Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:34

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2023-12-16

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,129

Winning Time 1m 29.66s (slow by 5.86s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	The Turpinator (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Grant Tuer	9/2J	Won
2nd	Bowood (GB) William Pyle · Katie Scott	9/2J	.75
3rd	Illusionist (GER) P J McDonald · Grant Tuer	9/1	1.25
4th	Larado (FR) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	5/1	2
5th	Abruzzo Mia (GB) Clifford Lee · Michael Dods	12/1	0.3
6th	Alexander James (IRE) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	40/1	.5
7th	Wildfell (IRE) J F Egan · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	14/1	0.1
8th	Showmedemoney (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	18/1	0.1
9th	Swiss Ace (GB) Ryan Sexton · Ruth Carr	17/2	.75
10th	Kalganov (FR) Phil Dennis · Michael Dods	13/2	.75
11th	Surprise Picture (IRE) Mark Winn · Grant Tuer	25/1	.75
12th	One More Dream (GB) Jason Hart · John Quinn	20/1	8

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	The Turpinator Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Grant Tuer	J:Jack Mitchell T:Grant Tuer	134	—	561339	82	95	41	43d	—	—	+4	19	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Below par on AW latest but had been in decent form on turf prior to that
10 (10)	Bowood Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Katie Scott	J:William Pyle(5) T:Katie Scott	123	p	769253	71	95	65	8d	—	—	+1	14.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Placed in both C&D handicaps, collared late on by Kalganov latterly; should go well
5 (11)	Illusionist Bay J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	130	b	830043	78	96	76	7d	—	—	+2	13.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Losing run mounting up but last weekend's 6f third came in warm race; second attempt at 7f
3 (4)	Larado Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	134	b	024248	82	97	80	35d	—	—	+2	15.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Went close at Kempton (1m) in October and excuses for lesser runs since
6 (12)	Kalganov Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Dods	J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Dods	129	p	110751	77	95	62	8d	—	—	+11	21.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Reacted well to cheekpieces when winning over C&D last week (Bowood third); respected
4 (2)	Swiss Ace Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ruth Carr	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ruth Carr	131	—	564552	79	97	66	169d	—	—	+6	14.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
C&D winner in March; absent since June but he has gone well fresh before
1 (5)	Wildfell Chestnut J:J F Egan T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:J F Egan T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	135	—	116270	83	96	68	77d	—	—	+7	14.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ended his time with Peter Chapple-Hyam on low note but was 3-3 on AW earlier in year
7 (9)	Abruzzo Mia Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	128	—	2-7617	76	95	68	75d	—	—	+4	12.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Back from break to win over C&D in September; freshened up since lesser run since
12 (8)	Showmedemoney Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	122	tp	610338	70	94	35	8d	—	—	+7	11.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Three wins this year, including 1m here; twice third this autumn but below par last week
8 (3)	One More Dream Brown J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	128	—	990180	76	94	-	77d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+9	12.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Good AW record so could easily shrug off lesser runs on turf since Catterick win in August
11 (7)	Surprise Picture Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Grant Tuer	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Grant Tuer	122	v	129507	70	92	82	8d	—	—	+4	6.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Three wins this year but well behind Kalganov and Bowood over C&D last week
9 (1)	Alexander James Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	126	p	167989	74	93	69	8d	—	—	+3	7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Not offered enough lately to be positive about his chances here

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
The Turpinator	9/2	9/2	9/2
Bowood	5/1	9/2	9/2
Illusionist	6/1	6/1	6/1
Larado	11/2	5/1	5/1
Kalganov	15/2	7/1	7/1
Swiss Ace	9/1	8/1	8/1
Wildfell	9/1	10/1	10/1
Abruzzo Mia	9/1	11/1	11/1
Showmedemoney	16/1	16/1	16/1
One More Dream	18/1	25/1	22/1
Surprise Picture	25/1	25/1	25/1
Alexander James	33/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kalganov

21.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 12 Odds: 3.1

15/2

2nd

The Turpinator

OR: 8 Form: 6.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Larado

15.5

OR: 8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Wildfell

14.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Bowood

14.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4

5/1

Swiss Ace

14.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Illusionist

13.9

OR: 7 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.3

6/1

One More Dream

12.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Abruzzo Mia

12.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Showmedemoney

11.8

OR: 5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Alexander James

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Surprise Picture

6.9

OR: 5 Form: 1 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wildfell	83	96	68
The Turpinator	82	95	41
Larado	82	97	80
Swiss Ace	79	97	66
Illusionist	78	96	76
Kalganov	77	95	62
Abruzzo Mia	76	95	68
One More Dream	76	94	—
Alexander James	74	93	69
Bowood	71	95	65
Showmedemoney	70	94	35
Surprise Picture	70	92	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Illusionist	7d ago	Quick return
Bowood	8d ago	Quick return
Kalganov	8d ago	Quick return
Showmedemoney	8d ago	Quick return
Surprise Picture	8d ago	Quick return
Alexander James	8d ago	Quick return
Larado	35d ago	Fit
The Turpinator	43d ago	Fit
Abruzzo Mia	75d ago	Fresh
Wildfell	77d ago	Fresh
One More Dream	77d ago	Fresh
Swiss Ace	169d ago	Long break