Unibet/Breeders Backing Racing EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

18:30

Date 2023-09-18

Distance 1m3f219y

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,346

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (3)	Heavens To Betsy Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	125	—	4	-	85	-	22d	—	—	-25	11.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Just a fair debut on soft ground three weeks ago; this looks a bit weaker though
2 (1)	Atlantis Blue Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:George Baker	J:Neil Callan T:George Baker	132	h	422-22	78	84	73	26d	—	—	-8	13.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Vulnerable to improvers now but is more likely than not to give her running; player
6 (7)	Marzocco Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	130	—	5	-	77	40	25d	—	—	-13	5.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Not far behind a subsequent winner on debut (1m2f); entitled to improve for the experience
3 (8)	Camarrate Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Grant Tuer	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Grant Tuer	130	—	6	-	74	-	170d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Off since a fair heavy-ground debut in the spring; may be one for handicaps down the line
8 (4)	Highland Quartz Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Stuart Williams	J:Hector Crouch T:Stuart Williams	125	—	4	-	82	-	42d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Shaped nicely at a big price on debut; wouldn't need to improve much to be a factor here
4 (5)	Hurtle Wallop Brown J:Rossa Ryan T:Jim Boyle	J:Rossa Ryan T:Jim Boyle	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Trainer 1-31 with 3yos this season; market will guide under Rossa Ryan (0-2 for the yard)
1 (6)	Fazayte Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Ryan Potter	J:Finley Marsh T:Ryan Potter	137	—	29	-	75	-	123d	—	—	+2	4	12.25/1	50 2%
Ordinary hurdler/chaser who's likely to find things easier once handicapping
5 (2)	King Of The Pride Grey J:Cieren Fallon T:James Ferguson	J:Cieren Fallon T:James Ferguson	130	—	66	-	60	10	12d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Well related but doesn't look up to much himself; low-grade handicaps probably next up

Horse	bet365	Coral
Heavens To Betsy	6/5	11/8
Atlantis Blue	10/3	3
Marzocco	7/2	7/2
Camarrate	8	15/2
Highland Quartz	10	9
Hurtle Wallop	50	50
Fazayte	50	50
King Of The Pride	66	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Atlantis Blue

13.2

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Heavens To Betsy

11.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

11/8

3rd

Marzocco

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Fazayte

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.5

Camarrate

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Highland Quartz

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Hurtle Wallop

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

King Of The Pride

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Atlantis Blue	78	84	73
Heavens To Betsy	—	85	—
Marzocco	—	77	40
Camarrate	—	74	—
Highland Quartz	—	82	—
Hurtle Wallop	—	—	—
Fazayte	—	75	—
King Of The Pride	—	60	10

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
King Of The Pride	12d ago	Quick return
Heavens To Betsy	22d ago	Fit
Marzocco	25d ago	Fit
Atlantis Blue	26d ago	Fit
Highland Quartz	42d ago	Fit
Fazayte	123d ago	Long break
Camarrate	170d ago	Long break
Hurtle Wallop	—	—