Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Classified Stakes – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:30

Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Classified Stakes

Date 2023-12-29

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (9)	Rusheen Boy Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	127	ht	0601	54	68	49	7d	—	—	-31	31	0.10/1	2/5 71%
Showed major improvement in C&D handicap last week, scoring easily; leading player
3 (3)	Smasher Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	138	—	632632	53	62	49	18d	—	—	+3	12.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
In-form 3yo maiden; placed in handicaps the last twice; solid claims
8 (10)	Amroon Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Marco Botti	J:Harry Davies T:Marco Botti	121	t	024516	55	63	60	24d	—	—	+4	11.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
6f scorer on penultimate start; this 2yo colt looks one of the main players
5 (7)	Toptime Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	138	—	-70008	48	57	43	84d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Drop back to 6f is a positive; won over C&D in 2022
1 (11)	Cloud Cuckoo Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	138	—	53-80	53	54	19	227d	—	—	-2	1.8	5.00/1	20/1 5%
0-4; return to best piece of form would put him in the picture
2 (6)	Elizabeth's Joy Bay J:David Allan T:Ann Duffield	J:David Allan T:Ann Duffield	138	—	5340	55	58	32	35d	—	—	0	3.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
0-4; never figured in C&D handicap (AW debut) most recently
6 (2)	Wrath Of Hector Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	138	—	222556	47	59	43	123d	—	—	0	3.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Has some respectable classified form this term; could go well
4 (1)	Tantastic Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle	138	—	952465	47	58	40	177d	—	—	-2	2.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Both wins at 5f; absent since July; debut for new stable
12 (8)	Nevzilla Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	121	—	860	44	46	-	135d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Showed little on turf in the summer
11 (4)	Nassau Bay Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ivan Furtado	J:Cam Hardie T:Ivan Furtado	121	p	9960	53	59	36	24d	—	—	0	1.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Chance depends on how well she responds to the headgear
9 (5)	Dash Power Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:David C Griffiths	J:Kieran O'Neill T:David C Griffiths	121	p	706860	48	54	-	7d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
First-time headgear needs to make a difference
NR (12)	Falmouth Boy Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Tony Carroll	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tony Carroll	121	—	5970	54	59	-	22d	—	—	—	1	—	—
Shaped with promise in C&D handicap last time and the bare form needs marking up

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Rusheen Boy	2/5	2/5	4/11
Smasher	8/1	7/1	7/1
Amroon	9/1	10/1	10/1
Toptime	10/1	9/1	9/1
Cloud Cuckoo	20/1	20/1	20/1
Elizabeth's Joy	33/1	22/1	22/1
Wrath Of Hector	20/1	28/1	28/1
Tantastic	20/1	25/1	25/1
Nevzilla	66/1	66/1	66/1
Nassau Bay	66/1	50/1	50/1
Dash Power	100/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rusheen Boy

OR: 1 Form: 10 Odds: 20

2/5

2nd

Smasher

12.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 9.2 Odds: 2.7

8/1

3rd

Amroon

11.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 8 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Elizabeth's Joy

3.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Wrath Of Hector

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1

28/1

Toptime

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Tantastic

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Cloud Cuckoo

1.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Nassau Bay

1.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Falmouth Boy

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Nevzilla

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Dash Power

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Amroon	55	63	60
Elizabeth's Joy	55	58	32
Rusheen Boy	54	68	49
Falmouth Boy	54	59	—
Smasher	53	62	49
Cloud Cuckoo	53	54	19
Nassau Bay	53	59	36
Toptime	48	57	43
Dash Power	48	54	—
Wrath Of Hector	47	59	43
Tantastic	47	58	40
Nevzilla	44	46	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rusheen Boy	7d ago	Quick return
Dash Power	7d ago	Quick return
Smasher	18d ago	Fit
Falmouth Boy	22d ago	Fit
Amroon	24d ago	Fit
Nassau Bay	24d ago	Fit
Elizabeth's Joy	35d ago	Fit
Toptime	84d ago	Fresh
Wrath Of Hector	123d ago	Long break
Nevzilla	135d ago	Long break
Tantastic	177d ago	Long break
Cloud Cuckoo	227d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.