Hills Prospect Number One Drinks Company Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:00

Hills Prospect Number One Drinks Company Handicap

Date 2023-09-14

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (14)	Little Man Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Kevin Frost	J:NON-RUNNER T:Kevin Frost	127	b	645605	53	-	-	17d	—	—	-49	20.8	—	—
2l fifth in first-time blinkers at Southwell latest (6f); tries Polytrack for first time
9 (3)	Last Date Brown J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	132	v	679-75	54	72	37	21d	—	—	-13	6.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Back to lowest ever winning mark; may have a better idea of his present level after this
5 (5)	Sprezzatura Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	135	v	644723	61	71	53	8d	—	—	-1	13.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ahead of Coral Reef at Ffos Las last month; fine third on Polytrack since; among likeliest
8 (6)	Fayasel Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Harry Davies T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	132	—	463566	58	72	58	13d	—	—	-6	6.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Consistent until latest three outings, but back to within 2lb of winning mark as a result
6 (8)	Monaadhil Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	134	p	655225	56	71	49	15d	—	—	-2	11.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not quite on a winning Polytrack mark now, but usually in the first three over this C&D
3 (10)	Dulcet Spirit Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Brett Johnson	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Brett Johnson	136	—	733132	58	69	58	10d	—	—	+8	18.5	1.75/1	8 13%
Can refuse to settle and faces rivalry for the lead, but on a winning mark and best at 7f
1 (12)	Onemorenomore Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Philip Mcbride	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Philip Mcbride	136	b	420554	62	65	54	18d	—	—	-2	6.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Still fairly untried at 7f but does need to finish stronger; first time down in a 0-60.
10 (2)	Coral Reef Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	131	b	272624	57	73	45	20d	—	—	+2	8.5	2.75/1	12 8%
First Polytrack outing since career-best run at Kempton in the winter (7f) off 6lb higher
13 (1)	Cloud Queen Bay J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Ed Dunlop	126	—	486937	52	71	62	13d	—	—	-4	5	2.75/1	12 8%
Not quite at best latest; return to apparent best trip/surface combination rates a plus
4 (9)	Gustav Ucicky Bay J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Gay Kelleway	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Gay Kelleway	135	h	544142	61	71	63	15d	—	—	+8	14.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Neck second on return to Polytrack latest (6f); not always seen out this longer trip
2 (13)	Nubough Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Pattinson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Pattinson	136	t	727673	58	68	66	36d	—	—	+4	6.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Better than a 2-47 strike-rate; has a 7f Polytrack race in him, but others more reliable
14 (4)	Nemorum Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:T J Kent	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:T J Kent	124	b	777-98	46	61	-	30d	—	—	-3	1	8.00/1	33 3%
Outpaced over a galloping turf 1m2f latest, which doesn't augur well for drop back in trip
NR (7)	Macho Mania Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	129	—	035790	55	69	53	13d	—	—	-7	5.6	16.25/1	66 2%
RPRs of 72 when twice second last autumn, albeit over 6f; unconvincing over further since
7 (11)	Grainne O Maille Chestnut J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Denis Quinn	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Denis Quinn	133	—	7840	59	62	17	15d	—	—	+1	2.6	24.75/1	100 1%
Raced wide and didn't settle in debuted hood (discarded) on recent handicap debut

Horse	bet365	Coral
Little Man	SP	SP
Last Date	4	10/3
Sprezzatura	9/2	9/2
Fayasel	11/2	6
Monaadhil	15/2	5
Dulcet Spirit	8	13/2
Onemorenomore	8	9
Coral Reef	12	12
Cloud Queen	12	11
Gustav Ucicky	12	12
Nubough	33	22
Nemorum	33	25
Macho Mania	66	50
Grainne O Maille	100	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Little Man

20.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Dulcet Spirit

18.5

OR: 2 Form: 13.6 Odds: 2.9

3rd

Gustav Ucicky

14.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

Sprezzatura

13.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4

9/2

Monaadhil

11.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 6 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Coral Reef

8.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

Nubough

6.9

OR: 2 Form: 4 Odds: 0.9

Last Date

6.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Fayasel

6.5

OR: 2 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Onemorenomore

6.4

OR: 3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.4

Macho Mania

5.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 3.7

Cloud Queen

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

Grainne O Maille

2.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Nemorum

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Onemorenomore	62	65	54
Sprezzatura	61	71	53
Gustav Ucicky	61	71	63
Grainne O Maille	59	62	17
Fayasel	58	72	58
Dulcet Spirit	58	69	58
Nubough	58	68	66
Coral Reef	57	73	45
Monaadhil	56	71	49
Macho Mania	55	69	53
Last Date	54	72	37
Little Man	53	—	—
Cloud Queen	52	71	62
Nemorum	46	61	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sprezzatura	8d ago	Quick return
Dulcet Spirit	10d ago	Quick return
Fayasel	13d ago	Quick return
Cloud Queen	13d ago	Quick return
Macho Mania	13d ago	Quick return
Monaadhil	15d ago	Fit
Gustav Ucicky	15d ago	Fit
Grainne O Maille	15d ago	Fit
Little Man	17d ago	Fit
Onemorenomore	18d ago	Fit
Coral Reef	20d ago	Fit
Last Date	21d ago	Fit
Nemorum	30d ago	Fit
Nubough	36d ago	Fit