Howden Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Ascot

14:25

Date 2023-12-23

Distance 3m97y

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £62,645

Winning Time 5m 59.41s (slow by 4.41s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Crambo (GB) Jonathan Burke · Fergal O'Brien	5/1	Won
2nd	Paisley Park (IRE) Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	6/1	0.1
3rd	Dashel Drasher (GB) Rex Dingle · Jeremy Scott	17/2	6
4th	Champ (IRE) Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Nicky Henderson	11/2	3
5th	Blueking d'Oroux (FR) Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	9/1	1.5
6th	Botox Has (FR) Caoilin Quinn · Gary Moore	9/1	.5
7th	Gowel Road (IRE) Gavin Sheehan · Nigel Twiston-Davies	10/1	4.75
8th	Red Risk (FR) Bryony Frost · Paul Nicholls	25/1	3.25
9th	Goshen (FR) Niall Houlihan · Gary Moore	33/1	1.75
10th	West Balboa (IRE) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	3/1F	24

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	West Balboa Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	154	—	/211-1	143	162	138	42d	—	—	+19	39.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Something to find on the figures but she's an unexposed improver after just six races
3	Crambo Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	161	t	117-13	142	148	144	28d	—	—	+11	28	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has to bridge a sizeable class-gap here but could be progressive enough to do so
2	Champ Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Nicky Henderson	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Nicky Henderson	161	—	3/135-	157	169	143	252d	—	—	+20	32.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
He was making his seasonal debut when winning this two years ago; had wind surgery
7	Paisley Park Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	161	t	2137-2	157	169	145	22d	—	—	+23	35.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Legendary stayer with form figures of 1131 in this race; made a highly pleasing return
1	Botox Has Bay J:Caoilin Quinn T:Gary Moore	J:Caoilin Quinn T:Gary Moore	161	p	2174-1	152	160	133	49d	—	—	+29	37.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Gave weight and a beating to Red Risk and Dashel Drasher in a Grade 2 at Wetherby
4	Dashel Drasher Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Jeremy Scott	J:Rex Dingle T:Jeremy Scott	161	—	226-31	159	170	118	22d	—	—	+21	29.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Typically tough in repelling Paisley Park in last month's Long Distance Hurdle at Newbury
9	Blueking D'Oroux Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	160	—	912-11	148	155	139	28d	—	—	+18	27.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
2m3f Grade 2 winner here last month; has stamina to prove over this far but he's improving
6	Gowel Road b/br J:Gavin Sheehan T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	161	—	7/21-4	141	152	144	28d	—	—	+18	24.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Up in grade here but could argue that he's overpriced in relation to Crambo
8	Red Risk Bay J:Bryony Frost T:Paul Nicholls	J:Bryony Frost T:Paul Nicholls	161	—	120-62	147	154	93	49d	—	—	+22	25.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Looks held by Botox Has on their Wetherby form and has others to worry about
5	Goshen Bay J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary Moore	J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary Moore	161	—	352-44	149	164	128	14d	—	—	+23	25.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
2nd in last season's Kempton renewal (only run at 3m) but was in better form back then

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
West Balboa	7/2	3/1	11/4
Crambo	4/1	4/1	4/1
Champ	13/2	11/2	6/1
Paisley Park	6/1	6/1	6/1
Botox Has	9/1	9/1	9/1
Dashel Drasher	9/1	9/1	9/1
Blueking D'Oroux	8/1	10/1	9/1
Gowel Road	14/1	14/1	14/1
Red Risk	25/1	25/1	25/1
Goshen	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

West Balboa

39.4

OR: 23.3 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

7/2

2nd

Botox Has

37.9

OR: 25.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

9/1

3rd

Paisley Park

35.4

OR: 26.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Champ

32.2

OR: 26.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Dashel Drasher

29.6

OR: 27.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Crambo

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Blueking D'Oroux

27.2

OR: 24.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Goshen

25.5

OR: 24.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Red Risk

25.2

OR: 24.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Gowel Road

24.5

OR: 22.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dashel Drasher	159	170	118
Champ	157	169	143
Paisley Park	157	169	145
Botox Has	152	160	133
Goshen	149	164	128
Blueking D'Oroux	148	155	139
Red Risk	147	154	93
West Balboa	143	162	138
Crambo	142	148	144
Gowel Road	141	152	144

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Goshen	14d ago	Fit
Paisley Park	22d ago	Fit
Dashel Drasher	22d ago	Fit
Crambo	28d ago	Fit
Blueking D'Oroux	28d ago	Fit
Gowel Road	28d ago	Fit
West Balboa	42d ago	Fit
Botox Has	49d ago	Fresh
Red Risk	49d ago	Fresh
Champ	252d ago	Long break