Limerick Races On Facebook Handicap Hurdle – Limerick

Limerick

14:10

Limerick Races On Facebook Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-11-21

Distance 2m

Class

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Ivane Bay J:A P Heskin T:Ciaran Murphy	J:A P Heskin T:Ciaran Murphy	161	p	-87641	88	103	87	49d	—	—	+5	25.7	0.50/1	3 33%
Got off the mark over this trip at Galway; 6lb higher but should run well
3	Natural Breeze Chestnut J:Conor Owens(7) T:P J Rothwell	J:Conor Owens(7) T:P J Rothwell	166	p	-38322	93	99	68	26d	—	—	+13	24.4	1.50/1	7 14%
Just one win but loads of placed runs, incl last thrice; should run well again
11	Shean Glory Bay J:Diarmuid Moloney(7) T:Sean Aherne	J:Diarmuid Moloney(7) T:Sean Aherne	157	—	8F5393	84	102	24	26d	—	—	+6	15.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Course winner was a poor 3rd at Clonmel last time and has to get back to best
NR	Dontdooddson Bay J:TBC T:Darren Collins	J: T:Darren Collins	164	—	735245	91	101	89	26d	—	—	+2	17.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Some good runs in defeat this season but was well beaten at Clonmel last time; reserve
2	New Barn Lane Bay J:Richard Deegan T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:Richard Deegan T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	167	t	8455-7	94	93	64	30d	—	—	+2	14.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Soundly beaten on h'cap debut over 2m4f here last time but can improve from that
6	Verbal Sparring Bay J:Liam McKenna(5) T:Desmond McDonogh	J:Liam McKenna(5) T:Desmond McDonogh	163	—	U-8365	90	102	74	57d	—	—	+5	12.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Beaten 14l on handicap debut last time; looks capable of improvement, so considered
4	Young Fitzy Bay J:Tom Harney(7) T:Norman Lee	J:Tom Harney(7) T:Norman Lee	165	tp	64-660	92	101	69	31d	—	—	+6	12.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Well beaten in handicaps lately incl' over C&D so has to put those runs behind him
NR	Robindevidastar b/br J:TBC T:P J Rothwell	J: T:P J Rothwell	157	b	0-7510	84	99	68	50d	—	—	0	12	3.75/1	16 6%
Won at Downpatrick but poor at Fairyhouse since and has to rebound; reserve
NR	Ventnor Bay J:TBC T:James M Barcoe	J: T:James M Barcoe	153	—	30-P77	80	96	47	26d	—	—	0	10.5	3.75/1	16 6%
Maiden has been well beaten over hurdles and fences latest; reserve
14	Fly De Megaudais Brown J:Sam Ewing T:Michael J McDonagh	J:Sam Ewing T:Michael J McDonagh	153	—	PP4640	80	88	71	19d	—	—	+4	8.9	3.75/1	16 6%
A decent fourth over C&D but below that at Thurles since and has to rebound
1	Bite That Bay J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:Patrick J Flynn	J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:Patrick J Flynn	168	—	60-733	95	97	85	40d	—	—	+3	14.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
One win over hurdles; a fine run on return at Tramore and a chance if improving
9	Always Enchanting Bay J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:E J O'Grady	J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:E J O'Grady	160	—	/070-7	87	101	69	26d	—	—	+5	10.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Soundly beaten on all handicap starts and has to find improvement
7	Petit Dejeuner Bay J:Jake Coen(5) T:Mrs Denise Foster	J:Jake Coen(5) T:Mrs Denise Foster	162	—	300-85	89	95	70	164d	—	—	+6	11.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Some ability in bumpers and maiden hurdles so should be capable of a decent showing
13	Kiss My Lucky Egg Brown J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:Adrian Sexton	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:Adrian Sexton	155	—	0P4FP6	82	101	77	14d	—	—	+5	9.2	4.25/1	18 6%
Bumper winner is a maiden over hurdles and poor the last twice
5	Out Of The Park Bay J:John Shinnick(7) T:A M O'Grady	J:John Shinnick(7) T:A M O'Grady	163	—	P00-8	90	95	24	30d	—	—	+8	10.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Best of three maiden hurdle runs came here last time; one to consider on h'cap bow
12	Essential Part Bay J:Richard Condon(5) T:Adrian Sexton	J:Richard Condon(5) T:Adrian Sexton	156	—	00-776	83	91	60	10d	—	—	+6	9	8.00/1	33 3%
Maiden under all codes has to find improvement from somewhere
10	Boxcar Molly Bay J:Tom Kelly(7) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:Tom Kelly(7) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	160	—	7-9900	87	90	65	19d	—	—	+8	9.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Well beaten in two handicaps lately and has to find plenty of improvement

Horse	bet365	Coral
Ivane	3	3
Natural Breeze	7	6
Shean Glory	8	15/2
Dontdooddson	8	11
New Barn Lane	6	13/2
Verbal Sparring	10	10
Young Fitzy	12	11
Robindevidastar	10	16
Ventnor	14	16
Fly De Megaudais	16	16
Bite That	6	11/2
Always Enchanting	12	12
Petit Dejeuner	14	12/1
Kiss My Lucky Egg	16	18
Out Of The Park	40	33
Essential Part	33	28
Boxcar Molly	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ivane

25.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

2nd

Natural Breeze

24.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 3.1

3rd

Dontdooddson

17.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 4.5

Shean Glory

15.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 4.2 Odds: 2.7

15/2

New Barn Lane

14.6

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Bite That

14.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Young Fitzy

12.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Verbal Sparring

12.1

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Robindevidastar

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.5

Petit Dejeuner

11.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Always Enchanting

10.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Out Of The Park

10.8

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ventnor

10.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3

Boxcar Molly

9.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Kiss My Lucky Egg

9.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Essential Part

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Fly De Megaudais

8.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bite That	95	97	85
New Barn Lane	94	93	64
Natural Breeze	93	99	68
Young Fitzy	92	101	69
Dontdooddson	91	101	89
Verbal Sparring	90	102	74
Out Of The Park	90	95	24
Petit Dejeuner	89	95	70
Ivane	88	103	87
Always Enchanting	87	101	69
Boxcar Molly	87	90	65
Shean Glory	84	102	24
Robindevidastar	84	99	68
Essential Part	83	91	60
Kiss My Lucky Egg	82	101	77
Ventnor	80	96	47
Fly De Megaudais	80	88	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Essential Part	10d ago	Quick return
Kiss My Lucky Egg	14d ago	Fit
Fly De Megaudais	19d ago	Fit
Boxcar Molly	19d ago	Fit
Natural Breeze	26d ago	Fit
Shean Glory	26d ago	Fit
Dontdooddson	26d ago	Fit
Ventnor	26d ago	Fit
Always Enchanting	26d ago	Fit
New Barn Lane	30d ago	Fit
Out Of The Park	30d ago	Fit
Young Fitzy	31d ago	Fit
Bite That	40d ago	Fit
Ivane	49d ago	Fresh
Robindevidastar	50d ago	Fresh
Verbal Sparring	57d ago	Fresh
Petit Dejeuner	164d ago	Long break