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Chepstow

16:30

David Lucas, Wales Leading Independent Bookmaker Handicap

Date 2023-09-04
Distance 5f16y
Class Class 6
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,245

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
4 (10)
On Edge
Bay
J:Gina Mangan(3)
T:Christopher Mason
J:Gina Mangan(3)
T:Christopher Mason
 133 p 9-3134
56
69
66
 11d — — -12
7.2
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Dual course winner at 6f; in fair form this season (6f) but shorter trip a concern
5 (3)
Bama Lama
Chestnut
J:Oliver Searle(7)
T:Rod Millman
J:Oliver Searle(7)
T:Rod Millman
 133 — 331261
56
69
63
 21d — — +5
22.6
1.00/1
4/1
20%
Two wins over 6f this season, including one here; has form over C&D; a possible
3 (9)
Porterinthejungle
Chestnut
J:Billy Loughnane(3)
T:Robyn Brisland
J:Billy Loughnane(3)
T:Robyn Brisland
 134 — 0414-2
57
70
55
 11d — — -4
11.2
1.13/1
9/2
18%
2lb higher than for last win; good C&D run on fast ground on reappearance; chance
1 (4)
Joy Choi
Bay
J:William Carson
T:Malcolm Saunders
J:William Carson
T:Malcolm Saunders
 137 — 545313
60
69
60
 12d — — +5
17.6
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Second career success at Salisbury two runs ago; fair effort latest; each-way chance
7 (2)
Fossos
Bay
J:Taylor Fisher(3)
T:Deborah Faulkner
J:Taylor Fisher(3)
T:Deborah Faulkner
 129 b 662154
52
70
59
 11d — — -4
11.4
1.38/1
11/2
15%
C&D winner in July; just behind Porterinthejungle last time; worth considering
8 (5)
Louis Treize
Chestnut
J:Laura Coughlan(5)
T:Deborah Faulkner
J:Laura Coughlan(5)
T:Deborah Faulkner
 128 h 472136
51
70
68
 11d — — +2
11.7
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Winner over 5f/6f here, latest over 6f here (Bama Lama second); in the mix
NR (8)
Kyber Crystal
Grey
J:TBC
T:Alexandra Dunn
J:
T:Alexandra Dunn
 127 t 534885
50
67
49
 1d — — -6
3
2.75/1
12
8%
C&D winner off 2lb higher in June; some fair efforts since but needs to raise her game
2 (6)
Erosion Risk
Bay
J:Richard Kingscote
T:David Evans
J:Richard Kingscote
T:David Evans
 136 b 278606
60
63
63
 37d — — -5
5.4
2.13/1
17/2
11%
0-20; fair run at Windsor three runs back but poor since; headgear tried; others stronger
9 (7)
Cloudy Breeze
Bay
J:Harry Davies
T:Gary Moore
J:Harry Davies
T:Gary Moore
 128 — -50028
52
71
50
 61d — — +1
5
6.00/1
25
4%
Goes well fresh; 2nd at Windsor in June after 10 weeks off; chance after another break
NR (1)
Savannah Smiles
Bay
J:TBC
T:Grace Harris
J:
T:Grace Harris
 131 p 157348
55
61
51
 7d — — +1
3.5
9.75/1
40
3%
Behind Bama Lama two runs ago; poor effort last time; free sort so drop to 5f might suit
Horse bet365 Coral
On Edge
 4 7/2
Bama Lama
 4 4/1
Porterinthejungle
 9/2 9/2
Joy Choi
 6 11/2
Fossos
 6 11/2
Louis Treize
 15/2 7/1
Kyber Crystal
 12 9
Erosion Risk
 13/2 17/2
Cloudy Breeze
 25 25
Savannah Smiles
 33 40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Bama Lama
22.6
OR: 1.5 Form: 16.1 Odds: 5
4/1
2nd Joy Choi
17.6
OR: 2.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 3.6
11/2
3rd Louis Treize
11.7
OR: 0.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.9
15/2
4 Fossos
11.4
OR: 0.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.4
11/2
5 Porterinthejungle
11.2
OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4
9/2
6 On Edge
7.2
OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7
7/2
7 Erosion Risk
5.4
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9
17/2
8 Cloudy Breeze
5
OR: 0.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1
25
9 Savannah Smiles
3.5
OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8
40
10 Kyber Crystal
3
OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.4
12

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Joy Choi
60
69
60
Erosion Risk
60
63
63
Porterinthejungle
57
70
55
On Edge
56
69
66
Bama Lama
56
69
63
Savannah Smiles
55
61
51
Fossos
52
70
59
Cloudy Breeze
52
71
50
Louis Treize
51
70
68
Kyber Crystal
50
67
49

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Kyber Crystal 1d ago Quick return
Savannah Smiles 7d ago Quick return
On Edge 11d ago Quick return
Porterinthejungle 11d ago Quick return
Fossos 11d ago Quick return
Louis Treize 11d ago Quick return
Joy Choi 12d ago Quick return
Bama Lama 21d ago Fit
Erosion Risk 37d ago Fit
Cloudy Breeze 61d ago Fresh