Quick return
Laurentia	7d ago	Quick return
The Lion Strikes	9d ago	Quick return
Calcutta Dream	16d ago	Fit
Moon Over The Sea	16d ago	Fit
Sunset In Paris	22d ago	Fit
Private Bryan	26d ago	Fit