David Lucas Bookmakers, Why Bet Elsewhere? Apprentice Handicap

Chepstow

14:10

Date 2023-09-04

Distance 7f16y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,129

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (7)	Pavlodar Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Alastair Ralph	J:Harry Davies T:Alastair Ralph	131	tp	055621	67	81	62	7d	—	—	+3	23.9	0.50/1	3 33%
Got it together since dropped to 7f; this tougher under a penalty but can't be discounted
2 (5)	Hello Zabeel Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Blake	J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Blake	139	—	-15355	75	82	63	65d	—	—	-2	14.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has gone well fresh more than once and has Billy Loughnane up, so needs considering
5 (3)	Imperial Dream Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	132	—	-41345	72	84	66	17d	—	—	-1	14.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Starting to look exposed now and today's undulating course would be a slight niggle
4 (4)	Garner Bay J:Taylor Fisher T:Archie Watson	J:Taylor Fisher T:Archie Watson	138	p	-10573	78	78	65	17d	—	—	+1	16.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ridden patiently when offering more in cheekpieces latest; that gave something to build on
3 (1)	Airshow Chestnut J:Oliver Searle(5) T:Rod Millman	J:Oliver Searle(5) T:Rod Millman	139	hp	214233	75	82	74	16d	—	—	+6	19.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Consistent veteran who's done most racing in sprints; not much wiggle room off this mark
1 (2)	Macs Dilemma Bay J:Georgia Dobie T:John Oshea	J:Georgia Dobie T:John Oshea	142	b	631204	78	83	54	7d	—	—	+6	16	1.50/1	7 14%
Course regular who's on a career-high mark; should go well but will need a career-best
8 (8)	Miss Sarajevo Bay J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Alexandra Dunn	120	—	-44698	60	76	33	11d	—	—	+1	3	12.25/1	50 2%
Well held for new yard here 11 days ago; holds similar claims to stablemate Grand Style
7 (6)	Grand Style b/br J:William Carver T:Alexandra Dunn	J:William Carver T:Alexandra Dunn	121	—	647597	61	80	31	19d	—	—	+2	3.1	24.75/1	100 1%
Finished a remote last in two starts for this yard; has little to recommend her

Horse	bet365	Coral
Pavlodar	3	3
Hello Zabeel	7/2	7/2
Imperial Dream	9/2	9/2
Garner	9/2	9/2
Airshow	6	11/2
Macs Dilemma	7	7
Miss Sarajevo	50	50
Grand Style	100	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pavlodar

23.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 6.2

2nd

Airshow

19.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 9.6 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Garner

16.4

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Macs Dilemma

OR: 7 Form: 6.1 Odds: 2.9

Hello Zabeel

14.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

7/2

Imperial Dream

14.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Grand Style

3.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Miss Sarajevo

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Garner	78	78	65
Macs Dilemma	78	83	54
Hello Zabeel	75	82	63
Airshow	75	82	74
Imperial Dream	72	84	66
Pavlodar	67	81	62
Grand Style	61	80	31
Miss Sarajevo	60	76	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pavlodar	7d ago	Quick return
Macs Dilemma	7d ago	Quick return
Miss Sarajevo	11d ago	Quick return
Airshow	16d ago	Fit
Imperial Dream	17d ago	Fit
Garner	17d ago	Fit
Grand Style	19d ago	Fit
Hello Zabeel	65d ago	Fresh