Happy Valley

12:40

Middle Gap Handicap (Div II) (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course C+3) (Turf)

Date 2023-12-29
Distance 1m55y
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £69,776

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R13 (13)
Sturdy Ruby
Grey
J:TBC
T:K L Man
J:
T:K L Man
129 t 403383
50
74
-
37d
5.4
Good C&D form in defeat; every chance of making an impact
R14 (14)
Young Horizon
Chestnut
J:TBC
T:David A Hayes
J:
T:David A Hayes
121 476308
42
74
-
33d
1.5
Inconsistent and unplaced in all five starts at this track; others preferred
1 (8)
Golden Link
Bay
J:Hugh Bowman
T:P F Yiu
J:Hugh Bowman
T:P F Yiu
134 676200
55
73
-
37d
3.8
All three wins have come over Sha Tin's 7f; one second from six starts at 1m+
2 (6)
Concerto
Chestnut
J:L J Ferraris
T:Jimmy Ting
J:L J Ferraris
T:Jimmy Ting
132 t 511550
53
69
-
37d
5.8
Dual C&D winner under Luke Ferraris but well held on all three runs this season
3 (11)
Satirical Glory
Bay
J:James McDonald
T:David A Hayes
J:James McDonald
T:David A Hayes
131 h 007488
52
76
-
12d
0.5
No wins in 14 Hong Kong runs but on good mark after fair return
4 (5)
Aromatica
Bay
J:K C Leung
T:W Y So
J:K C Leung
T:W Y So
129 t 07
50
69
-
16d
0
Improved from first run to next (beaten 3l); place hopes if progress continues
5 (7)
Forever Glorious
Bay
J:L Hewitson
T:K W Lui
J:L Hewitson
T:K W Lui
128 tb 503043
49
72
-
16d
3.9
Both wins came at 1m1f; good runs in three of four starts this term; on the shortlist
6 (2)
Happy Angel
Grey
J:K De Melo
T:P C Ng
J:K De Melo
T:P C Ng
128 b 515532
49
77
-
16d
9.1
Started season with a win (1m1f) and running well since; races handily and a major player
7 (4)
Podium
Brown
J:Alexis Badel
T:C W Chang
J:Alexis Badel
T:C W Chang
128 t 000606
49
75
-
51d 0W/0P 1 run
0
Recent 6f promise; first start for new trainer; chances back up in trip from new low mark
8 (12)
Ho Ho Star
Bay
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:C H Yip
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:C H Yip
124 t 650770
45
75
-
40d
0
Unplaced in six outings but twice hinted at ability over 6f at Sha Tin; up in trip; squeak
9 (1)
Yee Cheong Warrior
Bay
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:D J Hall
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:D J Hall
124 p 842140
45
71
-
26d
6.5
Triple C&D winner; forgiven poor dirt run last time; in good form before; big chance
10 (3)
Daily Trophy
Bay
J:M L Yeung
T:C Fownes
J:M L Yeung
T:C Fownes
122 t 897328
43
69
-
12d
5
Promise over 6f on dirt; bred to stay further but yet to prove himself on turf
11 (9)
Right Honourable
Bay
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:Mark Newnham
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:Mark Newnham
122 b 046176
43
73
-
16d
5
Six-time C&D winner; running well but in veteran stage; should be two or three to beat him
12 (10)
Atomic Beauty
Bay
J:K H Alfred Chan(5)
T:A S Cruz
J:K H Alfred Chan(5)
T:A S Cruz
122 tb 090880
41
72
-
12d
0
Group 2 winner in Ireland but never closer than eighth in 13 Hong Kong appearances

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Happy Angel
9.1
OR: 0 Form: 9.1 Odds: 0
2nd Yee Cheong Warrior
6.5
OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0
3rd Concerto
5.8
OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0
4 Sturdy Ruby
5.4
OR: 0 Form: 5.4 Odds: 0
5 Daily Trophy
5
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0
6 Right Honourable
5
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0
7 Forever Glorious
3.9
OR: 0 Form: 3.9 Odds: 0
8 Golden Link
3.8
OR: 1.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0
9 Young Horizon
1.5
OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0
10 Satirical Glory
0.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Aromatica
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Podium
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Ho Ho Star
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Atomic Beauty
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Golden Link
55
73
Concerto
53
69
Satirical Glory
52
76
Sturdy Ruby
50
74
Aromatica
50
69
Forever Glorious
49
72
Happy Angel
49
77
Podium
49
75
Ho Ho Star
45
75
Yee Cheong Warrior
45
71
Daily Trophy
43
69
Right Honourable
43
73
Young Horizon
42
74
Atomic Beauty
41
72

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Satirical Glory 12d ago Quick return
Daily Trophy 12d ago Quick return
Atomic Beauty 12d ago Quick return
Aromatica 16d ago Fit
Forever Glorious 16d ago Fit
Happy Angel 16d ago Fit
Right Honourable 16d ago Fit
Yee Cheong Warrior 26d ago Fit
Young Horizon 33d ago Fit
Sturdy Ruby 37d ago Fit
Golden Link 37d ago Fit
Concerto 37d ago Fit
Ho Ho Star 40d ago Fit
Podium 51d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m55y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.