Hills Prospect Le Grand Cru Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:30

Hills Prospect Le Grand Cru Handicap

Date 2023-09-14

Distance 6f

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £8,100

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Justcallmepete Bay J:Dougie Costello T:James Evans	J:Dougie Costello T:James Evans	136	—	434201	91	104	75	14d	—	—	+6	30.6	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Progressive sprinter; turned in a career best when winning readily over C&D latest; chance
6 (7)	Batal Dubai Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Harry & Roger Charlton	133	—	7-7107	90	105	90	14d	—	—	-5	16.2	0.50/1	3 33%
Looked good at Newcastle in July (6f); 5f too sharp latest; still has potential at 6f
1 (6)	Open Mind Brown J:Rowan Scott T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Rowan Scott T:Saeed Bin Suroor	140	p	128435	95	102	73	26d	—	—	+1	20.1	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Yet to run badly at this track, winning twice over C&D; solid on turf latest; contender
NR (5)	Tolstoy Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Stuart Williams	J:NON-RUNNER T:Stuart Williams	124	—	328819	79	104	-	1d	—	—	-3	23.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D winner; ended losing run in good style 11 days ago; well held from wide draw Wednesday
7 (8)	Clipsham La Habana Grey J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	124	—	-82230	81	101	80	12d	—	—	+7	16.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not at his best over 5f at Sandown latest; yet to run a bad race on AW; one to consider
5 (1)	Wiltshire Bay J:Harry Davies T:Freddie & Martyn Meade	J:Harry Davies T:Freddie & Martyn Meade	134	—	91-550	91	97	-	101d	—	—	+4	12.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Unexposed but off since stopping quickly at Windsor in June; others look safer
2 (2)	Princess Shabnam Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:S Woods	J:Hollie Doyle T:S Woods	138	t	650267	93	101	-	25d	—	—	+8	15.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Ran well at Chester in July but heavy defeats in Listed races since; C&D winner; chance
4 (3)	River Pride Bay J:James Doyle T:George Boughey	J:James Doyle T:George Boughey	134	—	534160	89	101	71	146d	—	—	+10	17.3	3.75/1	16 6%
Only 2lb higher than for a 7f AW win in March; would make more appeal over a bit further

Horse	bet365	Coral
Justcallmepete	5/2	5/2
Batal Dubai	3	3
Open Mind	10/3	3
Tolstoy	9/2	9/2
Clipsham La Habana	15/2	8
Wiltshire	15/2	8
Princess Shabnam	12	10
River Pride	16	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Justcallmepete

30.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 13.1 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Tolstoy

23.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 8 Odds: 7.8

9/2

3rd

Open Mind

20.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

River Pride

17.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.9

Clipsham La Habana

16.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 6.1 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Batal Dubai

16.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

Princess Shabnam

15.2

OR: 10.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.9

Wiltshire

12.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Open Mind	95	102	73
Princess Shabnam	93	101	—
Justcallmepete	91	104	75
Wiltshire	91	97	—
Batal Dubai	90	105	90
River Pride	89	101	71
Clipsham La Habana	81	101	80
Tolstoy	79	104	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tolstoy	1d ago	Quick return
Clipsham La Habana	12d ago	Quick return
Justcallmepete	14d ago	Fit
Batal Dubai	14d ago	Fit
Princess Shabnam	25d ago	Fit
Open Mind	26d ago	Fit
Wiltshire	101d ago	Long break
River Pride	146d ago	Long break