Sky Bet Ebor Handicap (Heritage Handicap) – York

York

15:35

Sky Bet Ebor Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

Date 2023-08-26

Distance 1m5f188y

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £300,000

Runners (23)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
15 (3)	Sweet William Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	128	b	2-2111	99	121	101	21d	—	—	+1	21.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Dominated the closing stages at Newbury (2m, good) and Goodwood (1m6f, heavy); well in
9 (24)	Absurde Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:W P Mullins	J:Frankie Dettori T:W P Mullins	133	—	3127-2	104	114	97	—	—	—	+11	21.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Strong-finishing second in 1m6f handicap at Royal Ascot prompts major interest
13 (22)	Real Dream Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Ryan Moore T:Sir Michael Stoute	128	t	51-131	99	118	107	42d	—	—	+4	15.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Won well when upped to 1m6f at Ascot; raised 8lb but could still have hidden depths
10 (2)	Jackfinbar Bay J:William Buick T:W P Mullins	J:William Buick T:W P Mullins	132	—	1/5/34	103	110	101	22d	—	—	+13	20.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Absent four years before resuming this summer for Willie Mullins with two good runs
1 (15)	Live Your Dream Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Oisin Murphy T:Saeed Bin Suroor	138	p	20/231	109	117	103	43d	—	—	+10	16.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Tidy win at Newmarket; up 5lb and this race is much more competitive but he needs respect
22 (9)	Adjuvant Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Bell	J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Bell	124	—	8-2152	95	120	99	21d	—	—	+5	13.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Reliable and progressive; heavy ground when seen off by Sweet William at Goodwood; player
18 (11)	Scampi Bay J:Jason Hart T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Hart T:Andrew Balding	125	—	165261	96	119	110	14d	—	—	+20	25.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Two notable 1m4f wins this term, one here; stamina in pedigree to make 1m6f very plausible
12 (17)	Hms President Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	130	—	20-212	101	115	109	64d	—	—	+8	14.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won good 1m6f race at Newmarket in May and beaten a neck over 1m4f at Royal Ascot
3 (20)	Scriptwriter Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Milton Harris	J:Clifford Lee T:Milton Harris	135	t	/51-72	106	116	85	42d	—	—	+10	15.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Gave the odds-on favourite a scare in C&D Group 3 latest; up 3lb but he's a rising force
6 (18)	Yashin Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	134	—	064-16	105	113	38	35d	—	—	+10	15.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Grabbed a 1m6f Group 3 at Leopardstown on penultimate start; remains one with potential
4 (10)	Cemhaan Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:George Baker	J:Hollie Doyle T:George Baker	135	t	10-013	106	114	97	67d	—	—	+11	15.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Best of his runs in a sizeable field came on latest start when third of 16 at Royal Ascot
11 (23)	Get Shirty Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	130	t	306995	101	113	87	42d	—	—	+10	13.7	6.00/1	25 4%
Fifth in last year's Ebor; has a 9lb lower mark today, having been out of sorts
17 (21)	Euchen Glen Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	125	—	404083	96	120	95	21d	—	—	+12	15.4	6.00/1	25 4%
Admirable veteran; 5th, 11th and 7th in the last three Ebors; lowest mark since 2018
14 (13)	Caius Chorister Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	128	—	0-2205	99	118	99	25d	—	—	+9	13.3	5.25/1	22 5%
2nd in the C&D Melrose last year; two excellent seconds in 2023 and shaped okay last time
5 (7)	Tashkhan Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	135	—	3-3438	106	116	89	25d	—	—	+14	17	6.75/1	28 4%
No win since July 2021; trip/ground make first handicap for two years look a tough task
21 (8)	Berkshire Rocco Chestnut J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Andrew Balding	124	v	500042	95	119	84	14d	—	—	+13	17.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Ascot second (2m) last time was more like it; cheekpieces are replaced by first-time visor
7 (19)	Ocean Wind Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Roger Teal	134	v	223/30	105	116	74	25d	—	—	+12	14.2	12.25/1	50 2%
Long absence before creditable return; heavy defeat in Goodwood Cup; headgear change
23 (1)	Post Impressionist Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	124	—	31-097	95	113	67	14d	—	—	+9	12	9.75/1	40 3%
Clearcut C&D win (good to soft) final 3yo start; has not fired in the same way this term
20 (5)	Saratoga Gold Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Charles Hills	J:Tom Marquand T:Charles Hills	124	p	-3U169	95	111	85	6d	—	—	+15	16.8	19.75/1	80 1%
A revelation initially in blinkers; came up well short lately and now tries cheekpieces
8 (16)	Sunchart Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Andrew Slattery	J:Oisin Orr T:Andrew Slattery	133	v	2-2445	104	114	91	19d	—	—	+16	17.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Regular in Group and Listed races but sole win remains a maiden in 2019; first headgear
2 (4)	Enemy Bay J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Ian Williams	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Ian Williams	138	—	128550	109	119	72	25d	—	—	+15	16.1	24.75/1	100 1%
Went off the boil this spring and tailed-off last when next seen at 200-1 in Goodwood Cup
19 (6)	Wickywickywheels Bay J:Tadhg O'Shea T:Jim Goldie	J:Tadhg O'Shea T:Jim Goldie	124	—	856706	95	118	101	21d	—	—	+10	11.6	19.75/1	80 1%
Threatened only once in seven runs back in Britain, with limited response from handicapper
NR (12)	Moracana Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ms Sheila Lavery	126	—	0-1456	97	116	-	2d	—	—	—	11.8	—	—
Due to run in 1m4f Listed race here on Thursday but would otherwise look very interesting

