Hills Prospect-London's Largest Drink Distributor Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:30

Hills Prospect-London's Largest Drink Distributor Handicap

Date 2023-09-14

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,051

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (11)	Sun Festival Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	136	p	213134	56	69	52	12d	—	—	-7	19.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Shaping as if still in form since second of two 2023 Brighton 1m2f wins; respected
4 (1)	Hot Team Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Patrick Morris	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Patrick Morris	134	v	352263	54	67	55	2d	—	—	-2	12	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Trip perfect but have to go back to March 2021 for most recent of just two Polytrack runs
7 (8)	Shes A Mirage Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	126	—	674141	52	70	33	31d	—	—	+6	19.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
1m2f turf (firm) and Tapeta winner this summer; effectiveness on Polytrack in the past
2 (5)	Lawmans Blis Bay J:George Wood T:Alex French	J:George Wood T:Alex French	136	—	255571	56	70	45	13d	—	—	+2	15.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Had run of things for recent Tapeta win (1m4f); tonight's trip at lower end of his range
11 (4)	Sunset In Paris Bay J:Rowan Scott T:J R Jenkins	J:Rowan Scott T:J R Jenkins	126	—	-88844	46	62	46	29d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Two recent fourths offer hope, but further out of the weights now than for either of those
5 (10)	Wallaroo Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	134	—	478615	54	69	61	30d	—	—	+2	10.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Mixed record of staying 1m-plus, but held on to score at Wolverhampton (8.6f) two runs ago
8 (7)	Scramble Bay J:Jimmy Quinn T:Conrad Allen	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Conrad Allen	126	t	346954	52	63	44	22d	—	—	-5	2.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Revived to a point with Kempton 1m fourth latest; respected with tongue-tie now added
1 (2)	Velvet Vulcan Bay J:Tom Queally T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Tom Queally T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	137	h	575-7	57	64	8	30d	—	—	-3	3.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Refused to settle when 8l seventh here on recent return (1m); maybe best watched for now
10 (3)	Vertical Chestnut J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Dr Jon Scargill	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Dr Jon Scargill	126	p	789409	46	64	28	36d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.00/1	25 4%
First three efforts last autumn still her best form; work for the cheekpieces to do
9 (9)	College Wizard b/br J:Royston Ffrench T:Christine Dunnett	J:Royston Ffrench T:Christine Dunnett	126	p	888307	46	59	31	14d	—	—	-1	2.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Better than the bare form more than once last month, including in a C&D classified event
6 (12)	Streetstorm Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Christine Dunnett	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Christine Dunnett	129	p	725068	55	68	63	30d	—	—	0	3.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Nose away from a Lingfield win in June (1m); lesser form since and has left Ed Dunlop
12 (6)	Lilla Cross Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Christine Dunnett	J:Joey Haynes T:Christine Dunnett	124	—	5-0960	50	56	-	117d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
No show since okay debut, including at up to 1m2f; much more needed on first run since May

Horse	bet365	Coral
Sun Festival	5/2	5/2
Hot Team	5	11/2
Shes A Mirage	13/2	6
Lawmans Blis	6	11/2
Sunset In Paris	9	9
Wallaroo	11	9
Scramble	12	12
Velvet Vulcan	14	11
Vertical	25	18
College Wizard	20	20
Streetstorm	28	28
Lilla Cross	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sun Festival

19.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 10 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Shes A Mirage

19.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 15 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

Lawmans Blis

15.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Hot Team

OR: 1 Form: 7 Odds: 4

11/2

Wallaroo

10.4

OR: 1 Form: 7 Odds: 2.4

Velvet Vulcan

3.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Streetstorm

3.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 1 Odds: 0.9

College Wizard

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

Sunset In Paris

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Scramble

2.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Vertical

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Lilla Cross

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Velvet Vulcan	57	64	8
Sun Festival	56	69	52
Lawmans Blis	56	70	45
Streetstorm	55	68	63
Hot Team	54	67	55
Wallaroo	54	69	61
Shes A Mirage	52	70	33
Scramble	52	63	44
Lilla Cross	50	56	—
Sunset In Paris	46	62	46
Vertical	46	64	28
College Wizard	46	59	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hot Team	2d ago	Quick return
Sun Festival	12d ago	Quick return
Lawmans Blis	13d ago	Quick return
College Wizard	14d ago	Fit
Scramble	22d ago	Fit
Sunset In Paris	29d ago	Fit
Wallaroo	30d ago	Fit
Velvet Vulcan	30d ago	Fit
Streetstorm	30d ago	Fit
Shes A Mirage	31d ago	Fit
Vertical	36d ago	Fit
Lilla Cross	117d ago	Long break