Horse	bet365	Coral
Sweet William	11/4	11/4
Absurde	15/2	15/2
Real Dream	15/2	8/1
Jackfinbar	11/1	9/1
Live Your Dream	12	12
Adjuvant	10	10
Scampi	14	14
Hms President	14/1	14
Scriptwriter	14	14
Yashin	20	16/1
Cemhaan	20	22
Get Shirty	25	22/1
Euchen Glen	25	25
Caius Chorister	22	20/1
Tashkhan	25/1	28
Berkshire Rocco	25	20/1
Ocean Wind	50	50
Post Impressionist	40	40
Saratoga Gold	80	80
Sunchart	100/1	66
Enemy	100	80
Wickywickywheels	80	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Scampi

25.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.6

2nd

Sweet William

21.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Absurde

21.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Jackfinbar

20.4

OR: 13.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Sunchart

17.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Berkshire Rocco

17.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

Tashkhan

OR: 14 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

Saratoga Gold

16.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 5.2 Odds: 0.4

Live Your Dream

16.5

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Enemy

16.1

OR: 14.8 Form: 1 Odds: 0.3

100

Scriptwriter

15.4

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Euchen Glen

15.4

OR: 11.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

Real Dream

15.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Cemhaan

15.2

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Yashin

15.1

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Hms President

14.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ocean Wind

14.2

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Get Shirty

13.7

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Adjuvant

13.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Caius Chorister

13.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Post Impressionist

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Moracana

11.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Wickywickywheels

11.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Live Your Dream	109	117	103
Enemy	109	119	72
Scriptwriter	106	116	85
Cemhaan	106	114	97
Tashkhan	106	116	89
Yashin	105	113	38
Ocean Wind	105	116	74
Absurde	104	114	97
Sunchart	104	114	91
Jackfinbar	103	110	101
Hms President	101	115	109
Get Shirty	101	113	87
Sweet William	99	121	101
Real Dream	99	118	107
Caius Chorister	99	118	99
Moracana	97	116	—
Scampi	96	119	110
Euchen Glen	96	120	95
Adjuvant	95	120	99
Berkshire Rocco	95	119	84
Post Impressionist	95	113	67
Saratoga Gold	95	111	85
Wickywickywheels	95	118	101

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Moracana	2d ago	Quick return
Saratoga Gold	6d ago	Quick return
Scampi	14d ago	Fit
Berkshire Rocco	14d ago	Fit
Post Impressionist	14d ago	Fit
Sunchart	19d ago	Fit
Sweet William	21d ago	Fit
Adjuvant	21d ago	Fit
Euchen Glen	21d ago	Fit
Wickywickywheels	21d ago	Fit
Jackfinbar	22d ago	Fit
Caius Chorister	25d ago	Fit
Tashkhan	25d ago	Fit
Ocean Wind	25d ago	Fit
Enemy	25d ago	Fit
Yashin	35d ago	Fit
Real Dream	42d ago	Fit
Scriptwriter	42d ago	Fit
Get Shirty	42d ago	Fit
Live Your Dream	43d ago	Fit
Hms President	64d ago	Fresh
Cemhaan	67d ago	Fresh
Absurde	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Scampi	Hold Up
Euchen Glen	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 23 runners classified.